USDJPY

Daily Market Comment – Close call if BoE will cut today; Risk aversion revives

Posted on January 30, 2020 at 10:02 am GMT

All eyes on BoE meeting, markets view prospect of a rate cut as a coin toss On balance, decent PMIs give BoE breathing room to wait – if so, pound might spike higher Yen advances, stocks stumble as virus fears revive risk aversion Dollar ticks lower as Fed adopts a slightly more cautious tone, but quickly recovers BoE rate decision: To cut, or not to cut? The main event today will be the Bank of England’s (BoE) policy decision at [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY falls below 109.00; approaches uptrend line

Posted on January 30, 2020 at 8:10 am GMT

USDJPY is holding losses below 109.00, dropping from the seven-month high of 110.28 and below the 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMAs). Also, the pair entered the Ichimoku cloud and is trying to slip beneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 104.45 to 110.28. Technically, the price could lose more ground in the short-term as the RSI is changing direction to the downside and towards its 30 mark, while the MACD oscillator keeps weaking below the trigger line and has neared the zero line. However, the stochastics are warning – as are above the oversold [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed to stand pat; risk appetite roller-coaster rolls on

Posted on January 29, 2020 at 1:29 pm GMT

Fed to stay on hold today, but adopt a slightly more cautious tone? Yen retreats, stocks rebound as risk sentiment recovers However, bond and stock markets are not on the same page today Barrage of corporate earnings coming up: Microsoft, Facebook, Tesla, Boeing No action from Fed, but perhaps a more dovish take Investors may finally divert their attention away from the deadly coronavirus today, when the Federal Reserve concludes its policy meeting at 19:00 GMT. There’s virtually no chance [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk sentiment stabilizes as virus worries calm, but caution lingers

Posted on January 28, 2020 at 9:51 am GMT

Wall Street futures signal a rebound, even without any ‘good news’ However, pockets of stress still evident in the market Japanese stocks decline further, aussie and kiwi can’t get off the floor Today: US durable goods, earnings bonanza begins with Apple Risk aversion takes a breather as virus nerves calm, for now The virus-related uncertainty that plagued global markets in recent days started to abate on Tuesday, with the safe-haven Japanese yen unable to extend its recent gains and futures [..]

Daily Market Comment – Safe havens climb, stocks slide as virus fears deepen

Posted on January 27, 2020 at 10:33 am GMT

Worries that new virus is turning into an epidemic push yen and gold higher Stocks fall alongside oil prices as investors reassess potential economic hit Question now is how long this havoc will last, and whether it gets worse from here Risk sentiment takes a hit as virus death toll soars Risk aversion is the name of the game in global markets on Monday, as investors grapple with concerns about how rapidly the deadly coronavirus is spreading and its potential [..]

Week Ahead – Fed to stand pat but BoE could cut; US and Eurozone Q4 GDP eyed

Posted on January 24, 2020 at 12:45 pm GMT

There will be no shortfall of market-moving events in the coming week, with plenty of top-tier data and crucial central bank meetings shaping the agenda. The Federal Reserve will hold its first policy meeting of 2020 but Q4 GDP and PCE inflation numbers out of the United States are likely to be more helpful for investors in gauging the next move in interest rates. In comparison, the Bank of England’s meeting is expected to be the most exciting in quite [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro slips after ECB; stocks stage another comeback

Posted on January 24, 2020 at 12:28 pm GMT

Euro/dollar breaks lower as ECB is a touch more dovish than expected European PMIs today were mixed, leaving the euro in search of direction Stocks recover losses, but yen doesn’t move accordingly – excess liquidity to blame? UK PMIs beat forecasts, arguing for the BoE to stay on hold next week Euro drops as Lagarde doesn’t hit back at negative rates As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) made no changes to its stimulus program yesterday, nor did President Lagarde [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB meets after BoC sinks loonie; risk appetite wobbles

Posted on January 23, 2020 at 9:54 am GMT

ECB to stay on hold – risks tilted towards a slightly more upbeat narrative BoC teases rate cut, sends loonie plunging Yen jumps as China seals off major city to avoid virus contagion Pound and aussie soar after strong data diminish odds of rate cuts ECB decision: No action, but perhaps a less dovish tone All eyes will be on the European Central Bank (ECB) today, which concludes its policy meeting at 12:45 GMT. No action is expected, so the [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY remains bullish despite recent correction

Posted on January 23, 2020 at 8:45 am GMT

USDJPY’s positive picture seems to be losing some fuel in the recent push up from the 107.76 level. The short-term oscillators suggest that the negative momentum is picking up. The MACD, in the positive region is only just above its red trigger line, while the RSI has dropped to its neutral mark. The Stochastics look bearish with the declining %K line distancing itself below its %D line and into the oversold region. That said, the fresh bullish crossover of the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Don’t fear the virus; BoC rate decision in sight

Posted on January 22, 2020 at 9:19 am GMT

BoC to stay on hold, but any hints of concern might elicit sharp downside in loonie Risk sentiment recovers as concerns about the virus fade Decent UK data lift sterling, but PMIs will be the casting vote on rate cut BoC meeting: Another asymmetric event for the loonie The main event today will be the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate decision at 15:00 GMT. A press conference by Governor Poloz will follow about an hour later. Rates are almost certain [..]

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