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EURUSD

XM-Forschung

XM-Forschung - vor 2 Tagen

Daily Comment – Dollar edges up ahead of PCE inflation as stocks drift

All eyes on US core PCE and consumption as bets for 50-bps cut stall Dollar headed for weekly gains but Nasdaq has disappointing week Euro on the backfoot as soft Eurozone CPI cements September cut Big Tech woes weigh on Wall Street The US dollar looks set to pare its monthly losses as it heads for its first weekly gain since mid-July amid more evidence that the US economy is humming along nicely.
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 Tagen

Week Ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Traders see decent chance for 50bps Fed cut in September Powell adds extra importance to jobs data, NFP awaited BoC decides on rates, third consecutive cut is fully priced in Aussie traders lock gaze on GDP numbers   Bets for double Fed cut remain elevated Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts.
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XM-Forschung - vor 3 Tagen

Daily Comment – Nvidia earnings fail to buoy markets, focus turns to US data

Nvidia slumps in after-hours trading as earnings don’t excite Equities mixed as attention turns to US data for direction Kiwi outperforms, euro slips on soft German and Spanish CPI figures No post-Nvidia boost for equities Nvidia’s much anticipated earnings results for the second quarter failed to deliver on the very high expectations even as the chip giant saw its revenue more than double from a year ago.
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XM-Forschung - vor 3 Tagen

Technical Analysis – EURUSD plunges from 1.1200

EURUSD looks ready for bearish correction Stochastics and RSI head south EURUSD is declining from the 13-month high of 1.1200 that was reached in the preceding week. The pair is now ready for a potential downside retracement according to the technical oscillators. The stochastic is tumbling from the overbought region and the RSI is also diving beneath the 70 level.
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XM-Forschung - vor 5 Tagen

Daily Comment – Rate cut euphoria tempered by geopolitics as oil surges

Mood turns cautious amid geopolitical uncertainty in Libya and Gaza Fears of supply disruptions drive up oil prices, S&P 500 closes lower China concerns also weigh but European stocks turn positive as data awaited Geopolitical risks take over as oil rallies Equity markets were mixed on Tuesday and the US dollar consolidated as investors turned cautious ahead of the week’s main events amid renewed fears about disruptions to oil supply.
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XM-Forschung - vor 5 Tagen

Quick Brief – Gloomy German Ifo survey weighs on euro as dollar rebounds

Germany’s ifo Institute warns economy is “falling into crisis” Jump in US durable goods orders aid dollar’s recovery   Worries are mounting about Europe’s largest economy after the President of the ifo Institute, Clemens Fuest, warned that Germany is “increasingly falling into crisis” in the latest monthly survey report. The ifo business climate index in August fell to the lowest since February, although the reading of 86.6 was slightly above forecasts of 86.0. Speakin
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XM-Forschung - vor 6 Tagen

Daily Comment – Powell signals it’s time to cut; dollar sinks but risk rally muted

Powell says the time has come for rate cuts, pushing yields and dollar lower But cautious rally in stocks as Nvidia earnings, inflation data awaited Oil jumps amid fresh escalation between Israel and Hezbollah Powell green lights rate cuts Fed Chair Jerome Powell locked in a September rate cut on Friday, using his Jackson Hole address to signal the Fed’s long-awaited pivot toward an easing cycle.
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XM-Forschung - vor 6 Tagen

Weekly Technical Outlook – US dollar index, EURUSD, USDJPY

US Core PCE index could attract greater attention with an impact on dollar index Eurozone flash CPI closer to ECB’s target; EURUSD unlocks 1.1200 Japan’s Tokyo CPI might stay put; USDJPY heads south US core PCE inflation --> US dollar index   The release of the US Core PCE price index for July this Friday will provide crucial insights into the underlying inflation trends.
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XM-Forschung - vor 6 TagenNeutral

Technical Analysis – EURUSD eyes 2023 top after quick rally

EURUSD returns to positive trend after Powell confirms dovish policy adjustment Technical signals reflect weakening positive bias; next resistance could be at 1.1240-1.1274   EURUSD has had a great August so far, rising sharply from 1.0776 to nearly 1.1200 to mark its best monthly performance since November 2022. The pair violated a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern after refusing to close below 1.1100 on Friday, increasing optimism that the rally might have more room to run. 
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XM-Forschung - vor 1 Woche

Week Ahead – PCE inflation eyed as Fed lays groundwork for September cut

Focus to stay on the Fed as PCE inflation to be week’s main highlight Eurozone inflation data to be crucial for ECB rate cut hopes Australian and Tokyo CPI, plus Canadian GDP also on the agenda Will PCE inflation disappoint dovish expectations? The Fed’s long-anticipated dovish pivot is upon us and markets are bracing for the first US rate cut of this cycle at the September 17-18 meeting.
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XM-Forschung - vor 1 Woche

Market Comment – Dovish Fed and labor data weigh on dollar

Fed minutes reveal some members wanted a July cut Nonfarm payroll growth revised down by the most since 2009 PMIs in focus ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech Wall Street gains ground, oil extends slide Dollar slips as traders ramp up Fed cut bets The dollar extended its slide against its major counterparts on Wednesday, as the minutes of the July 30-31 Fed gathering revealed that officials are strongly leaning towards a September rate cut, with some members being willing
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 WochenBullish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD bulls stay in charge

EURUSD extends rally, hits 1.1130 But oscillators point to fading momentum A setback may be possible before the next leg north EURUSD has been in a steady rally since August 15, when it hit support at 1.0950, and it is currently testing the key resistance zone of 1.1130, a zone that stopped the bulls from heading further north back in December, as well as back in July, 2023. Overall, the pair is trading above a short-term uptrend line drawn from the low of August 2, and well above
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 Wochen

Market Comment – Dollar looks at the Fed minutes for a small boost

Dollar weakness dominates the FX space Today’s Fed minutes could halt the euro/dollar rally Markets are gearing up to the Powell's Jackson Hole speech Oil prices remain under pressure  Dollar underperformance continues The euro continues to take advantage of the US dollar’s weakness by trading to the highest level since December 2023. This pair has managed to quickly climb above the critical 1.1032-1.1095 area, which has acted as strong resistance in the recent pas
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 Wochen

Could Fed chief Powell finally reveal his hand at Jackson Hole? – Preview

The Jackson Hole Symposium will be held on August 22-24 Fed Chairman Powell speaks on Friday at 14:00 GMT Markets expect a dovish tone in support of a September rate cut Fed minutes and PMI surveys to set the scene Markets are gearing up for the Jackson Hole Symposium The much talked-about Jackson Hole Symposium is just a few days away with the markets anxiously waiting for Fed Chairman Powell’s speech.
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 Wochen

Technical Analysis – EURUSD records new 8-month high

EURUSD stands well above 1.1000 50- and 200-SMAs create bullish cross Stochastic still moving higher EURUSD is flying to a fresh eight-month high of 1.1088 continuing the bounce off the 1.0950 support level. Currently, the market remains well above the long-term descending trend line, endorsing the view for a bullish structure in the near term.
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 Wochen

Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell's Jackson H
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 Wochen

Market Comment – Dollar under pressure ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

Stocks in the green again as investors await the Jackson Hole gathering Economists look for strong Fed easing in 2024 despite recession talk dissipating Dollar remains on the back foot against most currencies Aussie fails to benefit from hawkish minutes; loonie could suffer from weak CPI Stocks still in the green Stocks continue to enjoy green sessions as the market is counting down to Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Powell.
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 Wochen

Market Comment – Euro/dollar in critical area as the Jackson Hole Symposium nears

Stocks record strong weekly gains as the first Fed rate cut gets closer Markets are gradually preparing for the Jackson Hole gathering Euro/dollar trades within a critical resistance area Gold in demand as geopolitics generate headlines Stocks rally, enjoy the mixed US data Markets continue to recover after the recent rout, with US equities finishing last week with strong gains.
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 WochenBullish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD tests 1.1050 tricky area

EURUSD flirts with 8-month high again Remains well above the long-term symmetrical triangle 50- and 200-day SMAs ready for bullish cross Momentum oscillators confirm upside move EURUSD has been in a bullish move, especially after the rally above the long-term symmetrical triangle last week. The pair is again battling with the almost eight-month high of 1.1050, with the simple moving averages (SMAs) mirroring the current upside movement as they are all ticking higher.
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XM-Forschung - vor 2 Wochen

Week Ahead – Jackson Hole and PMIs enter the spotlight

As recession fears ease, investors lock gaze on Jackson Hole Eurozone and UK PMIs to affect ECB and BoE expectations Canadian inflation could back third consecutive BoC cut Japan’s Nationwide CPI data also on the agenda Jackson Hole to test overly dovish Fed cut bets Following the unjustified panic triggered by the weaker-than-expected NFP report for July, investors have taken a calmer stance, thereafter, reevaluating their aggressive Fed rate cut bets as the incoming data s
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