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US Open Preview – Dollar holds up versus yen ahead of NFP job report

Posted on November 2, 2018 at 12:21 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Dollar/yen eased to 112.81 but remained up on the day (+0.12%) after rising as high as 113.10 early in the European session as investors were looking for details to confirm that the US President and the Chinese leader will attempt to reach a trade agreement at the G20 summit in Argentina later this month. This came after reports that the government heads had a constructive phone call yesterday, with China’s foreign [..]

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Special Report – How the US midterm elections could impact the dollar and equities

Posted on November 2, 2018 at 11:59 am GMT

The US midterm elections next week are widely expected to produce a split Congress. Investors appear somewhat complacent on the outcome, which allows room for notable market reactions in case of a surprise, like one of the parties taking control of both chambers. Below follows an analysis of the possible outcomes, the likelihood attached to each, and the associated implications for the dollar and equities. On Tuesday, November 6, Americans will go to the polls to elect their 116th Congress. [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound bulls unleashed; US jobs data in the spotlight

Posted on November 2, 2018 at 8:46 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar index dropped significantly on Thursday and is a little lower on Friday too (-0.15%). The world’s reserve currency likely suffered as investors locked in profits on their prior dollar-long bets, ahead of the all-important US employment data today. Meanwhile, the British pound skyrocketed, gaining around 2% against the dollar, amid growing optimism that a Brexit deal is inching closer. The antipodeans aussie and kiwi also soared, probably as some [..]

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US Open Preview – Pound cheers on Brexit optimism and BoE rate guidance

Posted on November 1, 2018 at 12:34 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Pound pairs were trading notably higher early in the European session, benefiting on reports the EU and the UK have reached a tentative agreement to allow British financial services companies to have a continued access to European markets after Brexit. It should be kept in mind though that the  UK’s Brexit negotiator said that “nothing is agreed until everything is agreed”. On the monetary policy front, all nine BoE policymakers voted to keep rates steady at 0.75%, while slightly lowering growth projections [..]

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European Open Preview – Sterling soars on news of Brexit services deal, ahead of BoE policy decision

Posted on November 1, 2018 at 8:46 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar index is down by a little more than 0.4% on Thursday, looking set to post its first daily decline in four sessions. The British pound, and to a lesser extent the euro, benefited from reports that UK financial services firms will continue to have access to EU markets after Brexit. Meanwhile, the antipodeans aussie and kiwi outperformed, likely lifted by the broader improvement in risk sentiment, as well as fresh [..]

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US Open Preview – Euro slips to 2 ½-month lows despite encouraging inflation signs; stocks bounce higher

Posted on October 31, 2018 at 12:30 pm GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX:  Euro/dollar printed a 2 ½-month low at 1.1330 on Wednesday despite eurozone’s flash core inflation rate inching up to 1.3% y/y in October, from 1.2% expected, and 1.1% seen in September. The headline inflation print remained unchanged at 2.2% y/y, at the strongest since 2012, but buying interest was subdued as concerns over the Italian budget battle as well as uncertainty about how political conditions would unfold in Germany after Chancellor Merkel leaves the office in 2021, brushed funds out of the market. [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar soars to 1½-year highs; eurozone flash inflation eyed

Posted on October 31, 2018 at 10:54 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The dollar soared to a fresh high last seen in June 2017 against a basket of six major currencies, as risk sentiment was reinvigorated. The pound was the worst performer, as ratings agency S&P warned of a recession in case of a no-deal Brexit. The defensive yen was the second-worst performer in the face of stronger risk appetite. Meanwhile, the aussie is on the back foot on Wednesday, giving back some of [..]

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US Open Preview – Euro, pound resume bullish mood as trade risks intensify

Posted on September 17, 2018 at 11:54 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX:  During the early European session, the US dollar was slightly weaker against the yen near 112.00 (-0.04%), with investors trading cautiously as the US President Donald Trump is said to announce new levies on China later today. The Eurozone Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HCPI) for the month of August released earlier today, confirmed the preliminary estimates. The yearly headline inflation remained the same as in the previous month at 2.0%, while the monthly gauge [..]

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US Open Preview – Yen rebounds on Abe’s remarks; US retail sales and industrial production eyed

Posted on September 14, 2018 at 11:43 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: Hopes for China and the US to restart trade dialogues soon, higher growth projections by the Bank of England and the ECB’s optimism for wages and inflation in the EU reduced the demand for safe-havens such as the yen, sending dollar/yen to 112.07 early on Friday for the first time since August 1. Yet, the upside did not last for long, with the pair dropping back to 111.70 (-0.11%) after the Japanese Prime Minister, Shinzo Abe [..]

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European Open Preview – Yen crumbles amid risk-on mood; US retail sales in the spotlight

Posted on September 14, 2018 at 7:49 am GMT

Here are the latest developments in global markets: FOREX: The US dollar index is nearly unchanged on Friday (-0.02%), holding on to the losses it posted in the previous session following a disappointment in the US CPI inflation data. The yen also retreated across the board, as risk appetite remained firm and investors rotated funds out of haven assets and into riskier ones. Meanwhile, the euro gained slightly after the ECB confirmed its normalization plans remain on track yesterday, while the pound was [..]

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