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European Open Preview – Fed unlikely to be as dovish as market pricing implies

Posted on December 19, 2018 at 8:42 am GMT

The spotlight today is on the Fed’s decision; markets seem positioned for an extremely “dovish hike”, which poses an upside risk for the dollar The BoJ will also meet, though that gathering may be less exciting Meanwhile, oil prices resumed their broader collapse Fed may strike a less dovish tone than investors anticipate The main event today will be the Fed’s policy decision at 1900 GMT, which will be followed by a press conference from Chair Powell. A quarter-point rate increase [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar softer on bets volatility will stay Fed’s hand

Posted on December 18, 2018 at 8:48 am GMT

Risk sentiment in dire straits; US stocks close at fresh lows, yen shines Dollar drops as Fed rate-hike expectations fade even further Kiwi buoyant after New Zealand’s business sentiment recovers S&P 500 closes at 14-month low as fear dominates greed Risk sentiment remained sour to start the week, in the absence of any clear catalyst, other than a flurry of headlines suggesting a US government shutdown may be on the cards this holiday season. The benchmark S&P 500 index fell [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound advances as May survives; ECB meeting eyed

Posted on December 13, 2018 at 8:39 am GMT

Sterling advances as PM May survives leadership contest, but sustained rally unlikely ECB meets today; Draghi’s tone will be crucial for the euro SNB meets as well, likely to maintain a dovish stance Meanwhile, reports China may open its economy boost risk sentiment Pound soars as May survives, but odds of a sustained rally slim Sterling surged on Wednesday, as it became increasingly clear throughout the session that PM May would survive the no-confidence motion, amid a plethora of Tory [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound under pressure as Tories trigger leadership contest

Posted on December 12, 2018 at 9:12 am GMT

Sterling near 20-month lows as Conservative lawmakers trigger no-confidence vote in Theresa May; ballot to be held today Risk appetite recovers as Trump and China stoke hopes for a deal Euro remains on the back foot ahead of tomorrow’s ECB meeting US inflation data on tap Sterling crumbles as Tories trigger leadership challenge The British pound sank to a fresh 20-month low versus the dollar on Tuesday, following reports that “rebels” within Theresa May’s Conservative party nearly have the numbers [..]

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European Open Preview – Risk sentiment sours; OPEC summit front and center

Posted on December 6, 2018 at 8:33 am GMT

Risk appetite crumbles as US arrests Huawei CFO, generating worries of re-escalation in the trade conflict Today, all eyes are on OPEC’s meeting (1200 GMT); expectations for a production cut are elevated Loonie nosedives to a 1½-year low as BoC shifts to a more cautious stance Risk appetite falters on fears of “trade war” re-escalation After a relatively calm Wednesday, risk appetite deteriorated once more during the Asian session on Thursday, following news that the CFO of the Chinese tech [..]

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Oil rebounds ahead of OPEC meeting amid hopes for production cuts – Forex News Preview

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 11:17 am GMT

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies will meet in Vienna on Thursday, and expectations for a production cut to stabilize oil prices are riding high. With investors appearing confident such a reduction will indeed take place, the impact on oil prices may depend mainly on the size of any cut. If producers fail to deliver entirely though, crude prices could well visit fresh lows for the year. OPEC and its allies, most notably Russia, are reportedly [..]

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European Open Preview – Markets retrace as trade optimism wanes

Posted on December 4, 2018 at 8:58 am GMT

Trade optimism fades as markets digest the agreement Dollar extends recent pullback Oil continues to recover amid speculation for an OPEC cut RBA slightly more upbeat, but no policy change in sight Stocks edge higher on trade relief, but optimism wanes The boost to global risk appetite following the US-China trade “ceasefire” seems to have been short-lived. Even though US stock markets closed higher, they did surrender a decent part of their gains late in the session, and futures tracking [..]

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European Open Preview – All eyes on the Trump-Xi meeting

Posted on November 30, 2018 at 8:41 am GMT

The Trump-Xi meeting is due tomorrow; whether a “ceasefire” is agreed may determine the near-term direction of the dollar and equities Market reaction to FOMC minutes was muted. Attention turns to a speech by NY Fed President Williams today at 1400 GMT Oil rebounds after posting fresh one-year lows, eyes next week’s OPEC meeting Trump and Xi to meet, outcome may shape risk appetite Movements in the FX market were largely subdued, with investors increasingly turning their attention to the [..]

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European Open Preview – Greenback eyes Fed Chair Powell’s speech

Posted on November 28, 2018 at 9:06 am GMT

Dollar flirts with 1½-year highs as Fed’s Clarida “sticks to script” on hikes; remarks by Fed Chair Powell today at 1700 GMT will be key Stocks briefly slip on rumors of car tariffs but recover on Kudlow’s optimism Pound remains under pressure as political uncertainty reigns Dollar firms after Clarida’s remarks, and amid whispers of car tariffs The greenback shined bright once again on Tuesday, with the dollar index soaring to come within breathing distance of its recent 1½-year highs. [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar turns its sights to Fed speakers; pound tumbles

Posted on November 27, 2018 at 8:47 am GMT

Euro unable to sustain Italy-related gains, as ECB President Draghi struck a more cautious tone amid weakening data Dollar exploits euro’s softness, advancing nearly across the board; today all eyes will turn to a speech by Fed Vice Chair Clarida at 1330 GMT US stocks rebound, but “hawkish” Trump remarks on trade temper optimism Pound tumbles as markets digest Parliament will likely vote against Brexit deal Euro lifted by Italian optimism, but ECB drags it back down The common currency [..]

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