XM neposkytuje služby občanům Spojených států amerických.

Přehledy

BoJ to stand pat; Yen under pressure – Preview

BoJ expected to leave rates at 0.25%Lowest inflation since April at 2.5%Yen dives to new 3-month lowDecision comes out on Thursday at 03:00 GMTBoJ to leave rates unchangedThe Bank of Japan (BoJ) is anticipated to maintain its existing interest rates during the policy meeting on October 31. This decision reflects Governor Kazuo Ueda’s prudent strategy, highlighting the necessity to evaluate risks, especially those associated with the US economy and fluctuating markets.
U

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, USDJPY, EURGBP

NFP report may shake the markets as EURUSD battles with 1.0800BoJ interest rate may remain steady; USDJPY rises to 3-month highEurozone flash CPI may fail to help EURGBP to recoverUS NFP report --> EURUSDThis week’s US data will provide an update on the US economy and inflation ahead of the Fed's November policy decision.The October nonfarm payrolls report will be the highlight of the week.
U
E
E

Week Ahead – A decisive week for USD with NFP and more; BoJ meets

A crucial week lies ahead with US jobs report, advance GDP and PCE inflationThe Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates, but will it flag a year-end hike?Flash GDP and CPI data for the euro area are also hotly anticipatedAustralian quarterly CPI and UK budget on the agenda tooAll eyes on US data as Fed turns hawkish againThe Federal Reserve’s surprise decision in September to cut rates by a larger-than-expected 50-basis-points seems like a distant memory now, as policymakers are once again sen
U
E
A
G
U

BoC policy meeting: a rate cut and clues for the next one – Preview

BoC is expected to cut rates by 50 bps, the fourth one in a rowPolicymakers may give some hints about the December meetingLoonie looks strongly bearishDecision comes out on Wednesday at 13:45 GMTFall in inflation confirms the rate cutIt is widely expected that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce a substantial interest rate cut on Wednesday, particularly in light of the inflation data that was released the previous week.
U

Week Ahead – BoC to speed up rate cuts; flash PMIs eyed for growth clues

Bank of Canada meets; may opt for bigger 50-bps cutOctober flash PMIs to set the mood amid some growth concernsA relatively quiet week otherwise, with mostly second-tier releasesBoC to likely cut by half a pointExpectations that the Bank of Canada will cut rates by 50 basis points at its October meeting firmed up after the latest CPI data. Nevertheless, markets are not fully convinced of an outsized move, hence, there is a little bit of uncertainty heading into Wednesday’s decision by Canada��
U
E
A
G
U

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY

ECB expected to cut rates by 25 bps; EURUSD remains beneath 1.1000UK CPI could provide some clues for the next BoE decision; GBPUSD in weak modeUS retail sales may lower chances for another Fed rate cut; USDJPY flirts with 149.35ECB decision -->  EURUSDThe upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday is this week's most anticipated event. Initially opposed by President Lagarde and her colleagues, the possibility of a rate decrease in October has gained traction among investors.�
U
E
G

ECB to cut rates despite plethora of reasons for a pause – Preview

ECB meets on Thursday; markets expect a 25bps rate cutLots of reasons for a pause, including the lack of staff projectionsBut the ECB might choose to avoid disappointing the marketsThe euro could really benefit from a rate pause ECB meets on ThursdayThe ECB will hold its penultimate meeting for 2024 on Thursday, just five weeks after the September gathering that produced another rate cut.
E

Week Ahead – ECB headed towards another cut, CPI on the agenda elsewhere

The ECB is expected to deliver its first back-to-back rate cut on ThursdayCPI data incoming in Canada, China, Japan, New Zealand and UKChina GDP and US retail sales also high on investors’ radarIs an ECB rate cut a done deal?Following the RBNZ, which cut interest rates by 50 basis points this Wednesday, the central bank torch will be passed next week to the ECB.
U
E
G
N
U
N

As investors scale back Fed cut bets, US CPI data enters the spotlight – Preview

US NFP data eliminate chances of another 50bps rate cutSpotlight turns to US CPI numbers for SeptemberPMI data corroborate the notion for sticky underlying inflationThe data comes out on Thursday, at 12:30 GMTBets of 50bps cut in November disappearThe dollar’s engines received more fuel on Friday, with the catalyst this time around being the robust US employment data for September.
E

RBNZ policy meeting: 25 or 50 bps rate cut? – Preview

RBNZ decision could shake kiwi/dollarAs inflation ticks lower, another rate cut is expectedPolicy meeting takes place on Wednesday at 01:00 GMTRBNZ decision to cut ratesThe Reserve Bank of New Zealand is poised to make another rate cut on Wednesday. The RBNZ is expected to follow the Federal Reserve with a half-point cut, as the pressure to reduce real rates at a faster tempo is being exacerbated by a sluggish activity picture and lower inflation.
N

Week Ahead – As the dollar recovers, spotlight falls on US CPI inflation

US CPI data to guide Fed rate cut bets and the dollarRBNZ expected to cut interest rates by 50bps Wounded pound awaits monthly GDP numbersCanada jobs data and BoC business survey also on tabDollar rebounds on safe haven flows and upbeat dataThe US dollar staged a meaningful recovery this week aided by Fed Chair Powell’s remarks that the US central bank would likely stick with quarter-point rate cuts, adding that they are not “in a hurry”, as new data have bolstered their confidence in the
E
G
N
U

Could Friday’s data tip the balance in favour of a 50bps Fed rate cut? – Preview

 Discussions about the size of the November Fed rate cut continueMixed labour market data up to now with ADP surprising on the upsideFriday’s data matters the most; non-farm payrolls seen rising by 140kGeopolitics boost demand for dollar, data could reverse this trend Fed rate cut discussions continueWith the market trying to figure out the next development in the Middle East and the likely market impact, the debate about the size of the November Fed rate cut continues.
U
E

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, AUDUSD

First NFP report after Fed’s rate cut; USDJPY dives sharplyEurozone flash CPI in the spotlight with EURUSD standing below 1.1200BoJ Summary of Opinions on Tuesday; GBPJPY slightly recoup lossesNFP report --> USDJPYThis week’s Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) data is crucial for gauging the US labor market’s health. Analysts expect the report, due on Friday, to show a moderate increase in job creation, reflecting ongoing economic stabilization.
U
E
G

Week Ahead – NFP on tap amid bets of another bold Fed rate cut

Investors see decent chance of another 50bps cut in NovemberFed speakers, ISM PMIs and NFP to shape rate cut betsEurozone CPI data awaited amid bets for more ECB cutsChina PMIs and BoJ Summary of Opinions also on tapWill the Fed opt for a back-to-back 50bps rate cut?Although the dollar slipped after the Fed decided to cut interest rates by 50bps and to signal that another 50bps worth of reductions are on the cards for the remainder of the year, the currency traded in a consolidative manner this
U
U
E
A
N
O

SNB meeting: a single or double cut this time? – Preview

SNB policy meeting has 50-50 chances for 25bps versus 50bps rate cut Potential reaction in Swissy on Thursday at 7:30 GMT SNB: another bank to cut rates The time for Swiss National Bank (SNB) to cut rates again has come. The global economic environment is currently facing substantial problems, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainty, so this decision comes at a vital time when the landscape is facing these challenges.
U

Will core PCE inflation corroborate bets for another double Fed cut? – Preview

Fed cuts by 50bps, sees another 50bps by December Investors turn more dovish, which implies upside risks Focus turns to PCE inflation due out on Friday at 12:30 GMT   Some investors expect a back-to-back 50bps cut The Fed decided to begin this easing cycle with a double 50bps rate cut at last week’s decision, with the new dot plot pointing to another 50bps worth of reductions by the end of 2024. At the press conference following the decision, Fed Chair Powell noted that the econ
E

Weekly Technical Outlook - USDCHF, AUDUSD, EURUSD

SNB to cut rates as USDCHF holds within range RBA to hold steady with AUDUSD standing near 9-month high US core PCE index in the spotlight after Fed decision; EURUSD retreats to 1.1100 SNB interest rate decision --> USDCHF The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will announce its policy decision on Thursday, following the announcements made by major central banks last week.
E
A
U

RBA policy meeting : It’s not time for a rate cut yet – Preview

RBA expected to deviate from the Fed and hold rates steady Inflation risks remain a concern; labor market is tight AUDUSD faces resistance near 0.6835; next barrier around 0.6875-0.6900   RBA to keep rates steady  It will be time for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to announce its rate decision when its policy meeting concludes on Tuesday, but don't expect a Fed-like rate surprise.
A

Week Ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap

SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation September flash PMIs to do the rounds; spotlight on euro area SNB to keep trimming as strong franc bites The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be the final major central bank to announce its policy decision in September.
U
E
A
E
G

Is the BoJ on hold until December's meeting? – Preview

BoJ expects no change Ueda comments may provide insight USDJPY remains above 140.00 despite a severe sell-off BoJ interest rate decision on Friday at 03:00 GMT BoJ decision to keep interest rate steady At its meeting on Friday, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is anticipated to keep its monetary policy position unchanged.  Most market watchers expect the Bank of Japan to maintain its target range for short-term interest rates at 0% to 1%.
U



Obchodní názory

SymbolZdrojSměr

Tržní souhrn

Zřeknutí se odpovědnosti: Subjekty skupiny XM Group poskytují služby a přístup do naší online obchodní platformy v režimu „execution-only”, což osobám umožní prohlížet a/nebo použít obsah, dostupný zde nebo prostřednictvím webové stránky, který není určený ke změně nebo šíření. Na takový přístup a použití se vždy vztahují: (i) Všeobecné obchodní podmínky; (ii) Upozornění na rizika; a (iii) Úplné zřeknutí se odpovědnosti. Takový obsah je proto poskytovaný pouze jako obecné informace. Mějte především na paměti, že obsah naší online obchodní platformy není ani žádostí, ani nabídkou vstupu do jakýchkoliv transakcí na finančních trzích. Obchodování na jakémkoliv finančním trhu zahrnuje významnou úroveň rizika pro váš kapitál.

Veškerý materiál, zveřejněný na naší online obchodní platformě, je určený pouze pro vzdělávací/informační účely a neobsahuje ani by neměl být považovaný za finanční, investiční, daňové nebo obchodní rady a doporučení, ani záznamy o našich obchodních cenách, nebo nabídku transakce s jakýmikoliv finančními instrumenty, či nevyžádadnou propagaci pro vaši osobu.

Jakýkoliv obsah třetích stran a také obsah, připravený společností XM, jako jsou názory, novinky, výzkum, analýzy, ceny, další informace nebo odkazy na webové stránky třetích stran, které jsou zobrazeny na tomto webu, jsou poskytovány v neupravené verzi jako obecný tržní komentář, a nepředstavují investiční radu. Pokud je jakýkoliv obsah uváděný jako investiční výzkum, musíte si uvědomit a přijmout, že tento obsah nebyl určený a nebyl připravený v souladu se zákonnými požadavky, vytvořenými pro podporu nezávislosti investičního výzkumu, a jako takový by měl být podle příslušných zákonů a předpisu považovaný pouze za marketingovou komunikaci. Ujistěte se, že jste si přečetli a plně rozumíte našemu Oznámení o seznámení se s riziky a investičním výzkumu, který není nezávislý, týkající se výše uvedených informací, a ke kterým lze přejít zde.

Upozornění na riziko: Váš kapitál je ohrožený. Produkty s pákovým efektem nemusí být vhodné pro každého. Zvažte prosím naše Zveřejnění rizik.