GBPUSD

Daily Market Comment – Virus resurgence haunts stocks but dollar edges lower

Posted on June 29, 2020 at 8:30 am GMT

Markets start week in risk-off mode as virus surge halts reopening plans in the US Stocks slip, but less cautious mood in FX markets as dollar and yen pull back Pound bounces off lows as Brexit talks enter intensive phase Virus fears keep Wall Street on the back foot Worries that the world could be in the midst of a second Covid-19 outbreak continued to weigh heavily on market sentiment as the second quarter almost draws to a close. Stocks [..]

How sterling became a ‘risk’ currency, and what’s next – Special Report

Posted on June 26, 2020 at 12:49 pm GMT

The British pound has become very sensitive to changes in risk sentiment lately, with Cable transforming into a ‘risk on’ – ‘risk off’ pair whose fortunes are connected more to stock market performance than UK fundamentals. As such, a better proxy for Brexit developments in this new era may be euro/sterling. Overall, downside risks seem to outweigh upside ones for the pound right now, especially given the resurgence of infections globally and intensifying Brexit uncertainty, though a powerful rebound later [..]

Week Ahead – NFP in focus as US virus cases spike, recovery in doubt

Posted on June 26, 2020 at 12:10 pm GMT

As the risk rally fizzles out amid rising concerns about a second wave of virus infections in the United States, the all-important jobs report has the capacity to either calm or scare jittery markets. With very few other top tier releases on the agenda next week, it’s hard to see anything other than the virus story driving investor sentiment. Special attention will be on the escalation of Covid-19 cases in the US and whether any states begin to reverse some [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks jump into the green, but dollar doesn’t play along

Posted on June 26, 2020 at 8:40 am GMT

Investors ignore a litany of bad news, push stocks higher on deregulation hopes But FX retains a more cautious tone, dollar holds onto gains as US cases hit new record Texas and Florida “pause” their re-opening plans Rebalancing flows heading into quarter end could bite markets Stocks and dollar focus on different narratives The epic market battle between stimulus-driven bulls and virus-fearing bears seems set to end in a draw this week, as worries of a rapid resurgence in virus [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD may show some volatility; bears in favor

Posted on June 26, 2020 at 8:20 am GMT

GBPUSD has been making tiny steps within the 1.2400 area in the four-hour chart over the past two days, sending an early warning that some volatility, or a more noticeable move, may soon emerge in the market. Technically, there are several reasons to believe that a downside correction is more likely to occur. First, the price hit a strong wall in the crossroads of a support-turned-resistance trendline and a downward-sloping trendline on Wednesday and instead drifted lower, keeping the downtrend [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets lose altitude as virus fears escalate

Posted on June 25, 2020 at 10:59 am GMT

Reality bites stock markets as US virus spike accelerates, dollar recovers Threats of new US tariffs against EU and dire IMF forecasts not helping mood Fed balance sheet reduction may be playing a role too Daily virus numbers will continue to dictate sentiment Acceleration in infections hampers recovery prospects Risk aversion gripped global markets once again on Wednesday after several American states reported another worrisome spike in virus cases and hospitalizations, pouring cold water on the cheerful narrative of a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Gold flies to new highs, RBNZ talks kiwi down

Posted on June 24, 2020 at 8:53 am GMT

Dollar retreats after encouraging PMIs turbocharge euro Gold capitalizes on weaker dollar, reaches heights last seen in 2012 Stocks inch higher led by tech, despite US virus spike and rising bankruptcies RBNZ expresses discomfort with exchange rate, kiwi obliges Gold takes advantage of softer dollar Global markets continue to be torn between conflicting narratives, as signs that the world economy has entered the recovery stage – with a little help from a tsunami of stimulus – clash with a worrisome [..]

Daily Market Comment – White House sends markets spinning, European PMIs bolster euro

Posted on June 23, 2020 at 10:30 am GMT

Conflicting statements from White House on China send currencies and stocks for a wild ride But markets back to square one as dust settles, still in a good mood overall Nasdaq closes at new record as US virus cases ease back down European PMIs show France back in expansion, boost euro Navarro channels his inner China hawk, then walks it back Global markets went for a wild ride overnight, after White House trade advisor Peter Navarro – probably the administration’s [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD develops in ascending channel in short term

Posted on June 23, 2020 at 7:42 am GMT

GBPUSD has been developing within an ascending channel over the last three months, hovering around the moving averages in the daily timeframe. The price started an upward move following the rebound on the 35-year low of 1.1409, remaining above the Ichimoku cloud, while the RSI is moving sideways near the 50 area. However, the MACD oscillator is heading south below its trigger line, confirming the recent downside movement. Should the market extend losses below the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of [..]

UK PMIs to recover further as economy reopens, but Brexit fears rattle pound – Forex News Preview

Posted on June 22, 2020 at 3:15 pm GMT

Preliminary PMI numbers for June will be watched out of the United Kingdom on Tuesday at 08:30 GMT. As the UK economy slowly emerges from the virus shutdown, the PMI gauges are anticipated to reflect the reopening of some businesses. But as Prime Minister Boris Johnson prepares to announce the latest phase of the lockdown easing, there are other things troubling the pound. A worsening stand-off between British and EU negotiators in the Brexit talks has derailed cable’s rebound, even [..]

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