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Daily Market Comment – Stocks creep higher as terrible earnings loom; dollar slips further

Posted on July 13, 2020 at 8:50 am GMT

Stocks braced for disastrous earnings, but low bar sets stage for profit beats Dollar extends downward trajectory despite worrisome virus numbers Gold capitalizes on weaker greenback, but euro turns more cautious Worst earnings season ever? Equity markets were in a surprisingly chirpy mood on Monday, with little sign of distress ahead of what is expected to be the worst earnings season in at least 12 years. Banks will be the primary focus this week, with Citigroup, JP Morgan and Wells [..]

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Fear gauge and gold are still flashing red; are stocks finally taking note? – Special Report

Posted on July 9, 2020 at 1:02 pm GMT

The resurgence in coronavirus cases appears to have put a pause on the relentless risk rally that has propelled global stocks to recoup almost 80% of the March crash. But as stocks drift sideways while investors re-evaluate the prospect of a V-shaped recovery, the bulls still seem to have the upper hand. A resumption of the uptrend looks like a stronger possibility than a downside correction judging by the market sentiment and technical indicators. However, the markets’ two best barometers [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Record NFP jump overshadowed by US virus surge

Posted on July 3, 2020 at 8:51 am GMT

US economy adds record 4.8 million jobs in June but virus jitters cap risk appetite Stocks pare gains, dollar pulled in opposite directions Rising caution may shift attention back to stimulus as US, EU decisions pending US jobs report smashes forecasts but fails to lift markets The latest nonfarm payrolls report did little to dent expectations of a V-shaped recovery as a record 4.8 million jobs were restored in America in June, beating forecasts of an increase of 3 million. [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar stumbles ahead of NFP; vaccine hopes shore up equities

Posted on July 2, 2020 at 8:30 am GMT

Dollar torn between upbeat data and US virus spike; NFP may decide fate Positive vaccine news helps breathe life into flagging stock market rally Gold retreats from highs as markets dismiss US-China tensions Dollar looks shaky as jobs report awaited Markets were mostly in risk-on mode on Thursday as the combination of positive economic indicators and potential coronavirus vaccines kept alive hopes of a strong recovery from the pandemic. But with US markets closed on Friday for Independence Day celebrations, [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Virus resurgence haunts stocks but dollar edges lower

Posted on June 29, 2020 at 8:30 am GMT

Markets start week in risk-off mode as virus surge halts reopening plans in the US Stocks slip, but less cautious mood in FX markets as dollar and yen pull back Pound bounces off lows as Brexit talks enter intensive phase Virus fears keep Wall Street on the back foot Worries that the world could be in the midst of a second Covid-19 outbreak continued to weigh heavily on market sentiment as the second quarter almost draws to a close. Stocks [..]

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Emerging from lockdown: A V-Shaped recovery or false optimism? – Special Report

Posted on June 25, 2020 at 11:16 am GMT

Looking at how risk assets have been performing over the past three months, it’s hard to tell there’s a global pandemic going on. To put it into more context, if someone had been living on a desert island during this time, they would be forgiven for thinking that the world is in the midst of an economic boom when glancing at stock markets. But although there’s been no shortage of crisis response measures since the coronavirus outbreak erupted, how rational [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar firms, stocks slip as spike in virus cases begins to cause worry

Posted on June 18, 2020 at 8:50 am GMT

Risk appetite wanes as markets start to take second wave fears more seriously Surge in cases in Beijing and US drive up dollar demand, weigh on stocks Pound weaker ahead of BoE decision; aussie and kiwi stumble on poor data Risk rally on pause as second wave threatens recovery A worrying increase in the number of new COVID-19 cases in several locations around the world appears to have put the brakes on the risk rally that just a few days [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Risk-on back in play as Fed goes overkill with stimulus

Posted on June 16, 2020 at 8:28 am GMT

Sell-off cut short as markets reminded Fed not done yet with stimulus Possible $1 trillion infrastructure plan by Trump further fuels stocks But will Powell spoil the party again as softer dollar eyes Fed chief’s testimony Pound outperforms after UK and EU agree to intensify Brexit talks Second wave, what second wave? It was a dramatic turnaround for Wall Street on Monday, with all three main indices wiping out earlier sharp losses to close with solid gains, as investors brushed [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Stocks slide again on second wave fears; Pound skids ahead of Brexit talks

Posted on June 15, 2020 at 8:42 am GMT

A resurgence of coronavirus cases sends stocks into a tailspin again Aussie takes a beating, yen and franc up, but gold unable to capitalize Pound extends losses as Johnson tries to kickstart stalled Brexit talks End of the risk rally? The unstoppable risk rally that’s pushed global stocks close to erasing their virus-led losses is in danger of faltering as fears of a second wave of infections intensify. Several states in America have seen a large increase in the number [..]

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Week Ahead – BoE and Brexit could create perfect storm for pound; BoJ and SNB meet too

Posted on June 12, 2020 at 12:49 pm GMT

An upcoming summit of EU leaders could decide the fate of the European recovery fund and the direction of Brexit talks, setting up possible stumbling blocks for the euro’s and pound’s rebounds. The pound will also be keeping an eye on the Bank of England’s policy meeting, with more QE looking likely. The Bank of Japan’s and Swiss National Bank’s respective meetings are not expected to be as exciting. But as some of the recent optimism starts to fade, it [..]

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