EURUSD

Week Ahead – BoC meeting eyed as loonie rallies; UK and Chinese data in focus amid slowdown fears

Posted on July 5, 2019 at 10:12 am GMT

Economic releases will be somewhat sparser in the coming week but there will be several key data to keep an eye on as well as central bank activity that could shape expectations of future monetary policy. The Bank of Canada meets for its latest policy decision and will probably resist making a dovish tilt, while the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s and the European Central Bank’s last policy meetings will be watched for clues on their upcoming decisions later this [..]

Daily Market Comment – US payrolls could decide how deep Fed cuts in July

Posted on July 5, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

US employment data today will be crucial for Fed rate-cut expectations and the dollar Canadian jobs figures also due, as loonie touches new 2019 high In Europe, bond markets continue to price in QE, but euro snoozes US payrolls may dictate how deep Fed cuts in July and dollar’s path After a relatively quiet session on Thursday, the spotlight will fall on the US employment data today. Markets are still pricing in a ~25% probability for a ‘double’ rate cut [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks sail into uncharted waters; loonie shines

Posted on July 4, 2019 at 8:00 am GMT

American equities soar to record highs, as ‘bad news is good news’ again Loonie advances to best levels this year on Fed-BoC policy divergence Trump calls for weaker dollar, but dollar yawns US stocks hit new records American equity markets sailed into uncharted waters yesterday, with all the major indices – the S&P 500 (+0.77%), Dow Jones (+0.67%), and Nasdaq Composite (+0.74%) – closing at new record highs. In a classic case of ‘bad news is good news for stocks’, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Lagarde to succeed Draghi at ECB; US data eyed

Posted on July 3, 2019 at 8:34 am GMT

Lagarde to take over ECB after Draghi; markets bet on more QE BoE’s Carney strikes dovish tone, drags pound down Oil retreats as traders ‘sell fact’ after OPEC US ADP jobs and ISM non-manufacturing to drive dollar today IMF’s Lagarde chosen as next ECB chief In an otherwise quiet session on Tuesday, the biggest piece of news was that EU leaders finally reached a consensus on who to nominate for the Union’s top jobs. German defense minister Ursula von der [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBA cuts, but aussie won’t stay down; dollar recovers

Posted on July 2, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

RBA reduces rates again, but aussie remains unfazed Dollar recovers as July rate-cut bets are scaled back EU leaders resume talks over top jobs; Global PMIs due RBA cuts, but can’t keep the aussie down The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) slashed interest rates earlier today, for the second time in two meetings, indicating that the move will help reduce unemployment and boost inflation. The cut was widely signaled in advance and largely priced in ahead of the event, so [..]

Daily Market Comment – US and China agree to ceasefire, stocks & dollar cheer

Posted on July 1, 2019 at 8:53 am GMT

Trade ceasefire propels stocks and dollar higher, sends safe havens lower Oil rejoices on trade truce and OPEC agreement ISM manufacturing PMI today may be crucial for Fed expectations Risk sentiment lifted as Trump & Xi decide to restart trade talks The pivotal meeting between the American and Chinese leaders concluded with the two sides agreeing to restart trade negotiations and hold off on imposing any new tariffs ‘for the time being’. What stood out was that the US also [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD eases below 3-month high in near term

Posted on July 1, 2019 at 6:50 am GMT

EURUSD remains under pressure and risk is still to the downside in the short-term as prices continue to drift below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the downleg from 1.1815 to 1.1110 near 1.1380. After the pullback on the three-month high of 1.1410, technical indicators reversed lower as well, suggesting a possible bearish bias again. The MACD oscillator is falling in the positive territory, while the stochastic is moving lower, approaching the 20 level. If price action drops, there is [..]

Week ahead – Trump finally meets Xi; RBA and OPEC decide ahead of US payrolls

Posted on June 28, 2019 at 12:09 pm GMT

It’s another action-packed week, with the pivotal G20 summit that will decide how risk sentiment develops, finally upon us. Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to slash rates again, while oil traders will pay close attention to the OPEC meeting. Economic data are not in short supply either, with the US employment report likely to add the final touches to expectations around how deep the Fed will cut in July. Trump-Xi meeting at G20 paramount for risk [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar drifts lower as G20 outcome anxiously awaited; inflation data eyed

Posted on June 28, 2019 at 9:23 am GMT

Markets anxiously await US-China trade talks as G20 summit gets underway Dollar and other majors steady but equities struggle Eurozone and US inflation data in focus amid rate cut talk All eyes on Trump-Xi meeting As the G20 summit gets underway in Osaka, Japan, investors’ attention is fixated on the much-anticipated meeting between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi as the two leaders attempt to mend their fraught relations. There’s a lot of uncertainty as to what the meeting, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk appetite creeps higher ahead of G20 talks; dollar advances

Posted on June 27, 2019 at 8:56 am GMT

Markets in cautiously optimistic mood ahead of crucial Trump-Xi meeting Reports that US and China have agreed to tentative truce over trade lift sentiment Dollar edges up but most pairs stuck in narrow ranges as G20 outcome awaited Modest hopes of positive talks buoy risk appetite Signs that the US and China were moving close to reaching some sort of a truce over their trade dispute lifted market sentiment on Thursday. According to a Chinese newspaper report, the US [..]

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