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Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, GBPUSD, Gold

EURUSD tests June's peak as ECB rate decision looms GBPUSD pauses impressive rally near 1.3000 ahead of CPI data Gold resumes weak momentum after closing above 2,400   US retail sales --> Gold It was a shocking weekend of a failed assassination attempt against Donald Trump, which caused a heated moment in the US political landscape.
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Technical Analysis – Gold’s rally stalls at 7-week high

Gold jumped to its highest level since May 22 last week But fails to extend rally, trading flat in past couple of sessions Despite latest weakness, oscillators remain positively tilted Gold has been experiencing solid gains since late June, with the break above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and restrictive trendline brightening the short-term technical outlook.
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD jumps to a fresh 1-month high

EURUSD edges higher after break above SMAs The pair advances to its highest level since June 4 Oscillators suggest that bullish forces are strengthening EURUSD has been in a steady uptrend after the bullish breakout from its downward sloping trendline in place since December 2023. Moreover, the pair conquered both its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), surging to a fresh one-month peak on Friday.
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Technical Analysis – USDCAD trades sideways as 200-SMA provides support

USDCAD is rangebound in the past few sessions The 200-day SMA caps the pair’s downside Momentum indicators are negatively tilted USDCAD had been hovering around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the past two months, appearing incapable of clearing this hurdle. This repeated inability triggered a decisive break below the 50-day SMA on July 3, with the pair trading undecided since then, supported by the 200-day SMA.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY hits 20-day SMA after multi-year high

GBPJPY may start bearish correction Stochastics move down; RSI ticks up GBPJPY suffered significant losses following an aggressive rally to the multi-year high of 208.10. The pair found immediate support at the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of 203.80, keeping the bias bullish for now. Technically, the stochastic oscillator is div
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WTI futures pull back from 2-month high But meet strong support at 50.0% Fibonacci Momentum indicators ease but remain positive   WTI oil futures (August delivery) have been in a steady uptrend since early June, posting a fresh two-month high last week. Although the price experienced a pullback from its recent high, it quickly found support at 81.50, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 95.02-67.97 downleg.
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Technical Analysis – BTCUSD is held down by 200-day SMA

BTCUSD dropped to a fresh 4-month low last week Attempts for recovery hit a wall at 200-day SMA Oscillators improve slightly, but still negatively tilted BTCUSD (Bitcoin) has been experiencing a strong selloff since the beginning of June, retreating to its lowest level since February 27. Although the price managed to find its feet and attempted to recoup some losses, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) has been acting as an impenetrable ceiling.

Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPJPY

EURUSD still finds strong support at 1.0800 AUDUSD posts new 6-month high  GBPJPY records extraordinary bullish rally towards uncharted levels
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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD posts a fresh 6-month high

AUDUSD breaks decisively above sideways pattern The price jumps to its highest since January 2024 Oscillators are flagging overbought conditions AUDUSD had been trading in a neutral range for more than two months, unable to adopt a clear directional impetus. However, in the last few sessions, the bulls have managed to propel the pair above that rangebound structure, sending it to a six-month high on Thursday.
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US 30 index in the green again following a few mixed sessions It remains a tad below its recent all-time high Momentum indicators support the current uptrend The US 30 cash index is in the green again today, following some mixed sessions. The bulls are probably feeling confident again as the index is 4.5% higher from its May 30 trough, and a tad below its May 20 high of 40,094. The increased chances of an early Fed rate cut have boosted buying appetite, but today’s critical CPI r
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Citigroup shares post 28-month high ahead of earnings Short-term oscillators are within overbought territories There is high risk of a correction in case financials dissapoint   Citigroup’s stock has been staging a V-shaped recovery since its 2023 bottom in October, posting consecutive multi-month highs. After two months of rangebound trading, the stock posted a fresh 28-month peak of 66.70 on Wednesday, two days ahead of its Q2 earnings release.
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Technical Analysis – GBPAUD holds above key support area

GBPAUD consolidates above key support zone RSI and MACD detect negative momentum But a break below 1.8900 is needed to darken the outlook A rebound above 1.9350 may invite more bulls GBPAUD has been trading in a consolidative manner lately staying above the key support area of 1.8900, which prevented the bears from drifting south on several occasions during the last 12 months.
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EURGBP meets resistance at 20-day SMA Momentum oscillators extend bearish structure. EURGBP is currently fighting with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.8450, failing to extend the pullback from 0.8430 to the upside. The RSI is moving lower below the 50 territory, while the MACD is extending its negative momentum beneath its trigger and zero lines.
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Technical Analysis – Is it time for gold to emerge above key resistance?

Gold trades higher, but withing a broader sideways range RSI and MACD imply strengthening upside momentum A break above 2388 could add to the bullish case A dip below 2340 may allow declines within the range Gold is moving higher today, after hitting support near the 2,450 zone yesterday. The precious metal is trading above the short-term uptrend line drawn from the low of June 26, but in the bigger picture, it remains within the sideways range that’s been containing most of
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD tumbles after RBNZ’s decision

NZDUSD finds support at 200-day SMA Prices have been heading lower over the last month Stochastics and RSI keep downside move NZDUSD is posting notable losses after the RBNZ’s policy decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 5.5%. The pair is pausing its decline near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6070 and the short-term ascending trend line.
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY reapproaches multi-year highs

USDJPY edges higher after the pullback from 38-year high pauses The risk of a Japanese intervention is active at current levels Momentum indicators provide overbought signals USDJPY experienced a minor setback from its 38-year high of 161.95, which quickly came to a halt at the April peak of 160.20. The pair is on track to revisit its recent multi-year high, but traders should be cautious as the market has approached levels that the Japanese side might be willing to defend.
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index rally continues

US 100 index climbs again, records new all-time high Markets welcome the weaker US data prints Momentum indicators bullish but could be toppy The US 100 cash index is in the green again today, recording a new all-time high and trading a tad below a possible key resistance level. Last week’s weak US labour market data has boosted expectations for a Fed rate cut ahead of the November elections, most likely in September, with the US stock indices now focusing on Thursday’s inflat
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD advances towards 2024 highs

GBPUSD rebounds from its 50-day SMA The price jumps to its highest since June 12 Momentum indicators are tilted to the upside GBPUSD has been slowly gaining ground following its bounce off the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in late June. Moreover, the pair has entered a range that has previously rejected further advances during the past year, thus traders should be careful not to get overly optimistic.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY moves beneath its lifetime high of 174.60

EURJPY struggles to jump above its recent high Momentum oscillators look overstretched EURJPY skyrocketed to a fresh multi-year high of 174.60 in the previous week but is currently hovering slightly below this level, with the technical oscillators suggesting an overstretched market. The RSI is trying to cross the 70 level to the downside, while the MACD is weakening its positive momentum above its trigger and zero lines.
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY finds strong support at key Fibo zone

USDJPY hits key Fibo retracement level But momentum indicators still point to weakness A break above 161.35 could pave the way towards 161.65 A slide below 160.35 may invite more bears USDJPY traded higher today after it triggered some buy orders near the 160.35 barrier and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the short-term uptrend that began back on June 4. That said, although the pair is still trading above the trendline drawn from the low of that day, some resistance zo
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