EURUSD

European Open Preview – Risk aversion accelerates; RBNZ cuts

Posted on May 8, 2019 at 8:25 am GMT

Stocks plunge, haven assets shine as markets focus on trade risks RBNZ eases its policy, but kiwi bounces back Pound tumbles amid lack of progress in cross-party Brexit talks Risk aversion accelerates as trade worries prevail Trade concerns dominated price action on Tuesday, with global stock markets accelerating their losses while haven assets like the Japanese yen extended their gains, as traders continued to reduce their risk exposure ahead of crucial events later this week. Strikingly, there was no fresh [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks don’t ‘buy’ Trump’s threats; RBA holds fire

Posted on May 7, 2019 at 8:20 am GMT

US stocks stage comeback as markets doubt Trump’s tariff threats Aussie soars after RBA remains on hold RBNZ decides next – may also disappoint those looking for a cut Stocks bounce back as traders doubt Trump will escalate All eyes remain on the US-China trade conflict. Risk sentiment recovered yesterday as the session progressed, with US stock markets recouping most of their early losses to close only modestly lower. It seems investors didn’t really ‘buy’ Trump’s tariff threats, perhaps concluding [..]

European Open Preview – Trump threatens new tariffs, markets retreat

Posted on May 6, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

Stocks fall, yen soars as Trump hints at new tariffs Dollar retreats after jobs data, but trade concerns provide support Sterling rebounds amid hopes for Brexit progress Trump warns of new tariffs on China, dents risk appetite Risk aversion is the name of the game on Monday, with investors diverting funds away from riskier assets like stocks and towards safe havens such as the Japanese yen, amid fears that the US-China trade conflict is ready to re-escalate. President Trump said [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD develops below 1.12; bearish channel on hold

Posted on May 6, 2019 at 6:40 am GMT

EURUSD has recovered somewhat after the aggressive drop towards the 23-month low of 1.1110 on April 26, stretching further the its medium-term descending channel. Currently, the price is still hovering beneath the 20- and 40-simple moving averages (SMAs) in the daily timeframe, while the momentum indicators hold in bearish territory. The RSI is pointing down; however, the MACD surpassed the trigger line, suggesting a possible upside retracement. The 1.1200 region is keeping the bulls under control and any jump above [..]

Week Ahead – Aussie and kiwi braced for dovish RBA and RBNZ meetings; UK Q1 GDP also eyed

Posted on May 3, 2019 at 12:32 pm GMT

Central bank policy meetings in Australia and New Zealand will be the main focus next week with investors anticipating a further dovish tilt. Out of all the central banks that have turned dovish this year, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is the most likely to cut rates and analysts are predicting a move as early as next week. In terms of economic indicators, UK growth figures for the first quarter will be the most important release followed by US [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar rally eases, looks to US jobs report for further impetus

Posted on May 3, 2019 at 8:07 am GMT

US dollar extends gains ahead of today’s nonfarm payrolls report Aussie hits 4-month low as odds rise of RBA rate cut next week Oil prices slump on oversupply concerns as US output continues to surge Dollar stands tall ahead of NFP report There was little to hold back the US dollar on Friday as recent solid US data and a not-so-dovish Fed have lessened the odds of a rate cut before the year-end. Investors sharply adjusted their rate cut bets [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar whipsaws after Fed; Pound holds firm ahead of BoE

Posted on May 2, 2019 at 8:05 am GMT

US dollar swings sharply after Powell tones down Fed’s dovish statement Hawkish Powell puts dent on equities rally Pound holds near highs ahead of Bank of England meeting as hopes rise May will agree to a customs union Rate cut bets ease after Powell’s press conference The Federal Reserve kept interest rates on hold yesterday as expected and the dollar initially fell on the announcement as the FOMC statement highlighted the recent decline in inflation. However, the greenback quickly reversed [..]

Fed meets as rate-cut bets mount – Forex News Preview

Posted on April 30, 2019 at 2:32 pm GMT

The Fed will announce its policy decision on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. No action is expected, so Chair Powell’s remarks in the subsequent press conference (18:30 GMT) will likely steal the show. Inflation has cooled lately, which combined with still-elevated risks abroad, suggest that the Fed could maintain a cautious tone. While that may weigh on the dollar initially, any downside is unlikely to be massive, given how pessimistic market pricing already is. The Fed shifted to a more ‘cautious’ [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar buoyant ahead of Fed, but caution elsewhere amid mixed growth signals

Posted on April 30, 2019 at 8:06 am GMT

Solid US growth and muted inflation boosts US dollar and Wall Street But other majors sag as disappointing Chinese PMIs revive growth fears Fed to start two-day monetary policy meeting, unlikely to alter stance Dollar eases from 22-month high but remains supported ahead of FOMC meeting The US currency was outperforming its peers early on Tuesday as there was further evidence on Monday that growth in the world’s largest economy is picking up speed. Personal consumption in the US rose [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD lacks strong bullish signals below 1.12

Posted on April 30, 2019 at 7:25 am GMT

EURUSD tumbled into the 1.11 region on Friday for the first time after almost two years, stretching further its long-term downward pattern. While Monday’s bounce justified oversold signals by the Stochastic indicator, the weakness in the RSI, which continues to hover below 50, and the negative slope in the Ichimoku indicators (red Tenkan-sen and blue Kijun-sen) question how far any upside could go. The 1.1200 mark is currently keeping the bulls under control and any climb above that border would likely [..]

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