GBPUSD

Daily Market Comment – US stocks flirt with record highs, gold retraces

Posted on August 11, 2020 at 8:57 am GMT

S&P 500 cruises towards all-time high as Trump floats capital gains tax cut Markets also take heart from ‘soft’ Chinese retaliation against US Gold pulls back as dollar and bond yields recover RBNZ meets overnight, might ‘talk down’ the kiwi more forcefully Wall Street sets its sights on new records Financial markets seem to have concluded that better days lie ahead for the global economy, with most asset classes trading in a buoyant manner this week. The S&P 500 is [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD trapped between reversal pattern and long-term trendline

Posted on August 11, 2020 at 7:18 am GMT

GBPUSD started the week with weak momentum, holding slightly above the supportive red Tenkan-sen line and the 1.3060 level. Previously, the pair had jumped out of an ascending channel, raising speculation that the bulls may have further room to run. But a long-term descending trendline stretched from the 2015 peaks managed to halt the price around 1.3170, where the pair now seems to have created a double top formation – a bearish reversal pattern. In momentum indicators, the RSI has also topped twice in [..]

UK to declare worst recession in a century; jobless rate to rebound – Forex News Preview

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 2:19 pm GMT

Markets will place an extra weight on employment readings and GDP growth figures out of the UK on Tuesday (08:30 GMT) and Wednesday (06:00 GMT) respectively after the Bank of England showed concerns of a rising unemployment rate at its previous week’s policy meeting but reiterated that the economy has a more rapid recovery than it initially projected. With the pound having erased some of its gains on the back of a stronger dollar on Friday, the data should significanty [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar gets a second wind after US payrolls, can it last?

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 10:44 am GMT

Decent US jobs report triggers a short squeeze in the dollar Is the reversing trend in European/American virus cases going to show up in euro/dollar? Trump signs executive orders to bypass Congress and provide more stimulus Muted market reaction to this – does it imply less stimulus overall? Dollar shorts get squeezed after payrolls The world’s reserve currency got a second wind on Friday, recovering some lost ground after a decent US employment report saw traders cover or trim some [..]

Week Ahead – Dollar eyes US stimulus talks, retail sales; UK GDP and RBNZ in focus too

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 1:10 pm GMT

Congressional talks in the United States on a new virus relief package will dominate the market headlines yet again in the coming week as the durability of the latest risk-on episode rests on a deal being reached. But investors will also be keeping a close watch on US retail sales figures to gauge how well consumption is holding up amid renewed virus restrictions. Progress on the recovery will be preoccupying the pound too as UK GDP numbers for Q2 and [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trump fans the geopolitical flames ahead of NFP

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 10:49 am GMT

Nonfarm payrolls to set the tone for markets, along with stimulus negotiations Trump fires another salvo at Beijing, bans transactions with Tencent, moves to delist Chinese firms Geopolitical worries keep dollar alive, Wall Street set to snap 5-day winning streak Nonfarm payrolls: A most uncertain one The main event today will be the US employment report for July. The consensus is for the US economy to have added another 1.6 million jobs, pushing the unemployment rate down to 10.5%, from [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD between a bearish formation and a bullish breakout

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 9:53 am GMT

GBPUSD topped around 1.3169 twice in a week and reversed south, raising worries that the bulls may soon give up the game in the four-hour chart. While the weakness in the RSI and the MACD is justifying the latest negative move, only a sustainable downfall below 1.2980 would confirm a bearish double top formation and hence, trigger sharper losses towards 1.2850. Before that, a break below the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) currently at 1.3060 and into the Ichimoku cloud should also take place. In the positive [..]

Daily Market Comment – Bank of England lifts sterling; dollar battered but still standing

Posted on August 6, 2020 at 8:49 am GMT

Sterling jumps after BoE seems reluctant towards negative rates, upgrades forecasts Stocks climb, dollar resumes downfall as markets keep betting Congress will deliver Dollar testing a crucial support area again – tomorrow’s NFP may be pivotal Otherwise, the spotlight remains on whether Congress will reach a deal soon BoE strikes a more cheerful tone, pound listens The Bank of England (BoE) unanimously voted to keep its policy unchanged today and struck a fairly optimistic tone. Even though it acknowledged the [..]

Is the pound’s rally premature enthusiasm? – Special Report

Posted on August 5, 2020 at 4:29 pm GMT

The British pound registered sizeable gains in July, soaring by 6.4% against the US dollar as the world was facing its first spike in infection cases since re-opening plans took effect across the globe. Its sudden impressive performance made markets wonder whether they should adopt a sell-the-rally approach or a buy-the-dip mentality in the year ahead. This report suggests that the currency could gain fresh ground in the short-term, though Brexit jitters could challenge the market in the fourth quarter. [..]

Bank of England to hold rates and QE, may clarify stance on negative rates – Forex News Preview

Posted on August 4, 2020 at 1:59 pm GMT

The Bank of England is getting ready for ‘Super Thursday’ this week when it inundates investors with its meeting minutes, the latest outlook report and a press conference on top of its policy decision. But having already beefed up its quantitative easing (QE) programme at the last meeting in June, the Bank is not expected to make any adjustments to its policy when it announces its decision at 11:00 GMT. Instead, Governor Andrew Bailey’s press conference at 11:30 GMT will [..]

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