USDCAD

Forex Market Review (European Session) – Euro shines as SPD agrees to resume coalition talks; dollar sinks to two-month low

Posted on November 24, 2017 at 4:43 pm GMT

Euro bulls pushed the euro to a fresh two-month high during the European session after upbeat readings on German business climate improved sentiment on the Eurozone’s outlook and political risks in Germany eased. The dollar weakened even further amid a strengthening euro, while disappointing PMI readings added further losses to the currency. Business confidence in Germany reached new record highs in November, with the headline business climate index jumping by 0.9 points to 117.5 compared to the expected 116.6. Businesses also remained optimistic about their activities over the next [..]

Week Ahead – Manufacturing PMIs and inflation data to dominate; OPEC meeting also eyed

Posted on November 24, 2017 at 2:06 pm GMT

After a relatively quiet week, the economic calendar is looking busier for the coming seven days. Manufacturing PMIs will be released in most major economies as the month comes to an end, and inflation measures for the Eurozone, Japan and the United States will also highlight the week. Canada will be in focus too as GDP and jobs figures are published, while the outcome of a meeting of major oil producers will be awaited by commodity traders. Aussie capex eyed [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD is consolidating recent gains but corrective move risks reversing lower

Posted on November 24, 2017 at 7:10 am GMT

USDCAD is consolidating its gains made after a bounce to the October 27 high of 1.2916. Momentum indicators are relatively neutral. The rally off the 6-month low of 1.2061 from September to October has lost steam after finding strong resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level (1.2922) of the downleg from medium-term downtrend from 1.3793 to 1.2061. The market is now at risk of reversing the recent corrective move. Prices are currently testing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and there [..]

Forex Market Review (European Session) – Euro boosted on upbeat PMI figures; dollar index records 6-week low

Posted on November 23, 2017 at 3:45 pm GMT

The euro was on the rise during today’s European trading relative to major other currencies as preliminary November eurozone PMI figures surprised to the upside. The greenback was on a negative footing after markets interpreted the Fed minutes from its latest meeting as being on the dovish side, while the Canadian dollar lost ground after retail sales out of the country came in below analysts’ projections. At 1525 GMT, the dollar’s index against a basket of currencies was 0.1% lower [..]

Forex Market Review (Asian Session) – Dollar flat following losses on Fed perceived dovishness; thin trading on Thanksgiving holiday

Posted on November 23, 2017 at 8:29 am GMT

As the Asian session was nearing completion, the dollar was little changed on the day relative to major rival currencies after yesterday posting sizable losses following the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s October 31-November 1 meeting which showed differing views within the FOMC, casting doubts about the timing of delivery of future rate hikes. Trading activity is relatively thinner today as Japan is closed for Labor Thanksgiving Day and US markets will also be closed for the [..]

Forex Market Review (Asian Session) – Dollar on the backfoot as Treasury yield gap flattens; oil heads to two-year high

Posted on November 22, 2017 at 8:49 am GMT

The dollar was on the backfoot in Asia on Wednesday as the US yield curve flattened to its lowest spread in a decade, while dovish comments from the Fed chief late on Tuesday dragged the currency even lower ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Energy markets also posted significant moves during the session, with oil prices heading towards two-year high levels. The difference between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields touched the lowest since November 2007 on Tuesday, spreading fears of a possible economic downturn. This [..]

Forex Market Review (European Session) – Aussie bounces after RBA Lowe says next rate move is up; Turkish lira hits record low

Posted on November 21, 2017 at 4:26 pm GMT

The aussie overperformed its peers during the European session, posting a strong rebound after the RBA governor ruled out the possibility of expanding stimulus monetary policy. On the other hand, the Turkish lira hit a record low against the greenback after the Turkish president threatened to take control of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT). Speaking at a dinner event in Sydney, the RBA governor underlined that “there is not a strong case for a near-term adjustment [..]

Forex Market Review (European Session) – Euro fails to rebound after Draghi’s dovish words; pound gains on Brexit hopes

Posted on November 20, 2017 at 4:22 pm GMT

Political noise in Germany continued to draw markets’ attention during the European trading hours as the economic calendar was lacking major releases and any progress on the US tax reforms was expected only after the Thanksgiving holidays. The euro was on track to erase losses made in the previous session but dovish remarks by the ECB President pressured the currency. The dollar was in the green during the session while the pound drifter higher as hopes on Brexit negotiations moving [..]

Forex Market Review (Asian Session) – Dollar struggles as Mueller subpoenas Trump’s campaign; safe havens jump on risk aversion

Posted on November 17, 2017 at 9:32 am GMT

The dollar opened weaker on Friday in Asia on news that several officials from Trump’s campaign were subpoenaed for Russia-linked documents despite markets relief on the US tax story after lawmakers approved the tax plan in the House of Representatives. Consequently, investors turned risk-averse during the session, pushing the safe-haven assets higher. According to the Wall Street Journal on Thursday, the Special Counsel, Robert Mueller, who has been appointed to investigate possible Russian meddling in Trump’s 2016 campaign, issued subpoenas to more than a dozen [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD in a consolidation phase after rejection at key resistance

Posted on November 17, 2017 at 7:20 am GMT

USDCAD has been in a consolidation phase during the last two weeks. The market is soft and is trapped between the 50 and 200-day moving averages. Trend signals are weak and momentum is neutral. The recent bullish bounce found resistance at the 50% Fibonacci of the decline from 1.3793 to 1.2061. Prices are currently pivoting around the 38.2% Fibonacci level in the mid-1.2700 handle. If the market can re-test the 50% Fibonacci (1.2922), prices would meet further resistance at a [..]

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