USDJPY

US GDP data may dampen rate-cut bets, lift dollar – Forex News Preview

Posted on July 24, 2019 at 1:00 pm GMT

The first estimate of US GDP for Q2 is due at 12:30 GMT on Friday, and may be crucial in shaping the narrative over how deep the Fed will cut rates next week. While a 25 basis points (bp) cut is certain, markets also assign a ~20% chance for a ‘double’ cut of 50bp, which seems excessive. Hence, the dollar may have room to recover for now, if these aggressive bets are scaled back. The US economy likely grew at [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro area PMIs disappoint; Dollar powers through competition

Posted on July 24, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Euro area PMIs disappoint, raising bets for a dovish ECB tomorrow US dollar outperforms, without any clear catalyst Euro/franc falls below 1.10 – will the SNB intervene soon? Euro slips as disappointing PMIs fuel ECB bets Preliminary PMI data out of France and Germany for June have just been released, and were disappointing overall. While the service sector numbers were more or less in line with forecasts, the manufacturing figures fell substantially, with the French print touching the neutral 50 [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar sails higher; Boris becomes Prime Minister

Posted on July 23, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

Dollar advances on US debt ceiling accord; may have more room to climb Boris Johnson to become new UK Prime Minister – watch his Cabinet picks Loonie and kiwi lose ground, earnings season fires up Greenback catches a bid after US debt ceiling deal Market moves were relatively subdued on Monday, with most major currency pairs trading in narrow ranges, without much in the way of news flow to guide the price action. Things became more interesting overnight though, after [..]

Daily Market Comment – Iran tensions rattle stocks, boost oil

Posted on July 22, 2019 at 8:12 am GMT

Stocks pull back, oil climbs as Iran escalates tensions with UK Dollar outperforms after Fed’s Bullard downplays prospect of ‘double’ cut Big week for euro, with a crucial ECB meeting on Thursday US equities retreat, oil rebounds after Iran seizes British ship Geopolitical headlines rattled markets late on Friday, with the benchmark S&P 500 (-0.62%) closing in the red after Iran seized a British oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, escalating hostilities with London to a new level. Oil [..]

Week Ahead – ECB edges closer to more stimulus; US reports Q2 GDP; UK to get new PM

Posted on July 19, 2019 at 9:49 am GMT

The European Central Bank is expected to steal the limelight from the Federal Reserve next week as it meets to discuss fresh stimulus measures for the Eurozone’s troubled economy. But the Fed will still be on investors’ minds as the preliminary report on US GDP growth in the second quarter could determine whether it opts for an aggressive rate cut later this month. Meanwhile, the pound’s rollercoaster ride is expected to extend into next week as the result of the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Cautious Fed remarks take the wheels off dollar

Posted on July 19, 2019 at 8:00 am GMT

Dovish remarks by key Fed officials push greenback lower WTI crude oil at four-week low amid mixed signals in US-Iran conflict Canadian retail sales and more Fed-speak dominate the agenda today Fed’s Williams argues for preventive easing, sends dollar reeling The greenback continues to attract all the attention, after two influential Fed officials fueled market expectations for an aggressive 50 basis points (bp) rate cut at the upcoming policy meeting. The move started after New York Fed President Williams [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pullback in dollar lifts all boats; risk aversion creeps back

Posted on July 18, 2019 at 8:14 am GMT

Dollar retreats as trade concerns fuel Fed rate cut bets Stocks drop, safe havens gain amid risk aversion Aussie climbs after employment data UK retail sales due as pound recovers some losses Dollar grinds lower as July rate cut bets mount The world’s reserve currency retreated almost across the board on Wednesday and continues to surrender ground today, falling in tandem with longer-term US interest rates as worrisome trade signals prompted traders to boost bets for aggressive Fed rate cuts. [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY tests key support; stochastics oversold

Posted on July 18, 2019 at 7:12 am GMT

USDJPY attempted to cross above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and reach the 109 level last week but efforts proved fruitless, with the price resuming negative momentum towards the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the upleg from 104.64 to 112.39. The downward-sloping RSI suggests a weaker short-term trading. Yet, with the Stochastics flashing oversold conditions in the market, upside corrections cannot be ruled out. Should the 61.8% Fibonacci of 107.58 fail to halt downside pressure, the bears could next rest near [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling stumbles as no-deal Brexit fears strike back

Posted on July 17, 2019 at 8:04 am GMT

Pound touches 27-month lows as no-deal Brexit concerns resurface Dollar capitalizes, and may have more room to recover for now Oil sinks as Washington hints at “progress” with Iran Canadian inflation data coming up Sterling stumbles as no-deal worries wreak havoc The pound came under fire on Tuesday, falling by more than one big figure against the dollar to touch lows last seen in April 2017, as the risk of a no-deal Brexit popped back on the market’s radar. The [..]

Japanese trade and CPI data eyed ahead of upper house elections – Forex News Preview

Posted on July 16, 2019 at 2:56 pm GMT

Trade and inflation numbers will be watched out of Japan this week ahead of the weekend elections for Japan’s upper chamber. The June trade data is due on Wednesday at 23:50 GMT, while the inflation figures for the same month will be published on Thursday at 23:30 GMT. Both releases are projected to point to a softening in Japan’s economic picture in a potential warning sign for the Bank of Japan. But with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s coalition expected to [..]

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