GBPUSD

Daily Market Comment – Dollar firms, stocks dive again as US virus cases soar

Posted on April 1, 2020 at 8:41 am GMT

Risk sentiment sours again on mounting virus fallout, pulling stocks lower Manufacturing PMIs heighten recession fears; US ISM PMI next in focus Fed tries to ease dollar funding pressure but unable to keep currency down for long Stocks head south as virus panic returns It was a poor start to the second quarter for stock markets around the world as the growing coronavirus pandemic shows no sign of slowing, with the number of cases globally shooting past 800,000 yesterday. Stocks [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks buoyed by China PMIs; yen down on fiscal year-end positioning

Posted on March 31, 2020 at 8:45 am GMT

Chinese PMIs unexpectedly turn positive in March, lifting stocks, but only slightly Signs of contagion slowing in Europe but uncertain outlook keeps lid on sentiment Yen slips as Japanese investors scramble for dollars at end of fiscal year Some joy from bounce in Chinese PMIs Markets were in a relatively upbeat mood on Tuesday as encouraging PMI numbers out of China and a positive close on Wall Street lifted shares in Asia. European indices jumped more than 1% at the [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD cautiously positive tackling the 50.0% Fibonacci

Posted on March 31, 2020 at 7:49 am GMT

GBPUSD’s recent ascent from the historic bottom of 1.1409 seems to be struggling at the 1.2461 border – that being the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 1.3514 to 1.1409 – and the restrictive trend line. The short-term oscillators suggest that positive momentum is wavering. In the negative region, the MACD’s move above its red trigger line looks to be slowing, while the RSI has also lost positive strength reclaiming its 50 mark. Moreover, the stochastics appear to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar edges up, stocks muted in cautious start to week

Posted on March 30, 2020 at 8:32 am GMT

Stocks steady somewhat after Friday’s dip Dollar heads higher after worst week since 2009 Oil skids again; Brent hits 17-year low as world economy shuts down US stock futures attempt to rebound; risk of increased volatility Wall Street was unable to extend its winning streak to a fourth day on Friday but still managed to post its strongest week since 2009. Stocks had been steadily rising after a big gap lower at the open but went into reverse after the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks rally despite recessionary US data, is the bottom in?

Posted on March 27, 2020 at 9:17 am GMT

US jobless claims signal the economy is in recession, but stocks gain ~6% Is this the beginning of a new uptrend, or just a bear market rally? In FX, dollar continues to sink as liquidity pressures ease, but yen stays in demand Markets shrug off horrible US jobless numbers A record-shattering 3.3 million Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, more than quadrupling the previous record and providing the clearest indication to date that the US is headed for a [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD finds strong wall near 1.2300; bullish correction on the cards

Posted on March 27, 2020 at 8:46 am GMT

GBPUSD looks to be creating a floor above the Ichimoku cloud and slightly below the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward wave from 1.3200 to 1.1409, near 1.2307. The bullish crossover of the 20- and 40-period simple moving averages (SMAs) is confirming the recent upside correction in the 4-hour chart after the aggressive dive towards the 35-year low of 1.1409. Technically, the RSI indicator is turning slightly lower after it visited the 70 level in the near-term and the [..]

Pound at 35-year low as Brexit leaves UK more exposed to global risks – Special Report

Posted on March 26, 2020 at 12:28 pm GMT

The pound is not usually synonymous with risk-sensitive currencies. That label is commonly used to describe commodity-driven currencies such as the Australian and Canadian dollars that move in tandem with global risk sentiment. But with the United Kingdom now formally having left the European Union, Brits could not have picked a worse time to ‘go it alone’. It’s no wonder therefore that at a time of heightened risk aversion, traders have been dumping the pound for safer investments, pushing it [..]

Daily Market Comment – US jobless data: A trial by fire for markets

Posted on March 26, 2020 at 9:42 am GMT

US jobless claims today will reveal how much economic damage the virus has already inflicted Make or break moment for stocks – a worse than feared number could quash the recent recovery Yen leads, aussie lags as risk aversion slowly creeps back into markets US jobless data could derail the latest recovery Economic data finally comes back into the spotlight today, as the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week will give us a taste of just how [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks roar back as Congress reaches deal on rescue package

Posted on March 25, 2020 at 10:11 am GMT

Global stocks rebound sharply as Democrats and Republicans agree on $2 trillion stimulus package But has the market truly bottomed, or is this another dead cat bounce? In FX, risk-taking is back; commodity currencies recover as dollar and yen retreat Is gold turning the corner? Epic turnaround for stocks Global markets staged a heroic recovery on Tuesday. The Dow Jones climbed almost 11.4% to record its strongest day since 1933 as investors took heart that the US Congress would [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed drops hydrogen bomb on markets, wounds dollar

Posted on March 24, 2020 at 11:23 am GMT

Dollar inches down as Fed goes all out, announces unlimited QE and expands purchase universe Wall Street closes lower, unimpressed by Fed – but set to recover today as Congress moves closer to a deal In broader FX market, the retreating dollar lifts all other boats Fed drops equivalent of hydrogen bomb on markets The Federal Reserve went ‘all in’ yesterday, promising to buy unlimited amounts of Treasury bonds and mortgage backed securities (MBS) to stabilize financial markets and negate [..]

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