EURUSD

Daily Market Comment – Germany dodges a recession, but euro remains skeptical

Posted on November 14, 2019 at 10:11 am GMT

Technical recession avoided in Germany, but outlook for euro still bleak American stock markets hit new records, ignoring gloomy trade news Lots of Fed-speak today, starring Powell, Clarida, and Williams – the Fed’s ‘top 3’ Germany dodges a recession, but euro can’t catch a break Europe’s largest economy narrowly escaped a technical recession in Q3, with GDP growth clocking in at 0.1% in quarterly terms, overcoming the consensus for a negative 0.1% print. It appears that the recession in the [..]

German recession? Wait before panicking – Forex News Preview

Posted on November 13, 2019 at 3:38 pm GMT

The Eurozone is expected to confirm its initial GDP growth estimate for the third quarter on Thursday at 0.2% q/q but prior that all attention will be on the German preliminary readings (06:00 GMT) that are forecast to show that the bloc’s largest economy is in recession, probably bringing another headwind to the bleeding euro. However, it is not time to panic yet. A recession may have been avoided at the last minute, consumption helpful too According to forecasts, German [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBNZ catapults kiwi higher; Trump decides on EU tariffs

Posted on November 13, 2019 at 9:35 am GMT

Kiwi outperforms as RBNZ surprisingly refrains from cutting rates Markets in a slight risk-off mood as trade doubts reemerge Today: Trump decides on EU tariffs, Fed chief Powell testifies, and US CPI data RBNZ surprisingly keeps rates unchanged, propels kiwi higher To the surprise of many, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its policy rate unchanged overnight, confounding forecasts and market expectations, as a rate cut was priced in with an ~80% probability. Even though policymakers kept the [..]

Mighty dollar eyes Powell’s testimony and US data – Forex News Preview

Posted on November 12, 2019 at 2:10 pm GMT

It’s going to be a busy week in America, with the latest CPI inflation figures hitting the markets at 13:30 GMT on Wednesday, before retail sales data are released on Friday. Two separate testimonies by Fed chief Jay Powell before Congress on Wednesday (16:00 GMT) and Thursday (15:00 GMT) are bound to attract attention too, even if he is unlikely to say anything new. As for the dollar, the near-term outlook remains favorable, particularly against the stricken euro. Humming along [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBNZ to slash rates; more blues for the kiwi?

Posted on November 12, 2019 at 9:35 am GMT

Kiwi underperforms as investors bet that RBNZ will cut rates overnight Pound rejoices as Brexit party warms up to Tories, but risks seem tilted to the downside UK jobs data, Germany’s ZEW survey, and Fed-speak today RBNZ set to cut rates after inflation expectations drop The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will announce its rate decision early on Wednesday, at 02:00 GMT. A rate cut seems quite likely, after a survey released overnight showed that the nation’s 2-year inflation [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks cruise to new records, but Hong Kong weighs

Posted on November 11, 2019 at 9:41 am GMT

Risk aversion strikes back as Hong Kong protests intensify and trade doubts resurface Dollar advances without new catalysts, loonie stumbles on weak data UK GDP numbers due, but sterling keeps its sights on election polls Hong Kong jitters send global equities back down, lift yen US stock markets levitated to new records on Friday, undeterred by some remarks from President Trump that he hasn’t decided yet whether he is willing to roll back tariffs on China to get the ‘phase [..]

Technical Analysis – Is EURUSD on a bearish trend reversal?

Posted on November 11, 2019 at 8:33 am GMT

EURUSD generated extra losses after breaking the neckline of the double top formation with a ceiling at 1.1174 in the four-hour chart – a signal that a trend reversal may be in progress. The price has breached the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) too on the way down and is currently consolidating around the 50% Fibonacci of the upleg from 1.0878 to 1.1178 as the RSI and the Stochastics are exiting the oversold areas. The MACD also looks to be [..]

Week ahead – German recession, RBNZ rate decision, and a flood of data

Posted on November 8, 2019 at 1:47 pm GMT

The RBNZ will be the lone major central bank to decide on rates next week, but that doesn’t mean the schedule is light, as there’s an abundance of key economic data ripe for release. German growth figures will reveal if the euro area’s traditional star player entered a technical recession, while in America, a testimony by Fed chief Jay Powell could provide clues around the recent ‘pause’ in rate cuts. Beyond regular economics, markets will keep a watchful eye on [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk appetite softens on mixed US signals about trade deal; pound slips after BoE

Posted on November 8, 2019 at 9:20 am GMT

Markets remain optimistic of a US-China deal but US officials cast doubt over tariff rollback Dollar set for weekly gains as yen on the pull back Pound skids after Bank of England signals possible rate cut Confused messages on tariff concession Risk appetite cooled off slightly on Friday as confusing signals by US officials on whether the White House is ready to accept the roll back of some of the tariffs on Chinese imports raised question marks about China’s assertion [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets whipsaw on conflicting trade headlines; US-China deal moves closer

Posted on November 7, 2019 at 9:28 am GMT

US-China trade deal appears back on after earlier reports of a possible delay causes brief spike in risk aversion Yen led on a roller-coaster ride by on-off-on trade deal prospects Pound steady ahead of Bank of England meeting US and China reportedly agree to roll back some tariffs Trading got off to a volatile start on Thursday as negative headlines late on Wednesday quickly turned positive. Doubts emerged about the likelihood of the US and China being able to sign [..]

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