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AUDJPY


Novinky

FX options wrap - Risk premium, USD direction, EUR/USD targets

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Risk premium, USD direction, EUR/USD targets Overnight expiry FX option implied volatility in the higher beta USD pairings was trading its biggest pre-U.S. CPI premium this year. However, Wednesday's data was basically in line with expectations and didn't prompt the excessive volatility for which options were primed. Broader FX option implied volatility has eased as the CPI risk premium was priced out and as always, is more evident in sub-one-month expiry contracts.
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New Zealand dollar skids as RBNZ cuts rates, flags more to come

New Zealand dollar skids as RBNZ cuts rates, flags more to come By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 14 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar slammed into reverse on Wednesday after the central bank cut interest rates a year earlier than its own projections and signalled a lot more to come, sending bond yields diving. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) wrapped up its latest policy meeting by cutting the official cash rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 5.25%, the first easing since early 2020. "With headline
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Australian dollar tests resistance, kiwi awaits rate fate

Australian dollar tests resistance, kiwi awaits rate fate By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 13 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was bumping up against resistance on Tuesday as an extended rally in Japanese stocks lifted risk sentiment, while the New Zealand dollar kept its nerve before a decision on interest rates. The Aussie edged up $0.6592 AUD=D3 , and within a whisker of the 200-day moving average at $0.6598. The next targets are $0.6625 and $0.6700, with support at $0.6550. The kiwi dollar was a s
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U.S. outlook now key for JPY, regardless of BoJ policy

BUZZ-COMMENT-U.S. outlook now key for JPY, regardless of BoJ policy Aug 12 (Reuters) - Global factors appear to be having a greater influence on USD/JPY than the Bank of Japan and its policy outlook. U.S. yields and oil could therefore have a greater impact over the coming year, regardless of whether the BoJ hikes another 25 bps, or 75 bps. A recent research note from Danske Bank expects the BoJ policy rate to reach 1% within the coming 12 months.
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Australian, NZ dollars calm before RBNZ meet, markets look for rate cut

Australian, NZ dollars calm before RBNZ meet, markets look for rate cut SYDNEY, Aug 12 (Reuters) - The Australian and kiwi dollars were calm on Monday after ending a turbulent week with gains, although volatility lies ahead as markets position for a first rate cut in New Zealand before a key U.S. inflation test . The kiwi NZD=D3 climbed 0.2% to $0.6012, building on last week's 0.7% rise as risk sentiment returned after a drastic sell-off in markets.
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FX options wrap - Adjusting for calm before possible data storm

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Adjusting for calm before possible data storm There have been some significant changes in FX option premiums over recent sessions amid the strong shifts in risk appetite and unwinding of carry trades. Implied volatility spiked to new longer-term highs across the board on Monday and despite the subsequent setbacks, it remains above prior levels.
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Australia, NZ dollars digest gains as risk returns to the menu

Australia, NZ dollars digest gains as risk returns to the menu By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 9 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were looking to end a wild week with solid gains on Friday as U.S. recession worries waned for a moment, allowing risk assets to make a comeback. An unexpectedly sharp drop in U.S. jobless claims was enough to see Wall Street bounce and the Nikkei extend its rally from Monday's dizzying decline, pulling the safe-haven yen down in the process.
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Carry return, RBA influence may push AUD/USD near 0.6800

BUZZ-COMMENT-Carry return, RBA influence may push AUD/USD near 0.6800 Aug 8 (Reuters) - AUD/USD struck a 10-session high Thursday after erasing earlier losses and rallying above the 10-DMA. With this, investors may be leaning toward a test near 0.6800 if the carry trade, RBA and tech influences persist. Some concerns the carry trade would unwind eased after Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Uchida played down the chance for near-term hikes.
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Australia dlr climbs on kiwi as market bays for NZ rate cut

Australia dlr climbs on kiwi as market bays for NZ rate cut By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 8 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar jumped on its New Zealand rival on Thursday as investors ramped up bets for a kiwi rate cut as soon as next week, while pushing out the timing for an easing at home. New Zealand rate markets rallied sharply after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) reported its survey of inflation expectations had seen the two-year outlook sink to 2.03% for the September quarter, from 2.33
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Yen dives as BOJ hints no rate hikes while markets are volatile

FOREX-Yen dives as BOJ hints no rate hikes while markets are volatile Updates at 0540 GMT By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Aug 7 (Reuters) - The yen slumped on Wednesday after an influential Bank of Japan official played down the chances of a near-term rate hike in a fresh twist to the week that started with massive moves driven by U.S. recession fears and unwinding of popular carry trades .
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Australia, NZ dlrs jump on yen as BOJ turns cautious

Australia, NZ dlrs jump on yen as BOJ turns cautious By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 7 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars rallied on Wednesday as surprisingly dovish comments from the Bank of Japan boosted risk sentiment and dragged the yen sharply lower. The kiwi dollar got an added lift from jobs data that were not as dire as bears had wagered on, leading markets to scale back the chance of an imminent rate cut.
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AUD/USD longs looking at 0.6800 as long as risk cooperates

BUZZ-COMMENT-AUD/USD longs looking at 0.6800 as long as risk cooperates Aug 6 (Reuters) - AUD/USD traded higher on Tuesday and pierced its 10-DMA as investor nerves calmed a bit and risk appetite improved. With this, there is the possibility AUD/USD can revisit the 0.6800 area should further risk-taking prevail. Equities ESv1 rallied and recouped some of the recent sharp losses, while AUD/JPY gained on the back of better risk sentiment.
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Squeeze on carry trades leaves currencies, investors on edge

FOREX-Squeeze on carry trades leaves currencies, investors on edge Updates at 0530 GMT By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Aug 6 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was nursing steep losses on Tuesday, with the yen on the back foot after a sharp rise in the previous session as traders contend with the unwinding of popular carry trades and the prospect of deep rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
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Australia dollar steadies as RBA pushes back on rate cut calls

Australia dollar steadies as RBA pushes back on rate cut calls By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Aug 6 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar steadied on Tuesday after the central bank held interest rates steady as expected and maintained a hawkish tone on the outlook, even as markets wager its next move will be a cut. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its cash rate at 4.35% but cautioned that policy would have to remain restrictive enough to ensure stubborn core inflation returned to its target.
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Squeeze on carry trades leaves currency markets on edge

FOREX-Squeeze on carry trades leaves currency markets on edge Updates at 0306 GMT By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Aug 6 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was nursing steep losses on Tuesday, with the yen on the back foot after a sharp rise in the previous session as traders contend with unwinding of popular carry trades and the prospect of deep rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
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Squeeze on carry trades leaves currency markets on edge

FOREX-Squeeze on carry trades leaves currency markets on edge Adds Australia dollar, RBA in final two paragraphs By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Aug 6 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar was nursing steep losses on Tuesday, with the yen on the back foot after a sharp rise in the previous session as traders contend with unwinding of popular carry trades and the prospect of deep rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
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Australia, NZ dollars struggle amid flight to safety; bonds rally

Australia, NZ dollars struggle amid flight to safety; bonds rally SYDNEY, Aug 5 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars started the week on the back foot after weak U.S. jobs data magnified recession fear, triggering mass risk aversion, while bonds rallied to 14-month highs on prospects of earlier interest rate cuts at home. The currencies are also likely to be somewhat volatile ahead of a policy meeting at the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday where a hold is widely expected and k
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Australia, NZ dollars grapple with risk aversion as US growth fears weigh

Australia, NZ dollars grapple with risk aversion as US growth fears weigh SYDNEY, Aug 2 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was pinned near three-month lows on Friday as weak U.S. data fuelled fears of a sharp slowdown in the world's largest economy, sending investors to the embrace of the safe-haven yen and Swiss franc. The Aussie held at $0.6501 AUD=D3 , having fallen 0.5% overnight to just above a three-month low of $0.6480 hit on Wednesday.
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US recap: EUR/USD slips as dollar gains in edgy market

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD slips as dollar gains in edgy market USD/JPY bears maintain upper hand ahead of NFP AUD/USD -Downward shift in risk gives bears the advantage Aug 1 (Reuters) - The dollar index rose on Thursday as the market took on a slight safe-haven tone following dismal U.S. data and events in the Middle East this week that have heightened risks of a broader conflict, while investors also digested a BoE rate cut.
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FX options wrap - Many reactions to shifting FX drivers

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Many reactions to shifting FX drivers Shifting interest rates/expectations are a key driver of FX and volatility and there's certainly been some related movements this week. Weaker than forecast Australian CPI removed any RBA hike probability and put more pressure on AUD. That lifted related implied volatility, with 1-month AUD/USD posting a new recent high at 9.1 before supply returned it to 8.7 as AUD/USD recovered from its lows.
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