USDJPY

Is the trade war morphing into a new cold war? – Special Report

Posted on October 18, 2019 at 1:05 pm GMT

The trade conflict between Washington and Beijing took a breather lately, after the two camps agreed on some small issues and reached a de-facto truce. Even if this small agreement is finalized in November though, a ‘big’ deal wouldn’t be any closer as neither side is ready to compromise on the real issues. For that to change, a US recession might need to come on the horizon, making Trump soften his stance to boost the economy before the 2020 election. [..]

Week Ahead – Draghi’s last ECB meeting and Brexit vote to headline muted data week; flash PMIs eyed too

Posted on October 18, 2019 at 11:59 am GMT

It will be relatively quiet on the data front in the coming week with just a handful of top-tier releases, but Mario Draghi’s last ever policy meeting at the helm of the European Central Bank should make for an interesting week. The ECB meeting will not be the only policy gathering in Europe as the Swedish and Norwegian central banks will also be setting monetary policy. Brexit, meanwhile, will remain centre stage as a rejected deal could greet traders on [..]

Daily Market Comment – Brexit deal done, but will Parliament approve?

Posted on October 18, 2019 at 8:42 am GMT

New Brexit deal heads to a vote in the UK Parliament on Saturday A rejection may see sterling open lower, but any retreat to stay short-lived Syria ceasefire pushes Turkish lira higher Several Fed officials speak today – crucial for October rate-cut pricing There and back again: A Brexit deal story After a week of intense negotiations, the EU and the UK finally reached a Brexit deal yesterday, which will be put to the British Parliament on Saturday for a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling all over the place amid Brexit rollercoaster

Posted on October 17, 2019 at 8:15 am GMT

Conflicting Brexit headlines pull the pound in all directions Dollar retreats after disappointing US retail sales, euro capitalizes Aussie jumps after decent jobs data curb bets for RBA rate cuts Pound goes for another rollercoaster ride The British pound remains in the eye of the storm, with a barrage of conflicting Brexit headlines yesterday pulling the currency in all directions. A deal wasn’t reached, though progress has seemingly been made, and the negotiations will continue today. That said, both sides [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pound breaks higher as Brexit euphoria grows

Posted on October 16, 2019 at 11:28 am GMT

Pound resumes rally as optimism for a deal grows, but risk of pullback elevated US-China tensions flare up again as Congress pushes Hong Kong bill US retail sales data today may be crucial for whether Fed cuts in two weeks Sterling surges on reports Brexit deal is close, but hold your horses The British currency resumed its upward trajectory yesterday, touching a new five-month high against the dollar, after several reports suggested that a Brexit deal is drawing closer. Beyond [..]

US retail sales to remain steady in September; may not help case for October rate cut – Forex News Preview

Posted on October 15, 2019 at 11:47 am GMT

Retail sales figures will be the main highlight of the US economic calendar this week as investors keep a close eye on the strength of household consumption amid signs of weakness in other parts of the American economy. The data, due on Wednesday at 12:30 GMT, could be significant for the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision on October 29-30. But policymakers will also be watching a number of manufacturing gauges expected this week as the sector struggles under the weight [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling jumps on Brexit hopes; Trump sanctions Turkey

Posted on October 15, 2019 at 8:33 am GMT

Pound shoots up on hopes for a Brexit deal this week Brexit optimism lifts stock markets too, but trade concerns linger Trump hits Turkey with tariffs and sanctions, yet lira climbs Barnier says Brexit deal still possible this week, pound charges higher The Brexit saga remains the dominant theme in the FX market. Investors are holding their breath to see whether a deal will be reached, after the negotiations intensified in recent days. This morning, chief EU negotiator Barnier said [..]

Daily Market Comment – Symbolic trade deal lifts sentiment; sterling cools

Posted on October 14, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

US and China reach ‘mini’ trade deal, but markets remain skeptical Pound pulls back as DUP signals it might not support Boris’s deal Loonie soars after Canadian jobs data beat estimates Trade truce lifts stocks, sends yen lower Global risk appetite got a boost on Friday, with stocks edging higher while safe havens like the Japanese yen surrendered ground, after the world’s two largest economies reached a truce in their fiery trade battle. This ‘limited’ trade agreement will see China [..]

Week Ahead – Big week for Chinese data; make or break time (again) for Brexit

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 12:49 pm GMT

Monthly reports on inflation, retail sales and employment will get into full swing next week, but China is likely to steal the limelight as it will have the busiest calendar. All eyes will be on the third quarter GDP estimate as China battles to prevent a hard landing of its economy amid a deepening trade dispute with the United States. But the ongoing trade war isn’t the only thing that will be causing fatigue for investors as the Brexit drama [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trade optimism lifts risk assets; pound soars after UK and Ireland see “pathway” to deal

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 8:08 am GMT

Risk sentiment boosted after Trump says negotiations were “very, very good” Safe havens retreat along with US dollar, but caution keeps gold elevated Pound skyrockets after UK and Irish PMs say they see “pathway to possible deal” Renewed optimism that US and China can de-escalate tensions Signs that the US and China were making much-needed progress in their long-running trade dispute lifted market sentiment on Friday, leading to a broad-based risk-on mood. President Trump told reporters the talks are “going [..]

Legal disclaimer: The material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments. XM accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences resulting in it. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The research and analysis does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it.

It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of research, and as such it is considered to be marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of the publication of our research, we do not seek to take advantage of it before we provide it to our clients. We aim to establish, maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. We operate a policy of independence, which requires our employees to act in our clients’ best interests and to disregard any conflicts of interest in providing our services.

CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losing all of your invested capital, so please make sure that you fully understand the risks involved.