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As the OPEC meeting concludes, what’s next for oil? – Commodity News

Posted on July 1, 2019 at 3:45 pm GMT

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is meeting in Vienna, and the latest headlines suggest a nine-month extension of the existing production cuts is nearly certain. With OPEC’s output plans now clear, oil prices will take their cue from how the US-China trade talks and the situation with Iran unfold. Trade optimism may keep crude supported for now, with the risk of a corrective pullback increasing drastically if the talks show no real signs of progress later in the [..]

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European Open Preview – Oil jumps as US ‘tightens the screws’ on Iran

Posted on April 22, 2019 at 7:58 am GMT

Oil soars as US prepares to impose full sanctions on Iran Currencies enter holiday lull Loonie eyes BoC policy meeting on Wednesday Oil jumps as US ‘tightens the screws’ on Iran Energy markets came back to the forefront on Monday, following reports that Washington is set to announce that all Iranian oil exports will soon face ‘full’ sanctions, ending the waivers it had granted previously to key customers of Iran, like China, Japan, and India. Oil prices surged to fresh [..]

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European Open Preview – Fed rate-cut bets grow; oil climbs on Libya woes

Posted on April 8, 2019 at 8:10 am GMT

Dollar little changed after NFP, but Fed rate-cut odds rise In the UK, reports suggest PM May could accept a customs union compromise Oil touches five-month high as Libyan production is threatened Dollar snoozes after mixed jobs data, but rate-cut bets grow The US employment report for March was a mixed bag. Nonfarm payrolls clocked in at 196k, higher than the consensus for 180k, but wage growth disappointed, with average earnings slowing to 3.2% in annual terms, from a cycle-high [..]

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European Open Preview – Long Brexit extension looms; dollar retreats as Fed casts shadow

Posted on March 19, 2019 at 9:15 am GMT

Pound drops as Brexit angst deepens, but prospect of long extension offers ray of hope Growing Fed rate cut expectations support risky assets, weigh on dollar Crude oil continues to march higher UK House speaker vetoes third Brexit vote – long extension in scope UK politics made headlines yet again on Monday after the Speaker of the House of Commons, John Bercow, ruled out allowing the government to bring its Brexit deal to Parliament for a third time unless it [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures in bullish action but confined to narrow range

Posted on March 12, 2019 at 11:56 am GMT

WTI oil futures jumped to a new one-and-a-half-month high of 57.43 earlier on Tuesday, remaining above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward movement from 51.60 to 57.85 around 56.37 and the 57.16 strong support level. The price has been trading in a narrow range within 55.00 – 57.85 over the last three weeks. However, technical indicators are holding in positive territory with the RSI flattening and the MACD strengthening its momentum. A bullish rally could find immediate resistance at [..]

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European Open Preview – Companies sound warning on China; Brexit saga rumbles on

Posted on January 29, 2019 at 8:52 am GMT

Risk appetite stays fragile as key companies sound the alarm on Chinese growth In the UK, it may be a deciding day for Brexit as lawmakers vote on various plans Earnings season continues in full throttle today, little on economic calendar Corporate warnings on China rattle stocks, drag oil lower US equity markets closed in the red, after industrial bellwether Caterpillar (-9.1%) reported disappointing earnings and chipmaker Nvidia (-13.8%) slashed its revenue forecasts, both companies pointing the finger to weakening [..]

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European Open Preview – IMF adds more clouds to global outlook

Posted on January 22, 2019 at 9:23 am GMT

IMF downgrades growth forecasts; stocks feel the pinch May keeps “no-deal Brexit” scenario alive Oil reverses lower amid signs of slowing global economy Risk appetite stays bearish amid growing global growth fears Stocks in Asia had another weak session on Tuesday as pessimism about global growth kept funds away from risky assets, with Chinese equities losing more than 1%. A couple of hours after China reported its slowest quarterly economic expansion since the financial crisis and the lowest annual growth in 30 years, the International Monetary [..]

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European Open Preview – US inflation data in the spotlight

Posted on January 11, 2019 at 9:16 am GMT

Dollar briefly inches up after Powell; US CPI data today will be crucial Swiss franc drops, with SNB likely behind the move US-China trade optimism boosts aussie and kiwi Brexit uncertainty lingers ahead of next week’s Parliamentary vote Powell helps dollar to rebound briefly, but mind the upcoming inflation data Fed Chair Powell mostly “stuck to the script” yesterday, reiterating the recent shift in the Fed’s reaction function. He said his central bank can afford to be patient with further [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar capitulates as Fed signals “patient” approach

Posted on January 10, 2019 at 9:11 am GMT

Dollar falls sharply after Fed signals it will be “patient”; a slew of key speakers will be in focus today Euro advances, and attention now turns to the ECB minutes at 1230 GMT BoC stands pat, keeping further gradual hikes on the table China stokes trade optimism, but US stock futures flashing red Dollar capitulates on Fed speak, extends losses after FOMC minutes The main mover in FX markets yesterday was the US dollar, which fell significantly and across the [..]

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European Open Preview – FOMC minutes and BoC rate decision in the spotlight

Posted on January 9, 2019 at 8:59 am GMT

In the US, minutes from the latest FOMC meeting will be scrutinized for clues on whether a pause in rate hikes is indeed in order In Canada, the BoC will meet and attention may fall on whether policymakers are growing more cautious Overnight, China releases its updated inflation data FOMC minutes eyed for rate guidance amid recession fears The dollar advanced nearly across the board on Tuesday without any major US-specific catalyst, instead capitalizing on weakness in the euro, which [..]

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