forex

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD capped by the 50.0% Fibonacci; moves into Ichimoku cloud

Posted on September 18, 2019 at 9:26 am GMT

AUDUSD shifted sideways into the Ichimoku cloud after its attempt to recoup the losses that commenced on July 19 was halted at the ceiling of 0.6880 – the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 0.7081 to 0.6676. The 21-day simple moving average (SMA) seems to be approaching a bullish cross, while the Tenkan-sen line has inclined sharply above the Kijun-sen one, both suggesting some positive strength. However, the MACD and the RSI reflect decreasing positive momentum, as [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY attracts buying interest; 50% Fibonacci eyed

Posted on September 18, 2019 at 7:18 am GMT

USDJPY has finally revived some bullish power, spiking above its shorter-term simple moving averages (SMA) and the Ichimoku cloud to reach one-month highs slightly above the 108 level. Technically, the market could retain positive momentum in the short-term as the RSI, the Tenkan-sen and the MACD all point upwards in the bullish area. The 108.40 handle, which is the 50% Fibonacci of the downleg from 112.39 to 104.44, is currently in sight and any significant step above this mark may likely bring a more important barrier [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD pauses rally at 1.2500; bearish signals are not convincing yet

Posted on September 17, 2019 at 7:32 am GMT

GBPUSD had a weak start to the week as the 1.2500 level did not allow Friday’s big rally, that ended above the Ichimoku cloud, to continue. The price is currently located lower around 1.2400, with the falling RSI warning over a softer trading tone in the short-term. Yet, as far as the indicator holds above its 50 neutral mark and the red Tenkan-sen maintains a steep positive slope above the blue Kijun-sen, those signals are not enough to convince that negative momentum [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPCAD prints biggest daily gain in two years

Posted on September 16, 2019 at 12:05 pm GMT

GBPCAD recorded its biggest daily gain in more than two years on Friday, with the pair rallying by 2.0% to find resistance around 1.6610, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci of the downleg from 1.7793 to 1.5873 – a key support area during 2018. Although the market opened lower on Monday, the bullish pressure remains strong as the MACD keeps increasing momentum above its signal line and the RSI holds well above its 50 neutral level despite slowing a little bit. The Stochastics, though, have [..]

Technical Analysis – USDNOK uptrend is under pressure; short-term bias neutral-to-bearish

Posted on September 16, 2019 at 11:09 am GMT

USDNOK has created a lower low around 8.910 and a lower high at 9.010, putting its upward pattern that topped at a multi-year high of 9.162 into speculation. The 50-period simple moving average (SMA) in the four-hour chart is heading for a bearish cross with the 200-period SMA, signaling that a resumption of the positive trend may be difficult to be achieved. Meanwhile, in momentum indicators, the RSI and the MACD suggest that the next move in the price may [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD trapped under resistance trend-line

Posted on September 16, 2019 at 7:12 am GMT

EURUSD managed to quickly recover from 28-month lows last week but once again the bulls did not have the strength to close above the down-trending line drawn from the 1.1411 peak. The short-term bias is now looking neutral-to-bearish as the RSI eases momentum marginally below its 50 neutral mark and the red Tenkan-sen is stabilizing well under the blue Kijun-sen line. For a meaningful rally, buyers need to snap the descending trend-line seen around 1.1100 and particularly close above the 50-day simple moving average [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDNZD bulls break above 5-month high

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 1:34 pm GMT

AUDNZD breached the five-month high from April 17, after plotting gains in a rally that commenced on August 6. The indicators are reflecting an increase in positive directional momentum. The MACD has re-inclined above its red trigger line in the positive region, while the upward sloping RSI crosses into overbought territory. Further endorsing the view, the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) has distanced itself above the 50-day SMA, while the 50-day SMA itself approaches a bullish cross of the 100-day [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD forced back below the 200-SMA & 100-SMA

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 9:42 am GMT

USDCAD bulls shot above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on September 3, but it seems that the bullet was a dud. The bears reversed underneath the 1.3355 resistance, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the down move from 1.3564 to 1.3015, and more importantly the 200- and 100-day SMAs. It seems like a cease fire is developing, as the SMAs and the Kijun-sen are adopting a horizontal picture, with buyers driving back into the Ichimoku cloud. The [..]

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD runs out of steam after snapping 200-SMA

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 7:56 am GMT

NZDUSD managed to tick above the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) in the four-hour chart for the first time since July but the bulls were soon rejected around 0.6449, with the price resuming its weekly neutral status. While the RSI is pushing efforts to return above its 50 neutral-mark, the falling MACD and the convergence of the red Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines signal that the bullish action may be running out of steam. The 20-period SMA turned discouraging as the line which [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY’s steam dries up at 100-SMA

Posted on September 12, 2019 at 9:37 am GMT

USDJPY rallied through the 21- and 42-day simple moving averages (SMAs), as well as the 107.50 resistance, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the down move from 112.39 to 104.45. The move up started on September 3, ending a three-week consolidation period and propelling the price up to the 100-day SMA. In an attempt to make more gains, the bulls are accompanied by signals of increasing positive momentum, as the MACD has distanced itself from its red trigger [..]

Legal disclaimer: The material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments. XM accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences resulting in it. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The research and analysis does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it.

It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of research, and as such it is considered to be marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of the publication of our research, we do not seek to take advantage of it before we provide it to our clients. We aim to establish, maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. We operate a policy of independence, which requires our employees to act in our clients’ best interests and to disregard any conflicts of interest in providing our services.

CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losing all of your invested capital, so please make sure that you fully understand the risks involved.