EURUSD

Technical Analysis – EURUSD pauses its move below bearish cross of SMAs

Posted on May 14, 2020 at 10:06 am GMT

EURUSD seems to be oversold, confirmed from the stochastic oscillator, suggesting a possible upside retracement in the 4-hour chart. However, the 20- and 40-period simple moving averages (SMAs) are ready for a bearish cross and the MACD oscillator is lacking direction as it remains flat slightly above the zero line. In case of steeper increases and a jump above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward wave from 1.1145 to 1.0730 at 1.0825, which overlaps with the SMAs, this [..]

Daily Market Comment – Powell warns of lasting virus damage, empowers dollar but sinks stocks

Posted on May 14, 2020 at 8:49 am GMT

Fed Chair Powell delivers bleak assessment of US economy but rules out negative rates Dollar stands tall as Wall Street takes a dive, pulling global stocks with it Pound and kiwi slip to multi-week lows, aussie and loonie also on the backfoot Powell’s dire warnings kill hope of speedy recovery Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s much anticipated speech took centre stage on Wednesday as the head of the world’s most powerful central bank delivered a detailed but grim view of the [..]

With interest rates at zero, what will drive FX now? – Special Report

Posted on May 13, 2020 at 3:15 pm GMT

Interest rate differentials have traditionally driven the FX market, but now that every major central bank has slashed rates to zero, what will guide currencies? In a nutshell, it might be a blend of how high the risk of future shutdowns is, relative growth performance coming out of the crisis, global risk sentiment, and politics. The defensive yen seems attractive in this brave new world as it no longer suffers from a severe yield disadvantage, while the dollar’s role as [..]

Germany to shrink the most since financial crisis as the legal battle continues – Forex News Preview

Posted on May 12, 2020 at 2:14 pm GMT

Germany will publish its preliminary GDP growth readings for the first quarter on Friday at 06:00 GMT. Although the Eurozone’s initial estimates have already revealed a 3.8% contraction for the aforementioned period, markets could still pay some attention to the German numbers as a concerning report out of the largest EU economy could calm Berlin’s skeptical response to the EU’s coronavirus stimulus policies that are so desperately needed by the most-infected member states. Political diversity is the main headwind in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed talks down negative rates, dollar likes it

Posted on May 12, 2020 at 8:27 am GMT

Dollar jumps as Fed officials downplay prospect of negative rates in the US Stocks slip as growing fears of second wave of infections weigh on sentiment Central banks in focus: more Fed speakers on the way, RBNZ decision awaited US yields rise as negative rate expectations fade The US dollar held onto its gains on Tuesday after surging yesterday on the back of rising Treasury yields. The yield on two- and five-year Treasury notes hit record lows on Friday as [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks crawl higher but markets on alert amid virus spike

Posted on May 11, 2020 at 8:33 am GMT

Dollar gains versus yen, stocks edge up as lockdown easing spurs bets of economic rebound But fears of second virus wave keep risk appetite in check, gold ticks higher Doubts about Trump’s commitment to US-China trade deal adds to subdued tone Safe-haven yen takes a tumble as more economies reopen The US dollar appeared to lose some of its safe-haven allure on Monday as signs of economic life in many parts of the world shifted the focus to the improving [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD in a sidelines mode; SMAs act as strong resistances

Posted on May 11, 2020 at 6:48 am GMT

EURUSD has been on the sidelines since the end of March as it consolidates within a channel with an upper boundary at the 1.0985 resistance and a lower boundary at the 1.0770 support level. Currently, the pair is capped by the 40-day simple moving average (SMA) and the mid-level of the Bollinger band, which is the 20-day SMA. From a technical viewpoint, the MACD oscillator posted a positive divergence in the preceding sessions, with the market creating lower lows and the oscillator continuing its upside movement. This picture seems to be a [..]

Week Ahead – RBNZ may increase QE; Aussie, UK and US data to deepen that sinking feeling

Posted on May 8, 2020 at 9:48 am GMT

There can be no hiding from the awful economic data that is now pouring in from all angles as we move well into the second quarter. Australian jobs, UK Q1 GDP, and US retail sales and inflation numbers will be the next key releases to showcase the virus turmoil. But amid growing optimism about the pandemic easing, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will likely err on the side of caution at its policy meeting, posing a downside risk for [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks soar ahead of worst NFP ever on bets Fed will go negative

Posted on May 8, 2020 at 8:42 am GMT

US nonfarm payrolls today will be a horror show, but will markets care? Stocks set for more gains on trade news and bets Fed will cut to negative Dollar and yen retreat amid risk-on mood, but losses limited Commodity currencies climb, loonie eyes its own jobs report Worst nonfarm payrolls ever, by far The disconnect between sanguine financial markets and an imploding real economy grows larger by the day, as bets for more and more stimulus are leading Wall Street [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen smiles as stocks struggle for direction

Posted on May 7, 2020 at 9:40 am GMT

Yen and dollar shine amid dire US and EU data, trade tensions, bankruptcy fears Stocks close lower, but solid Chinese trade numbers lift futures and aussie Pound perks up after BoE keeps stimulus powder dry, but risks linger US jobless claims on the menu today; can equities continue to defy gravity? Yen and dollar stand tall as traders weigh risks Stock markets have been partying like central bankers invented a virus vaccine in recent weeks, but some realism may be [..]

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