oil

Daily Market Comment – Yen skids on upbeat China data even as trade deal faces delay

Posted on December 2, 2019 at 9:16 am GMT

Markets in risk-on mood on better-than-expected Chinese manufacturing PMIs Still plenty of caution though, as US and China struggle to conclude ‘phase one’ deal Pound slips as Tories’ poll lead narrows further Oil bounces back after Iraq says deeper cuts to be discussed at OPEC+ meeting Sentiment lifted by rebound in Chinese factory activity December got off to a positive start after data over the weekend and on Monday showed manufacturing output in China unexpectedly rose in November. China’s official [..]

Week Ahead – US jobs report could further bolster dollar; RBA and BoC meetings eyed

Posted on November 29, 2019 at 12:13 pm GMT

Central bank meetings and the US jobs report will kick off the final month of 2019 next week, energising the markets as many traders return from the Thanksgiving break in the United States. The nonfarm payrolls report will of course be the main highlight as a positive print there could further add to the improving picture for the US economy, fuelling the dollar. But the ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs will also be key in directing the greenback in the [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures hold onto bullish bias but momentum is weakening

Posted on November 26, 2019 at 8:31 am GMT

WTI oil futures have eased slightly off the 58.56 resistance, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 63.22 to 50.98, following the recent price appreciation from the bounce off the 200-period simple moving average (SMA). The short-term oscillators reflect a stall in the positive momentum. The MACD, in the positive zone has slipped below its red trigger line, while the RSI is decreasing in the bullish region and is nearing the 50-level. However, as the price [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks slide as trade deal doubts grow; yen holds firm

Posted on November 21, 2019 at 9:37 am GMT

Fears grow that a ‘phase one’ trade deal between the United States and China might be delayed Row over Hong Kong adds to complications in talks as China plays down disagreement Stocks under pressure, yen and gold extend gains Oil eases on trade woes following surge from US inventories and Russia output pledge Reports of a delay in ‘phase one’ deal keeps risk aversion elevated Markets maintained a cautious mood on Thursday as conflicting reports about where the US-China [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures resume uptrend but shift sideways as momentum dries

Posted on November 12, 2019 at 10:08 am GMT

WTI oil futures are trading around the 57.11 area, which is the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the down wave from 63.22 to 50.98, with an undecided direction in hand. Oil has realigned with the positive picture, climbing above 56.90 but then adopted a range (55.66 – 57.83) in the last week, something also viewed in all the Ichimoku lines as they have converged. The short-term oscillators suggest that directional momentum has disappeared but lean towards a positive outlook. The MACD [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures cautiously positive; pullback steers price below 200-SMA

Posted on October 29, 2019 at 3:54 pm GMT

WTI oil futures are leaning towards a positive short-term picture despite penetrating back below the 200-period simple moving average (SMA). The short-term oscillators are confirming a neutral-to-positive outlook unfolding, with the price now breaking back above the 200-period SMA. The RSI’s negative momentum is easing, heading higher in the bearish territory to the neutral mark. The MACD, despite having fallen below its red trigger line, holds above the zero line. However, the Kijun-sen and 200-period SMA are adopting a horizontal [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures resume slide, return focus to the downside

Posted on October 15, 2019 at 9:28 am GMT

WTI oil futures are looking increasingly bearish after slipping below the 50-period simple moving average (SMA). The short-term oscillators are turning negative. The RSI is accelerating the negative momentum, falling further below the neutral mark. The MACD is also pointing to negative pressures, dipping below the zero line. However, the SMAs reflect mixed signals and thus could yet manage to confine the price within a sideways market. To the upside, buyers have a tougher task in hand, as they would need [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trade optimism lifts risk assets; pound soars after UK and Ireland see “pathway” to deal

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 8:08 am GMT

Risk sentiment boosted after Trump says negotiations were “very, very good” Safe havens retreat along with US dollar, but caution keeps gold elevated Pound skyrockets after UK and Irish PMs say they see “pathway to possible deal” Renewed optimism that US and China can de-escalate tensions Signs that the US and China were making much-needed progress in their long-running trade dispute lifted market sentiment on Friday, leading to a broad-based risk-on mood. President Trump told reporters the talks are “going [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets calm but choppy amid mixed signals on trade talks

Posted on October 10, 2019 at 8:28 am GMT

Conflicting reports on state of US-China trade talks pull sentiment in all directions Hope of a partial trade deal sees calm restored before top-level talks are set to start Euro shoots higher ahead of ECB minutes Pound not holding its breath for breakthrough as UK and Irish PMs meet for last-ditch Brexit talks Trade talks still dominating markets’ attention There’s no escaping the US-China trade war saga not even for a single day this week as the headlines keep rolling [..]

Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures may retest the bottom as bearish bias holds

Posted on October 9, 2019 at 7:37 am GMT

WTI oil futures for November delivery turned indecisive after failing to pierce the floor around the 23.6% Fibonacci of the downleg from 76.87 to 42.53 last week. The short-term bias,on the other hand, remains negative as the price is trending below its moving averages, the RSI is showing no improvement below its 50 neutral mark, and the MACD keeps strengthening under its red signal line. A breach of the 23.6% Fibonacci of 50.87 could initially stall near 49.40 and then around the [..]

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