FX Daily Outlook | 25-05-17
Posted on May 25, 2017 at 8:54 am GMT[..]
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The US dollar was heavy after the FOMC minutes, while the Canadian dollar outperformed across the board on an upbeat Bank of Canada. Oil prices extended gains ahead of the OPEC meeting in Vienna today. The minutes from the Fed’s May policy meeting showed some caution, despite most FOMC members indicating that another interest rate increase would be appropriate soon. The probability of a rate hike at the June FOMC meeting remains quite high – above 80% – but the [..]
The Canadian dollar was one of the best performing major currencies today after it gained on an upbeat Bank of Canada. The BOC held its benchmark interest rate at 0.5% as expected but its statement was more positive overall. It said that recent domestic economic data have been encouraging and inflation was broadly in line with expectations. After trading mostly flat for most of the day, the USD / CAD tumbled on the BOC announcement, dropping below the key $1.3500 [..]
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The aussie reacted negatively to Moody’s downgrade of China’s rating to A1 from Aa3, amid concerns over rising debt and slowing economic growth. China is a major trading partner for Australia and so the news had the most impact on the currency which fell over 0.5% against the greenback to reach $0.7441 during the Asian session, reversing a three-day advance. Disappointing Australian construction data also weighed on the aussie. The US dollar bounced back and pulled away from recent lows of more [..]
The euro held near six-month highs against the dollar after strong Eurozone PMI data. Sterling remained under pressure due to the events in Manchester and following disappointing data related to the UK retail sector. The US dollar was flat against a basket of major currencies. The loonie hit a one-month high. The euro gained on the back of strong Eurozone and German PMI data, providing encouraging news for the European Central Bank which is expected to start unwinding its unprecedented [..]
Risk appetite was dampened after news of the bomb blast in Manchester that killed more than twenty people late on Monday night. Sterling weakened immediately after the reports, while safe haven assets like the yen and gold strengthened. An uncertain political climate in the US weighed on the dollar. The pound dropped against the yen and the Australian dollar during Asian trading. It was impacted less against the greenback and the euro. Pound / yen fell half a percent from [..]
There were some notable moves in the currency markets despite an absence of major economic data releases during the session. The euro rallied across the board on German Chancellor’s views on the weak euro. Sterling challenged the key $1.3000 level on Brexit concerns and UK election polls. The dollar index slipped to fresh year-to-date lows. The euro was one of the best major performing currencies after it rose on headlines showing the Merkel said the euro was too weak. Talking [..]
WTI oil futures hit a one-month high of 51.22 earlier on Monday as the commodity continues its two-week rally. Prices today were capped by the 100-day moving average (MA) but overcoming this level should be possible given the positive near-term momentum. The RSI is rising and has yet to reach overbought territory, signalling room for further gains. However, the stochastics have already crossed into overbought levels, suggesting the rally may struggle to maintain momentum. Should prices get past the 100-day [..]
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