GBPUSD

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD at risk of a bearish trend after double top formation

Posted on May 15, 2020 at 6:25 am GMT

GBPUSD is flashing bearish trend signals on the four-hour chart as the price seems to have completed a double-top pattern below 1.2246. With the shorter-term simple moving averages (SMAs) also having crossed below the longer-term SMAS, the pair could continue its bearish trajectory, though for that to happen the neckline around 1.2246 and near the 20-period SMA should now act as resistance, while on the downside, the 1.2160 barrier, which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci of the 1.1409-1.2645 upleg, should open the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Powell warns of lasting virus damage, empowers dollar but sinks stocks

Posted on May 14, 2020 at 8:49 am GMT

Fed Chair Powell delivers bleak assessment of US economy but rules out negative rates Dollar stands tall as Wall Street takes a dive, pulling global stocks with it Pound and kiwi slip to multi-week lows, aussie and loonie also on the backfoot Powell’s dire warnings kill hope of speedy recovery Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s much anticipated speech took centre stage on Wednesday as the head of the world’s most powerful central bank delivered a detailed but grim view of the [..]

With interest rates at zero, what will drive FX now? – Special Report

Posted on May 13, 2020 at 3:15 pm GMT

Interest rate differentials have traditionally driven the FX market, but now that every major central bank has slashed rates to zero, what will guide currencies? In a nutshell, it might be a blend of how high the risk of future shutdowns is, relative growth performance coming out of the crisis, global risk sentiment, and politics. The defensive yen seems attractive in this brave new world as it no longer suffers from a severe yield disadvantage, while the dollar’s role as [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBNZ flags negative rates, Powell expected to do opposite

Posted on May 13, 2020 at 8:42 am GMT

Kiwi plunges after RBNZ signals negative rates are an option But Fed’s Powell unlikely to embrace negative rates in upcoming speech Warnings of second virus wave hit stocks RBNZ could be next to tiptoe into negative rates The New Zealand dollar fell about 1% on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand doubled its bond buying plan at its policy meeting today and gave its clearest indication yet that negative interest rates could become “an option in future”. As [..]

UK economy set for big contraction as Johnson’s lockdown policy descends into chaos – Forex News Preview

Posted on May 12, 2020 at 10:28 am GMT

It will be the UK’s turn next to post dire economic output figures as the coronavirus leaves no country spared. First quarter GDP estimates are due on Wednesday (06:00 GMT) and they will likely only be a taste of what to expect in the second quarter. With Britain resisting the urge to relax social distancing measures too significantly, the economic costs of containing the virus outbreak are mounting, clouding the outlook for the pound. Q1 GDP drop just the beginning [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed talks down negative rates, dollar likes it

Posted on May 12, 2020 at 8:27 am GMT

Dollar jumps as Fed officials downplay prospect of negative rates in the US Stocks slip as growing fears of second wave of infections weigh on sentiment Central banks in focus: more Fed speakers on the way, RBNZ decision awaited US yields rise as negative rate expectations fade The US dollar held onto its gains on Tuesday after surging yesterday on the back of rising Treasury yields. The yield on two- and five-year Treasury notes hit record lows on Friday as [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD double top formation at 1.2640; neutral bias

Posted on May 12, 2020 at 6:49 am GMT

GBPUSD appears to have posted a double top at the 1.2640 resistance and any violation beneath the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 1.3515 to 1.1409 at 1.2212, could confirm the pattern, shifting the bias back to bearish. In terms of momentum indicators, the MACD oscillator is endorsing the neutral outlook in the daily timeframe, while the RSI is approaching the horizontal 50 neutral level. Noteworthy, the price is trading within the 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMAs) [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks crawl higher but markets on alert amid virus spike

Posted on May 11, 2020 at 8:33 am GMT

Dollar gains versus yen, stocks edge up as lockdown easing spurs bets of economic rebound But fears of second virus wave keep risk appetite in check, gold ticks higher Doubts about Trump’s commitment to US-China trade deal adds to subdued tone Safe-haven yen takes a tumble as more economies reopen The US dollar appeared to lose some of its safe-haven allure on Monday as signs of economic life in many parts of the world shifted the focus to the improving [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD creates ascending triangle in near-term; slightly bullish

Posted on May 8, 2020 at 10:15 am GMT

GBPUSD is in the process to create an ascending triangle pattern with strong resistance the 1.2640 barrier and a rising trend line, which starts from the low on April 7. The pair rebounded on the 1.2265 in the preceding sessions and is now flirting with the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart. Turning to the technical indicators, the RSI pulls back from the 50 level and returning lower, while the MACD keepS flattening below its zero line [..]

Week Ahead – RBNZ may increase QE; Aussie, UK and US data to deepen that sinking feeling

Posted on May 8, 2020 at 9:48 am GMT

There can be no hiding from the awful economic data that is now pouring in from all angles as we move well into the second quarter. Australian jobs, UK Q1 GDP, and US retail sales and inflation numbers will be the next key releases to showcase the virus turmoil. But amid growing optimism about the pandemic easing, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will likely err on the side of caution at its policy meeting, posing a downside risk for [..]

Legal disclaimer: The material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments. XM accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences resulting in it. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The research and analysis does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it.

It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of research, and as such it is considered to be marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of the publication of our research, we do not seek to take advantage of it before we provide it to our clients. We aim to establish, maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. We operate a policy of independence, which requires our employees to act in our clients’ best interests and to disregard any conflicts of interest in providing our services.

CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losing all of your invested capital, so please make sure that you fully understand the risks involved.

How can we help?

Live Chat Terms