EURUSD

Technical Analysis – EURUSD pushes for a rebound but bulls waiting above 1.1200

Posted on January 13, 2020 at 8:31 am GMT

EURUSD started the year on the negative side, closing with marginal losses for the second week. The pair, however, managed to pause its sell-off near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) on Friday, where the 38.2% Fibonacci of the 1.1411-1.0878 downleg is located, retaining at the same time its upward direction off the 28-month low of 1.0878 alive. The 50% Fibonacci of 1.1144 is currently in target as the reversing RSI and the Stochastics are endorsing the recent positive correction [..]

Week Ahead – US and China set to seal Phase One deal ahead of Chinese Q4 GDP release

Posted on January 10, 2020 at 11:42 am GMT

The United States and China will finally put pen to paper on the hard-fought ‘phase one’ deal on January 15, ending months of trade uncertainty and hostilities. However, it will be too early for the ebb in trade tensions to have benefited China’s export-heavy economy in the fourth quarter and GDP numbers due out of the country will likely leave markets underwhelmed. It will be an important data week in the UK and US as well, with monthly industrial output, [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks carve out new highs ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

Posted on January 10, 2020 at 10:10 am GMT

Wall Street hits new records and US jobs data today may add fuel to the rally Canada’s employment figures also due – asymmetric risk for loonie? Pound drops on dovish BoE comments and may still have some way to go Nonfarm payrolls: More fuel for stocks? The main event today will be the US employment report for December. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are forecast to clock in at 164k, less than the astounding 266k in November, but still a solid number [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil crashes, stocks roar higher as geopolitical nerves calm

Posted on January 9, 2020 at 9:58 am GMT

Yen and gold slump, equities jump as US-Iran tensions take a back seat Dollar outperforms amid fading Fed rate-cut expectations – lots of Fed speakers today In Canada, BoC Governor Poloz delivers remarks and might strike a dovish tone Oil collapses alongside safe havens as worries of US-Iran war fade Global markets continued to price out the risk of an imminent all-out war between the US and Iran yesterday, amid signs that neither side is seeking further escalation. The fact [..]

Daily Market Comment – Iran attacks US bases, but risk aversion doesn’t last

Posted on January 8, 2020 at 9:40 am GMT

Safe havens spike higher, stocks drop as Iran hits US bases in Iraq Yet, risk aversion fades as both sides show little appetite for more escalation Meanwhile, dollar advances on healthy US data, aussie burned by wildfires Oil and gold jump, stock futures briefly dip after Iran strikes back Tehran didn’t take long to retaliate against the US assassination of its most powerful general, as overnight Iran attacked with ballistic missiles two military bases in Iraq that are hosting American [..]

Daily Market Comment – Geopolitical fears ease, but risk sentiment remains fragile

Posted on January 7, 2020 at 9:47 am GMT

Safe havens pull back, stocks recover as some geopolitical risk is priced out Alas, it might be only a matter of time before Middle East fears resurface – how will Iran retaliate? In economics, the ISM non-manufacturing PMI today may prove crucial for the dollar Yen retreats, stocks rebound as Middle East worries ease – for now Global risk appetite improved on Monday, with defensive currencies such as the Japanese yen surrendering some recent gains while US stocks recovered lost [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD holds below 6-month high; ascending in short-term

Posted on January 7, 2020 at 8:01 am GMT

Since the beginning of the year, EURUSD has come under renewed selling pressure, dropping below the six-month high of 1.1240, reached on December 31. However, the pair remains above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward wave from the 28-month low of 1.0880 to 1.1240, around 1.1155 as well as above the ascending trend line, which has been holding since October 1. Looking at momentum oscillators on the daily chart, they suggest further advances may be on the cards [..]

Week Ahead – US jobs report to heat things up after holiday snooze

Posted on January 3, 2020 at 12:30 pm GMT

Markets will get back into full gear next week as traders return from their festive breaks and the economic data start rolling again. The spotlight will be on the nonfarm payrolls report in the United States, but key indicators out of the Eurozone, China, Canada and Japan should also attract attention. With the trade optimism setting the market mood at the end of 2019 and the start of 2020, there’s a risk the incoming data may not support the brightening [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil jumps, Mideast tensions rise after US air strikes kill Iranian commanders

Posted on January 3, 2020 at 9:15 am GMT

Tensions flare up in the Middle East after US air strikes kill Iran’s top military leader Oil prices shoot higher, stocks turn negative after the attacks Gold hits 4-month high, yen and Swiss franc soar US air strikes kill risk-on mood Heightened geopolitical tensions threatened to destroy the risk-on sentiment that’s been driving the markets since December after the United States launched air strikes in Iraq, killing top Iranian military officials. The US Defense Department said President Trump had ordered [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks start new year on positive note; dollar recoups some losses

Posted on January 2, 2020 at 9:36 am GMT

Policy easing in China lifts stocks in Asia on first trading day of the year But as stocks extend their rally, in FX markets, most majors pull back against the dollar Gold edges up towards 3-month highs amid some tensions in Middle East and North Korea Quiet start to new year The new year got off to a subdued start with equity markets extending their incredible rally of 2019 and little new developments to rattle currency markets. But with Japanese [..]

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