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USDCAD

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Daily Market Comment – Oil soars after Saudi attacks; yen and gold up too

Posted on September 16, 2019 at 8:21 am GMT

Oil prices skyrocket after Yemen rebels launch air strikes on Saudi oil facilities Safe havens also jump as poor Chinese data adds to risk-off mood Pound eases from highs after EU casts doubt on Johnson’s claim of Brexit progress Oil prices surge to 4-month high after Saudi oil attacks Crude oil prices skyrocketed on Monday, recording their biggest intra-day gain since 1991 after Houthi rebels in Yemen reportedly carried out drone and cruise missile strikes on two major Saudi Arabian [..]

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Week Ahead – Central banks bonanza awaits: Fed might disappoint, BoJ could surprise, more Brexit blues for BoE

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 1:30 pm GMT

With the ECB meeting over, it’ll be the turn of other central banks to try and impress stimulus-hungry markets with no less than four major policy meetings still to come. The Bank of Japan, the Bank of England, the Swiss National Bank, and of course, the Federal Reserve will announce their decisions over the next seven days. Economic data will also make the headlines as Canada, Japan and the United Kingdom publish inflation stats, China releases industrial production and retail [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDCAD forced back below the 200-SMA & 100-SMA

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 9:42 am GMT

USDCAD bulls shot above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on September 3, but it seems that the bullet was a dud. The bears reversed underneath the 1.3355 resistance, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the down move from 1.3564 to 1.3015, and more importantly the 200- and 100-day SMAs. It seems like a cease fire is developing, as the SMAs and the Kijun-sen are adopting a horizontal picture, with buyers driving back into the Ichimoku cloud. The [..]

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Daily Market Comment – ‘Super Mario’ delivers, but not enough to keep euro down

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 8:26 am GMT

ECB cuts rates & restarts QE, but Draghi’s hints that monetary policy is at its limits push euro higher Stocks soar, havens drop on reports of an ‘interim’ US-China trade deal US retail sales today may be crucial for whether Fed delivers a ‘hawkish rate cut’ next week Euro rides the ECB rollercoaster, ends higher The European Central Bank (ECB) meeting was not short of excitement, with policymakers slashing the deposit rate by 10 basis points to -0.50% and restarting [..]

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Commodity dollars bounce back on easing headwinds but outlook remains as clouded as ever – Special Report

Posted on September 12, 2019 at 2:28 pm GMT

Commodity-driven currencies such as the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars are enjoying a bit of a reprieve from an extended sell-off as rekindled hopes of a US-China trade deal and increased stimulus around the world have energized the struggling currencies. But despite early indications that the upcoming trade talks may actually produce substantive progress, the range of factors weighing on the aussie, kiwi and loonie means more downside is likely to come. The ongoing trade war has dented the [..]

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Daily Market Comment – ECB meeting front and center as trade worries ease

Posted on September 12, 2019 at 8:36 am GMT

ECB decision today – euro reaction to hinge on size of stimulus package Trade fears recede after US and China extend olive branches – stocks soar Oil prices dive as Trump considers easing Iran sanctions ECB meeting: Is ‘Super Mario’ coming with a bazooka or a toy gun? The much-anticipated ECB meeting concludes today at 11:45 GMT, and a press conference by President Mario Draghi will follow at 12:30 GMT. Policymakers are widely expected to deliver a blend of stimulus [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Yen in distress amid trade optimism and BoJ easing talk

Posted on September 11, 2019 at 8:28 am GMT

Trade optimism remains the dominant theme, keeping FX market in a risk-on mood Yen underperforms on speculation of BoJ easing next week Oil retreats after Trump fires hawkish national security advisor Bolton Markets stay in a risk-on mood as trade optimism lingers The FX market continues to dance to a ‘risk-on’ tune, with moves in recent days being characterized by haven currencies such as the yen retreating, while trade-sensitive currencies like the aussie and the kiwi recover lost ground. Investors [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Pound recovers as no-deal Brexit fears recede, for now

Posted on September 10, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Sterling outperforms as Johnson strikes a slightly more conciliatory tone Euro advances on reports Berlin is considering fiscal stimulus Safe havens retreat as US’ Mnuchin reiterates his optimism on trade Sterling cruises higher as no-deal Brexit chances recede, for now The political rollercoaster continues in the UK. Prime Minister Johnson lost another vote in Parliament yesterday, with lawmakers denying his request for a snap election again. Likewise, the legislation forcing the government to ask for a Brexit extension if no [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Brexit the only game in town as markets wait for ECB

Posted on September 9, 2019 at 9:19 am GMT

All eyes on the UK as Boris takes another shot at securing a snap election Dollar little changed after NFP and Powell don’t move the needle – ECB in focus Markets stay in risk-on mood despite soft Chinese trade data Pound cools before another UK Parliament battle Never a dull moment in British politics. After a stormy week that saw the government lose its majority and suffer multiple Brexit defeats in Parliament, investors will keep their gaze locked on another [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDCAD slips back to retest 50% Fibonacci under 200-SMA

Posted on September 6, 2019 at 7:29 am GMT

USDCAD has done little to recover Wednesday’s free-fall that led the price under the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) in the four-hour chart and slightly below the 1.3200 level. The momentum indicators, however, are currently favoring a bearish-to-neutral  picture for the short-term trading as the RSI is pointing towards its 30 oversold mark and the MACD is flattening under its red signal line. The steep negative slope in the red Tenkan-sen is another discouraging signal. The focus is now back [..]

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