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USDJPY

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Daily Market Comment – Oil jumps, Mideast tensions rise after US air strikes kill Iranian commanders

Posted on January 3, 2020 at 9:15 am GMT

Tensions flare up in the Middle East after US air strikes kill Iran’s top military leader Oil prices shoot higher, stocks turn negative after the attacks Gold hits 4-month high, yen and Swiss franc soar US air strikes kill risk-on mood Heightened geopolitical tensions threatened to destroy the risk-on sentiment that’s been driving the markets since December after the United States launched air strikes in Iraq, killing top Iranian military officials. The US Defense Department said President Trump had ordered [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDJPY retreats but still holds within Bollinger band

Posted on January 2, 2020 at 2:38 pm GMT

USDJPY remains under pressure and risk is still to the downside as prices continue to drift lower after the bounce off the 109.70 resistance level, remaining within the Bollinger bands. The short-term technical indicators are bearish and moving in the negative territory. The stochastic dived in the oversold zone and continues to point down, while the RSI is moving sideways, suggesting a neutral to bearish view. The next target to the downside is the immediate support of the 23.6% Fibonacci [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Stocks start new year on positive note; dollar recoups some losses

Posted on January 2, 2020 at 9:36 am GMT

Policy easing in China lifts stocks in Asia on first trading day of the year But as stocks extend their rally, in FX markets, most majors pull back against the dollar Gold edges up towards 3-month highs amid some tensions in Middle East and North Korea Quiet start to new year The new year got off to a subdued start with equity markets extending their incredible rally of 2019 and little new developments to rattle currency markets. But with Japanese [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Gold levitates higher, Wall Street and dollar retreat

Posted on December 31, 2019 at 9:31 am GMT

Gold freight train rolls past $1520, fueled by decline in dollar & Treasury yields US stocks pull back despite positive trade news – will Trump target the EU next? Have a great New Year! Gold extends gains on weaker dollar, lower yields A broad-based decline in the US dollar remains the dominant theme in the holiday-thinned FX market, even in the absence of any noteworthy headlines. The retreat in the greenback is ‘lifting all boats’, with the New Zealand dollar [..]

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FX Year Ahead 2020: Turnaround or same old blues? – Special Report

Posted on December 30, 2019 at 3:33 pm GMT

While 2019 was a turbulent year to be sure, every asset class still managed to end in the green, mainly thanks to central bank stimulus. In the FX space, the winners were the Canadian dollar and British pound, the US dollar was almost flat, while the euro underperformed. Looking into 2020, many risks still hang over the euro as the Eurozone is hardly growing, and while many strategists are calling for the dollar’s demise, that seems unlikely unless the Fed [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDJPY bulls lose battle with resistance trendline

Posted on December 30, 2019 at 2:41 pm GMT

USDJPY pushed lower on Monday and back towards the 109.00 level as the strong descending trendline that joins all the lower highs since mid-September 2018 capped upside movements once again. The slowing RSI, which heads towards its 50 neutral mark and the easing momentum in the MACD, which lies near its red signal line, are ruling out a meaningful rally in the short-term. A decline below 109.00 could strengthen negative momentum probably towards the 108.40 support area, where the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Year end flows hit dollar, but gold can’t capitalize

Posted on December 30, 2019 at 9:49 am GMT

Greenback takes a hit in thin markets – a prelude to 2020?   Gold unable to take advantage of weaker dollar and lower US yields Calendar empty, scarce liquidity still a theme No news is bad news for the US dollar News flow in financial markets remains non-existent as things wind down heading into the New Year, but that hasn’t stopped investors from cutting their exposure to the US dollar, which continues to bleed amid year-end flows. Many argue that [..]

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Week Ahead – Focus on manufacturing PMIs in subdued holiday week

Posted on December 27, 2019 at 2:01 pm GMT

The economic calendar will only marginally get busier in the coming week and trading volumes are not expected to pick up much as New Year celebrations get underway. However, key manufacturing gauges out of China and the United States could spoil the festive rally in equities as trade deal optimism continues to support risk assets heading into 2020. Meanwhile, in FX markets, the threat of another flash crash similar to the one seen in January 2019 will likely keep traders [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Wall Street hits new highs for Christmas; gold gains too

Posted on December 24, 2019 at 9:21 am GMT

Dow Jones lifted by Boeing, aussie and kiwi follow stocks higher Sterling edges lower as Brexit worries persist Gold does its own thing again – swims against the risk-on tide US stocks close at fresh records; aussie and kiwi climb as well Another day, another record close for all three major US equity indices, this time with the Dow Jones (+0.34%) leading the pack. The price-weighted index was propelled higher by some gains in Boeing (+2.9%), which has the highest [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDJPY constrained around 61.8% Fibonacci, lacks momentum

Posted on December 23, 2019 at 3:05 pm GMT

USDJPY has been hovering around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 109.36 of the downleg from 112.39 to 104.44 for the past 10 days, with the 109.70 barrier holding back efforts to break above this key resistance point. Momentum indicators suggest a near-term breakthrough for the bulls won’t be possible as the stochastics are trending downwards, and the RSI has flatlined. However, both remain above the 50 neutral level so positive forces still have the upper hand. If the pair [..]

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