EURUSD

Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks rally in relief after tariff delays

Posted on August 14, 2019 at 8:10 am GMT

US tariff exemptions lift risk sentiment – stocks soar, yen retreats But optimism tempered by weak Chinese data overnight UK inflation data and Eurozone GDP coming up Trump’s tariffs delay revives risk appetite, but is this a game changer? Global risk sentiment came roaring back on Tuesday, with US stock markets closing 1.5% higher and WTI oil gaining 4%, after the Trump administration said it will delay tariffs on several Chinese products until December and exempt some goods altogether. [..]

Daily Market Comment – Hong Kong concerns keep risk aversion in play

Posted on August 13, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

Safe havens shine and stocks retreat – mainly on fears about Hong Kong Deteriorating political outlook in Italy likely adding to risk aversion Busy calendar today, with crucial UK, German, and US data coming up Stocks stumble on reports China may crack down on Hong Kong protests Risk aversion was the name of the game on Monday, as worrisome political headlines triggered another rotation away from risky assets like stocks, and into the safety of havens like the Japanese [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD fails multiple times to breach short-term downtrend line

Posted on August 12, 2019 at 9:07 am GMT

EURUSD is under pressure again after finding support around 1.1196, which is the 23.6% Fibo retracement of the up leg from 1.1026 to 1.1249 and the 1.1180 level from June 18. After failed attempts to move above the downtrend line, the pair has traded between the 100- and 200-period simple moving averages (SMAs) for the past week. The bears have gained some strength and are pushing for lower, testing the 100-SMA. The MACD and the RSI’s picture suggest a restart in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling feels the burn; Trump plays trade ‘hardball’

Posted on August 12, 2019 at 7:58 am GMT

Sterling resumes downtrend as UK economy shrinks, Brexit fears intensify Yen extends gains after Trump says he isn’t ready to make a deal Calendar practically empty today, in a thin liquidity environment Pound feels the burn as UK economy contracts The British pound remains the ‘sick man’ of the FX market, plummeting to a new three year low against the euro on Friday, after the latest GDP figures showed that the economy contracted in Q2 for the first time since [..]

Week ahead – Markets set to quiet down, despite tug of trade war

Posted on August 9, 2019 at 12:00 pm GMT

It may be a quiet week in financial markets, with no central bank meetings or any other major events on the agenda, as the summer lull finally kicks in. Economic data will therefore attract most of the attention, though any tweets on the trade war or Brexit news could always stir things up. British data unlikely to be a game-changer for the pummeled pound The UK economy continues to feel the heat, with GDP growth contracting in Q2, as Brexit [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen firms again as trade jitters return; euro and pound steady despite election talk

Posted on August 9, 2019 at 8:12 am GMT

Risk aversion spikes again on reports US won’t ease Huawei restrictions Safe havens remain supported, stocks falter Euro and pound unmoved by speculation of snap elections in Italy and the UK Bounce in risk appetite proves short lived as trade worries return Market sentiment turned sour again on Friday as trade tensions resurfaced after Bloomberg reported that the United States is delaying a decision on whether to allow some American companies to do business with China’s Huawei Technologies. President Trump [..]

Daily Market Comment – Kiwi plunges on shock RBNZ cut; stocks sell-off eases on Kudlow remarks

Posted on August 7, 2019 at 8:19 am GMT

New Zealand dollar nosedives after RBNZ cuts rates by bigger-than-expected 50 basis points Yen and Swiss franc turn back up after yuan slips again Stocks end losing streak after Kudlow keeps alive prospect of more trade talks Kiwi slumps to 3½-year low on shock RBNZ move The Reserve Bank of New Zealand surprised markets on Wednesday by delivering a hefty 50-bps cut in its official cash rate (OCR), confounding analysts and traders who were expecting a smaller 25-bps cut. This [..]

Daily Market Comment –Yuan steadies after US brands China currency manipulator; stocks slide again

Posted on August 6, 2019 at 8:18 am GMT

Yen and Swiss franc retreat after yuan steadies as US labels China a currency manipulator Global stocks extend slide as US-China tensions continue to heat up Aussie and kiwi firmer as RBA keeps rates on hold, RBNZ coming up next Euro perks up but pound under pressure Yuan off lows on PBOC midpoint The risk-off moves engulfing currency markets since President Trump’s decision last Thursday to slap more tariffs on Chinese goods eased on Tuesday with the help of a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen and gold soar; yuan sinks as trade war savages markets

Posted on August 5, 2019 at 8:26 am GMT

Safe havens such as the yen and gold surge as heated trade tensions extend broad sell-off in risk assets Yuan breaks past 7 per dollar level as PBOC gives green light to a weaker currency US dollar mixed as Fed rate cut expectations rise again Market rout deepens, yen rallies The fallout from the latest escalation in the US-China trade dispute continued to be felt across financial markets on Monday as investors sold off stocks and emerging market currencies [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD bounces off 2-year lows but downside risks remain

Posted on August 5, 2019 at 7:29 am GMT

EURUSD switched to recovery mode after the free-fall towards a more-than-two-year low of 1.1026 last week. But the bearish forces have not faded yet as the RSI continues to move below 50 and the MACD under its red signal line despite showing some improvement. A closing price above 1.1180 and the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) (middle Bollinger band) could bring additional buying interest, with resistance running next up to the 1.1216-1.1232 area where the 50-day SMA is currently laying. Slightly higher, [..]

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