USDCAD

European Open Preview – Dollar steady despite healthy US data; RBA in focus

Posted on February 4, 2019 at 9:08 am GMT

Dollar unable to rally even after US payrolls smash expectations Risk sentiment mostly in positive territory today amid trade optimism Aussie on the back foot ahead of RBA decision Dollar unimpressed by strong US data, as Fed casts shadow Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations in January, clocking in at a robust 304k, much higher than the anticipated 165k – though last month’s print was revised down significantly, mitigating some of the good news. Wage growth held steady at 3.2% in annual [..]

Week Ahead – BoE and RBA next to set rates; will they turn dovish too?

Posted on February 1, 2019 at 2:29 pm GMT

The Bank of England and the Reserve Bank of Australia will be next in the central bank world to set monetary policy amid rising risks and uncertainty about the outlook. It will be relatively quiet on the data front as Chinese markets will be shut for the whole week for the Lunar New Year celebrations, while the US economic calendar will be void of top tier releases. RBA to hold rates; may lower growth forecasts The Australian dollar will take [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar looks to payrolls; euro halted in its tracks

Posted on February 1, 2019 at 8:46 am GMT

The US employment report takes center stage today; dollar may be at risk Euro turns lower as Italy enters recession, Weidmann strikes dovish tone US stocks advance amid “progress” in trade talks Dollar rebounds, turns its sights to US employment data The dollar shaked off some of its post-FOMC weakness against a basket of six major currencies, mainly because the euro retreated (see below). There was little in terms of US catalysts, but that changes today, as the all-important jobs [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar suffers losses as Fed abandons hiking plans

Posted on January 31, 2019 at 8:53 am GMT

Fed removes guidance for more hikes; dollar crumbles, stocks soar Trade talks conclude today – any signs of progress crucial for markets Eurozone releases GDP data, risks seem skewed to the downside Dollar drops, stocks roar as Fed folds on further rate hikes While the Fed kept rates unchanged as expected yesterday, the meeting wasn’t short of surprises. Policymakers adopted an even more cautious tone, dropping the reference that further gradual rate hikes will be needed, instead reiterating the mantra [..]

European Open Preview – Brexit stays in limbo; Fed decision eyed

Posted on January 30, 2019 at 9:00 am GMT

Fed decides; Powell’s remarks on the balance sheet may be crucial Pound slides as Brexit uncertainty seems set to remain elevated US-China trade talks commence; plethora of earnings and data also due FOMC meeting – emphasis on Powell’s balance sheet remarks The main event today will be the Fed policy decision at 1900 GMT, which will be followed by a press conference from Chairman Powell – as will every meeting from now on. No change in policy is expected, and [..]

European Open Preview – Companies sound warning on China; Brexit saga rumbles on

Posted on January 29, 2019 at 8:52 am GMT

Risk appetite stays fragile as key companies sound the alarm on Chinese growth In the UK, it may be a deciding day for Brexit as lawmakers vote on various plans Earnings season continues in full throttle today, little on economic calendar Corporate warnings on China rattle stocks, drag oil lower US equity markets closed in the red, after industrial bellwether Caterpillar (-9.1%) reported disappointing earnings and chipmaker Nvidia (-13.8%) slashed its revenue forecasts, both companies pointing the finger to weakening [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar takes a hit on speculation for dovish Fed

Posted on January 28, 2019 at 9:04 am GMT

Reports the Fed may halt its balance sheet unwind hurt dollar, boost stocks Sterling marches higher ahead of decisive week for Brexit ECB President Draghi & BoE Governor Carney speak today Dollar slumps, equities advance on Fed reports & trade optimism It was a lively session for both currency and equity markets on Friday. The dollar slumped while stock indices climbed, amid renewed speculation that the Fed may turn even more dovish and the US-China talks could bear fruit soon. [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD collapses below 1.3300

Posted on January 28, 2019 at 8:55 am GMT

USDCAD lost almost 1% on Friday, reversing all the gains it gathered to close negative in the previous week. While negative momentum has somewhat slowed down on Monday, the RSI and the MACD suggest that the downside is likely to continue as the former weakens below its 50 neutral threshold and the latter returns below its red signal line. An extension lower could reach the previous low of 1.3179, whereas any violation at this point would open the way towards the 200-day simple moving average [..]

European Open Preview – Euro crumbles after ECB; Brexit hopes lift pound

Posted on January 25, 2019 at 9:12 am GMT

Euro closes lower on soft PMIs and ‘vigilant’ Draghi Stocks struggle amid conflicting trade signals Sterling advances on fresh Brexit reports Euro caves in after PMIs sink, Draghi ‘keeps his options open’ Euro/dollar had a particularly turbulent session on Thursday, before ultimately closing lower, caving in under the weight of disappointing PMIs out of the Eurozone and cautious commentary by the ECB. The preliminary manufacturing PMIs out of both Germany and France signaled contraction, revitalizing euro-area growth concerns, while a [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD rally takes a break; looks neutral in short-term

Posted on January 25, 2019 at 8:10 am GMT

USDCAD stabilized within the 1.33 handle after Monday’s rally, with momentum indicators supporting that consolidation may continue in the short-term; the RSI has reversed down to meet its 50 neutral mark, the MACD has improved above its red signal line and towards zero, while the Ichimoku Indicators, (the red Tenkan-sen and the blue Kijun-sen lines) have moved sideways. The 20- and the 50-day simple moving averages (MA), though, which are set for a bearish cross, suggest that the downfall off 1.3663 may be more than [..]

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