Technical Analysis – Brent futures rebound on supportive uptrend line; bullish view remains


Melina Deltas, XM Investment Research Desk

Brent futures bounced off the short-term ascending trend line on Wednesday, failing to extend the downward move. Currently, the commodity is trying to overcome the 40-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 64.85 resistance level. The RSI turned higher but is still the near 50 level, while the stochastic oscillator is gaining momentum after the bullish cross within its %K and %D lines in the daily timeframe.

The bulls would probably challenge the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the upleg from 56.10 to 71.30 near 65.48. A break higher, could last until the 20-day SMA near 66.00. Further up, the 23.6% Fibo of 67.70 could be another obstacle for upward movements.

On the flip side, if the oil drops beneath the supportive uptrend line, it could hit the 63.00 psychological level, inside the Ichimoku cloud and then the 61.8% Fibonacci of 61.92, switching the bullish picture to bearish.

Summarizing, Brent crude oil futures maintain a bullish bias in the medium-term as the price still holds above the three-month ascending line.