USDCAD

Week ahead – Interim trade deal or another salvo of tariffs?

Posted on October 4, 2019 at 12:54 pm GMT

Without a doubt, the main event next week will be the US-China trade talks, which commence on Thursday. Several key economic data are also on the menu, but those will only be a sideshow. Rather, what will make or break market sentiment is whether the two superpowers reach an ‘interim’ trade deal that deescalates tensions a little. It’s a very close call, but Trump may have more incentives not to strike a small deal, and keep ‘maximum pressure’ on Beijing [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pandemonium in markets after dismal data; US payrolls may disappoint too

Posted on October 4, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

Yen climbs, dollar drops as dismal ISM non-manufacturing survey stokes recession worries Risk sentiment recovers by end of US session however, on stimulus hopes US nonfarm payrolls may also disappoint today; Fed chief Powell speaks too Market havoc continues as weak ISM PMI keeps investors wary The US services sector is starting to catch the cold that’s been tormenting the manufacturing sector in recent months, according to the latest ISM data. The non-manufacturing PMI for September fell by more than [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD in battle with 1.3340 familiar resistance

Posted on October 4, 2019 at 7:32 am GMT

USDCAD gathered strong bullish momentum on Wednesday and is currently trading near the key 1.3340 resistance level, which the bulls could not successfully overcome for more than three months now. Technically there is more bullish fuel in store as the RSI has left the neutral territory and adopted an upward direction above 50, while the MACD is also picking up strength above its red signal line. Questions however remain about whether the price can close decisively above the 1.3340 ceiling. If this is the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks crash as recession fears intensify

Posted on October 3, 2019 at 9:01 am GMT

Investors back on recession watch; all eyes on the ISM non-manufacturing PMI today Speculation for Fed rate cuts no longer supports stocks – paradigm shift? Sterling yawns as markets say Brexit proposal is not a needle-mover Equities dive, yen roars back as investors grapple with recession worries Wall Street recorded substantial losses on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 (-1.8%) falling sharply and Asian markets being a sea of red today, as traders continued to cut their risk exposure amid worries [..]

Daily Market Comment – Manufacturing recession and Brexit ultimatum

Posted on October 2, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Stocks tank as disappointing US PMI data fuel recession fears Pound remains under pressure as Johnson’s Brexit ‘ultimatum’ is leaked Mood turns sour as ISM manufacturing PMI drops further into contraction Global markets went into turmoil yesterday, with risk aversion dominating after the US ISM manufacturing PMI unexpectedly dropped to a decade low of 47.8 in September, missing the forecast for a rebound to 50.1. Any reading below 50 suggests the sector is contracting, so the considerable decline in this [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trade war goes financial

Posted on September 30, 2019 at 8:59 am GMT

Markets stay in risk-off mode as US considers financial sanctions against China Kiwi drops to new 4-year low after weak business confidence numbers Pound tumbles on hints of BoE rate cut, but may get some relief from politics Sentiment turns sour on fears trade war may spread into finance The main story on Friday was that the Trump administration is examining whether to restrict US financial flows into China. According to reports, Washington is considering delisting Chinese companies from [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD moves sideways, trapped within moving averages

Posted on September 27, 2019 at 8:51 am GMT

USDCAD’s momentum has evaporated after buyers yesterday reversed the price up to close above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and the flat Kijun-sen line, which have converged within the trading range. The short-term oscillators imply that momentum has dried up but favor the positive picture. The MACD is only just above zero and its red trigger line, while the RSI hovers in bullish territory, marginally above the 50-level. It’s worth mentioning that the upward sloping Tenkan-sen has completed a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trade rollercoaster keeps sentiment fragile; dollar climbs

Posted on September 27, 2019 at 8:00 am GMT

Stocks retreat on trade doubts, but short-term outlook still positive Euro weakens amid ECB easing speculation, dollar capitalizes Flood of US data due out today, but trade issues more important for greenback Stocks pull back on reports US is unlikely to extend Huawei waivers Market moves were relatively muted on Thursday, as investors remained hesitant to increase their exposure until they get a better grip on the various risks currently at play, most notably the Trump impeachment threat and the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar soars as impeachment worries fade, trade optimism returns

Posted on September 26, 2019 at 8:35 am GMT

Renewed trade optimism and fading impeachment concerns lift dollar & stocks One of the biggest ECB hawks resigns; Draghi speaks today RBNZ Governor plays down prospect of QE, lifts kiwi Dollar and equities shoot up as Trump says a trade deal may be close Global risk sentiment improved drastically on Wednesday, as a combination of optimistic trade remarks and diminishing fears of a US presidential impeachment saw investors rotate back into riskier assets. The market’s mood started to improve after [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD bulls relax under 200-day SMA

Posted on September 20, 2019 at 7:24 am GMT

USDCAD bulls relaxed near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on Thursday, letting the price slip back into the 1.3200 handle. According to the RSI and the MACD, traders could behave neutral in the short-term as the former hovers around the 50 mark and the latter is showing little strength around its red signal line. Although the pair managed to inch above the 50% Fibonacci of the downleg from 1.3563 to 1.3015 this week, it could not close above it, [..]

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