oil

Technical Analysis – WTI builds confidence above Ichimoku cloud

Posted on June 4, 2020 at 8:38 am GMT

WTI oil futures pierced above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) located at the 36.10 level, that being the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 65.61 to 6.62. The commodity’s correction from the 6.62 bottom has breached the Ichimoku cloud and looks to be preparing to accelerate above a critical limiting region. Additionally, the rising Ichimoku lines and the turn up in the 50-day SMA may further assist this short-term view. The short-term oscillators presently seem to maintain [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steadies as stocks pause rally; euro eyes ECB stimulus

Posted on June 4, 2020 at 8:33 am GMT

Dollar regains some positive footing as risk rally eases Euro takes a breather ahead of ECB decision Oil pulls back amid doubts about OPEC+ extending output cuts Dollar fights to end losing streak as stocks lose steam The US dollar fought back on Thursday to retain its reign over FX markets, which has come under threat over the past week as rising optimism about the global economy recovering from the pandemic has revived risk assets. The dollar index, which measures [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar slumps as recovery hopes gather pace

Posted on June 3, 2020 at 8:38 am GMT

Increasing optimism of strong economic recovery pummel the dollar Yen loses shine too, but gold holds within range as US and China risks linger Loonie nears 3-month high as BoC and OPEC+ decisions eyed Markets shrug off US unrest, look to recovery After a brief scare on Tuesday, it didn’t take long for risk appetite to get back into full mode as investors largely ignored growing unrest in the United States to instead focus on the increasing signs that a [..]

Daily Market Comment – US protests rage on, start to weigh on dollar

Posted on June 2, 2020 at 8:28 am GMT

Trump inflames protests, threatens martial law as US stocks begin to take notice Dollar extends slide as recovery hopes keep positive sentiment intact Aussie flirts with $0.68 after RBA, pound shoots above $1.25 despite Brexit risks Oil steady ahead of OPEC+ meeting Market unease as protests ravage US cities Mass protests continue for a seventh day across major cities in the United States, causing widespread damage and looting in what is another blow for businesses already crippled by the shutdowns [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures lose some shine but uptrend still intact

Posted on May 28, 2020 at 7:32 am GMT

WTI crude oil futures for July delivery inched down on Wednesday after failing to lift the strong ceiling around 34.63 and jump above the Ichimoku cloud. The price is now looking for support at April’s highs around 31.00 in order to pick up steam, though the weakening RSI and the slowing MACD are currently discouraging any upside move but not ruling it out as long as the former holds above its 50 neutral mark and the latter above its red [..]

Daily Market Comment – Caution sets in after Trump signals Hong Kong action

Posted on May 27, 2020 at 8:41 am GMT

Dollar firms as Trump hints at end-of-week response against China over Hong Kong But stocks mixed as US-China tensions fail to dent recovery optimism EU divisions resurface, put a brake on euro’s advances US preps Hong Kong sanctions: only Asia takes note Asian stocks were under pressure on Wednesday as US President Donald Trump gave his clearest signal yet that his administration is planning a response to China’s tightening of its grip on Hong Kong. In a White House press [..]

Week Ahead – US-China feud to stay under spotlight as data takes a backseat

Posted on May 22, 2020 at 12:04 pm GMT

Virus recovery hopes have gotten a boost after preliminary PMI readings for May rebounded more strongly than expected, underscoring the market optimism. But with economic releases set to quieten down in the coming week, Washington’s increasingly hostile language against China threatens to upset the dubious risk-on theme. Any panic-driven sell-off in risk assets could be accentuated from another anticipated plunge in personal consumption and durable goods orders in the US, which will be the main data highlights of the next [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI futures retreat after the jump to 6-week high at 33.05

Posted on May 19, 2020 at 9:31 am GMT

WTI futures for July delivery advanced to a fresh six-week high of 33.05 on Monday before pulling slightly back, opening the way for more bullish actions on the 4-hour chart. The price has been creating an upside trend since April 28, and the 20- and 40-period simple moving averages (SMAs) posted a bullish crossover in the preceding sessions, backing the positive structure. The technical indicators send overbought signals, suggesting a possible pullback. The RSI has peaked above the 70 level and is heading south, while the MACD is losing momentum in the positive [..]

Daily Market Comment – US-China tensions simmer but markets still betting on recovery

Posted on May 15, 2020 at 8:55 am GMT

Trump threatens to “cut off” relationship with China as row over virus spread escalates But market fallout limited as hopes of recovery and more stimulus prevail Dollar headed for weekly gains, eyes US retail sales data Trump continues attack on China President Trump stepped up his fierce criticism of China as he continued to blame the country for failing to stop the spread of the coronavirus. Speaking to Fox Business Network on Thursday, Trump cast doubt on future trade links [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed talks down negative rates, dollar likes it

Posted on May 12, 2020 at 8:27 am GMT

Dollar jumps as Fed officials downplay prospect of negative rates in the US Stocks slip as growing fears of second wave of infections weigh on sentiment Central banks in focus: more Fed speakers on the way, RBNZ decision awaited US yields rise as negative rate expectations fade The US dollar held onto its gains on Tuesday after surging yesterday on the back of rising Treasury yields. The yield on two- and five-year Treasury notes hit record lows on Friday as [..]

Legal disclaimer: The material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments. XM accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences resulting in it. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The research and analysis does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it.

It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of research, and as such it is considered to be marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of the publication of our research, we do not seek to take advantage of it before we provide it to our clients. We aim to establish, maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. We operate a policy of independence, which requires our employees to act in our clients’ best interests and to disregard any conflicts of interest in providing our services.

CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losing all of your invested capital, so please make sure that you fully understand the risks involved.