USDJPY

Week Ahead – Fed minutes and Jackson Hole eyed for policy direction; ECB minutes and Eurozone PMIs also in focus

Posted on August 16, 2019 at 10:47 am GMT

The summer lull will continue into next week as economic releases will remain sparse. However, central bank minutes and the annual gathering of central bankers at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium should generate plenty of headlines ahead of expected policy easings in September. Trade and geopolitical tensions will also come to the fore as world leaders attend a G7 summit in France. Aussie and kiwi to remain on the backfoot The Australian and New Zealand dollars have managed to steady [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets steadier but recession fears persist; strong US data lifts dollar

Posted on August 16, 2019 at 8:19 am GMT

Stocks head higher as Trump trade comments and strong US retail sales calm markets But fears of a downturn persist as bond markets remain in dangerous territory Pound up on latest bid by UK opposition parties to thwart no-deal Brexit Stock market sell-off eases on positive headlines Stocks in Asia were mostly positive on Friday and European and US equity futures were also pointing to a firmer start following yesterday’s rebound in risk appetite. Sentiment was boosted from a surprise [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks rally in relief after tariff delays

Posted on August 14, 2019 at 8:10 am GMT

US tariff exemptions lift risk sentiment – stocks soar, yen retreats But optimism tempered by weak Chinese data overnight UK inflation data and Eurozone GDP coming up Trump’s tariffs delay revives risk appetite, but is this a game changer? Global risk sentiment came roaring back on Tuesday, with US stock markets closing 1.5% higher and WTI oil gaining 4%, after the Trump administration said it will delay tariffs on several Chinese products until December and exempt some goods altogether. [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY retraces spike higher as 107 blocks the bulls

Posted on August 14, 2019 at 7:21 am GMT

USDJPY started the day in the red on Wednesday after spiking up by more than 1% on Tuesday to meet resistance near the key 107.00 level. The RSI and the red Tenkan-sen are currently following the price down, while the MACD keeps improving below its red signal line, painting overall a bearish-to-neutral picture for the short-term. Moving southwards, traders would keep a close eye on the 105.50-105.00 region, where selling forces paused over the past week. Should the decline continue [..]

Daily Market Comment – Hong Kong concerns keep risk aversion in play

Posted on August 13, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

Safe havens shine and stocks retreat – mainly on fears about Hong Kong Deteriorating political outlook in Italy likely adding to risk aversion Busy calendar today, with crucial UK, German, and US data coming up Stocks stumble on reports China may crack down on Hong Kong protests Risk aversion was the name of the game on Monday, as worrisome political headlines triggered another rotation away from risky assets like stocks, and into the safety of havens like the Japanese [..]

US data may not save the dollar this week – Forex News Preview

Posted on August 12, 2019 at 3:03 pm GMT

The US consumer price index, retail sales and industrial production are all scheduled for release this week but whatever the actual results are the markets will keep the odds for a September rate cut high as the US-Sino trade trouble looks irreversible in the year ahead. Instead, the question should be how aggressively the Fed should act to balance the economy. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of July will come first into view on Tuesday at 1230 [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling feels the burn; Trump plays trade ‘hardball’

Posted on August 12, 2019 at 7:58 am GMT

Sterling resumes downtrend as UK economy shrinks, Brexit fears intensify Yen extends gains after Trump says he isn’t ready to make a deal Calendar practically empty today, in a thin liquidity environment Pound feels the burn as UK economy contracts The British pound remains the ‘sick man’ of the FX market, plummeting to a new three year low against the euro on Friday, after the latest GDP figures showed that the economy contracted in Q2 for the first time since [..]

Week ahead – Markets set to quiet down, despite tug of trade war

Posted on August 9, 2019 at 12:00 pm GMT

It may be a quiet week in financial markets, with no central bank meetings or any other major events on the agenda, as the summer lull finally kicks in. Economic data will therefore attract most of the attention, though any tweets on the trade war or Brexit news could always stir things up. British data unlikely to be a game-changer for the pummeled pound The UK economy continues to feel the heat, with GDP growth contracting in Q2, as Brexit [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen firms again as trade jitters return; euro and pound steady despite election talk

Posted on August 9, 2019 at 8:12 am GMT

Risk aversion spikes again on reports US won’t ease Huawei restrictions Safe havens remain supported, stocks falter Euro and pound unmoved by speculation of snap elections in Italy and the UK Bounce in risk appetite proves short lived as trade worries return Market sentiment turned sour again on Friday as trade tensions resurfaced after Bloomberg reported that the United States is delaying a decision on whether to allow some American companies to do business with China’s Huawei Technologies. President Trump [..]

As the trade war fires up, what’s next for markets? – Special Report

Posted on August 8, 2019 at 12:44 pm GMT

The trade war between Washington and Beijing has flared up, and looks likely to intensify even further, as Trump may use the conflict to score political points ahead of the 2020 US election. In the markets, while stocks may feel some pain, stimulus by the major central banks will likely offset part of those losses. Instead, a far better proxy for any future escalation may be the Japanese yen, which could appreciate further both through the risk sentiment channel and [..]

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