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Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks crawl higher but markets on alert amid virus spike

Posted on May 11, 2020 at 8:33 am GMT

Dollar gains versus yen, stocks edge up as lockdown easing spurs bets of economic rebound But fears of second virus wave keep risk appetite in check, gold ticks higher Doubts about Trump’s commitment to US-China trade deal adds to subdued tone Safe-haven yen takes a tumble as more economies reopen The US dollar appeared to lose some of its safe-haven allure on Monday as signs of economic life in many parts of the world shifted the focus to the improving [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI futures’ correction calms ahead of the 50-day SMA

Posted on May 7, 2020 at 6:47 am GMT

WTI oil futures’ pullback ran out of steam before reaching the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at the 26.00 handle. This price stall can also be seen in the hovering of the RSI above the 50 level and the smoothing of the incline of the red Tenkan-sen line. The short-term oscillators provide conflicting opinions. Looking at the RSI, it has run above its neutral mark while the MACD, in the negative zone, is increasing above its red trigger line towards [..]

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Technical Analysis – Could WTI oil futures confirm a bullish double bottom structure

Posted on April 30, 2020 at 10:30 am GMT

WTI oil futures for June delivery have been moving back and forth since the plunge to 6.62 last week, forming a double bottom pattern around the 10.00 level on the four-hour chart. The bullish reversal pattern, however, needs a confirmation above the neckline that is placed around the 18.00 mark to turn valuable. Currently, the momentum indicators are painting a positive picture for the short-term as the MACD is strengthening in the positive area for the first time since early April, the RSI is also comfortably within the [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Stocks jump on virus drug hopes; Fed’s blank cheque pressures dollar

Posted on April 30, 2020 at 8:21 am GMT

Global stocks extend gains on potential treatment for coronavirus and dovish Fed But Trump’s China blame-game caps gains Powell signals more stimulus may be needed, puts dollar on backfoot ECB next on the agenda; will it pump more stimulus? Remdesivir boosts stocks again despite question marks Positive results from two clinical trials on the effectiveness of Gilead’s remdesivir drug once again raised hopes that the deadly coronavirus that has plunged the global economy into its worst crisis can be defeated. [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar edges down ahead of Fed; aussie’s bull run continues

Posted on April 29, 2020 at 8:35 am GMT

Dollar drifts lower in mostly risk-on mood ahead of Fed statement Virus success powers aussie to 7-week high, euro perks up too Oil steadies, stocks move higher in lacklustre trading Dollar pressured amid lockdown easing, eyes Fed meeting The mood of cautious optimism continues to prevail in the markets on Wednesday as several countries have begun or are preparing to ease their lockdown measures. Hopes that shuttered businesses will soon be able to reopen their doors has sparked a relief [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Oil plunges again despite lockdown exits; gold down too

Posted on April 28, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

Threat of another crash in oil prices after biggest oil ETF dumps holdings in June contracts But markets otherwise enjoying a rare calm as lockdown measures are slowly relaxed Stocks and dollar hold steady but gold and kiwi skid Oil’s woes persist as WTI plunges WTI oil futures are on track for a second day of hefty losses as the commodity remains heavily pressured after the biggest oil exchange-traded fund (ETF) yesterday said it plans to sell all its WTI [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar slips as lockdown easing spurs risk-on; BoJ ramps up stimulus

Posted on April 27, 2020 at 8:43 am GMT

Dollar pressured as euro, pound and aussie charge higher on possible relaxation of lockdowns Stocks edge higher too but oil plunges again Bank of Japan pledges unlimited QE; focus moves to Fed and ECB Light at the end of the lockdown tunnel? It was a buoyant start to the week as signs that the draconian lockdowns that have paralysed major economies around the world are about to be loosened lifted risk appetite. The US dollar, which has been the safe [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures collapse to 21-year lows; 13-level eyed next

Posted on April 20, 2020 at 9:18 am GMT

WTI oil futures (May delivery) collapsed to a 21-year low of 14.46 early on Monday, re-activating this year’s bearish direction and eliminating any hopes of a trend reversal that the incomplete head and shoulder and a double bottom patterns created in previous sessions. On the four-hour chart, the RSI returned below its 30 oversold level and the MACD strengthened its negative momentum below the signal line, both hinting that the bears may keep pressuring in the short-term. In this case, [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Virus drug hopes, Trump reopening plan fuel optimism; dollar holds firm

Posted on April 17, 2020 at 8:28 am GMT

Risk appetite returns on promising coronavirus drug and hope of shutdowns ending soon Stocks re-energized, gold dips but dollar resilient China reports first ever drop in GDP, but markets stay positive Trump wants to reopen economy, markets like it The mid-week souring in risk sentiment is seeing a turnaround as optimism for a way out of this virus crisis returns to the markets. After a series of data showing a collapse in key US economic indicators, ranging from retail sales [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI futures bearish despite pause ahead of 19.00 handle

Posted on April 16, 2020 at 8:32 am GMT

WTI crude oil futures appears to be tilting negative again as it pierced just below the February 1999 level of 19.25 by plotting a new low of 19.19. Confirming the bearish sentiment is the RSI, which in the bearish area is slipping towards its 30 point, while the MACD, deep in negative territory, is looking to retake its red trigger line. Furthermore, with the prevailing negative outlook painted by the diving simple moving averages (SMAs) and the still intact bearish [..]

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