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Daily Market Comment – Wall Street storms back, but currencies don’t play along

Posted on October 16, 2020 at 9:04 am GMT

US stocks trim losses, close almost unchanged as Trump hints at higher stimulus offer Yet, the currency arena doesn’t get the memo – dollar holds onto gains Most likely just a reflection of euro and sterling weakness Coming up: US retail sales today, New Zealand election over the weekend Equity and currency markets dance to different tunes Global markets are torn between conflicting narratives, with fears around new virus restrictions in Europe that could cripple the recovery being mostly neutralized [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Stocks and currencies tell a conflicting story

Posted on October 13, 2020 at 12:12 pm GMT

Equities cruise higher, back within breathing distance of record highs But FX doesn’t play ball – yen climbs, commodity currencies underperform Euro headed for trouble amid high infections and growth worries Today: US inflation data coming up, earnings season resumes Currencies don’t play along with stock rally The US stock market rallied furiously on Monday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 gaining 3.1% to come within breathing distance of its recent record highs, propelled higher by the likes of Apple (+6.4%) [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Equities recover as Trump keeps stimulus hopes alive

Posted on October 5, 2020 at 10:40 am GMT

Sentiment recovers on signs that stimulus deal is still in play Stocks rebound alongside crude oil, Japanese yen and gold retreat Markets to stay focused on ultimate game of ‘Deal or No Deal’ Coming up: ISM non-manufacturing and RBA policy decision Markets take solace from signs stimulus is coming Global markets opened on a cheerful note on Monday, emboldened by hopes that a relief package deal can still be brokered in America and that President Trump’s health is improving. The [..]

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Daily Market Comment – BoE clips pound’s wings, equities brace for turbulence

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 10:41 am GMT

Sterling capsizes after BoE opens door to negative rates Fed disappointment torments equities, but dollar doesn’t get the memo Market turmoil might continue today amid major option expiries Crude oil stages heroic comeback on supply hopes Bank of England does another policy U-turn The BoE injected another dose of volatility into British assets yesterday after it announced that it is studying the implementation of negative interest rates, just six weeks after it downplayed this policy as ineffective. It seems that [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Markets hold their breath ahead of Fed decision

Posted on September 16, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

Spotlight falls on the Fed today: will it deliver new measures to boost inflation? Bank of Japan meets a few hours later, not much is expected Otherwise muted moves across markets as investors await FOMC direction Fed: Justifying the paradigm shift The main event today will be the FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT, which will be followed by the regular press conference by Chairman Powell half an hour later. The Fed is certain to use this meeting as a public [..]

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Technical Analysis – WTI futures tick higher but needs some more fuel

Posted on August 11, 2020 at 9:09 am GMT

WTI crude oil futures are moving higher, surpassing the 20- and 40-period simple moving averages (SMAs) in the 4-hour chart and the Ichimoku cloud. The RSI indicator is edging higher above the 50 level, while the MACD oscillator jumped above its trigger line, suggesting more gains in the short-term. An upside movement could reach immediate resistance at the 42.60 barrier before making a sustained rally towards the five-month peak of 43.48. Clearing this zone, the market could hit the 48.80 [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Nasdaq conquers new heights as US infections slow down

Posted on August 4, 2020 at 8:37 am GMT

Stocks gain altitude on slowing contagion and encouraging data Most currencies trade in wide ranges, but go nowhere Overall, market focus remains on Congress, where little progress is apparently being made Nasdaq hits new records as tech keeps the dream alive Positive sentiment dominated financial markets at the onset of the new week, with global stock indices and risk-sensitive commodities like oil edging higher, powered by a persistent slowdown in US infections and some encouraging manufacturing numbers. America reported fewer [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Virus acceleration and politics upset markets

Posted on July 10, 2020 at 9:00 am GMT

Wall Street loses altitude, dollar regains ground on US virus spike, Biden remarks But Nasdaq defies gravity, hits new records on relentless ‘defensive tech’ demand In the bigger picture, most charts have gone nowhere for a month now – blame the Fed? Flood of distressing news overpowers stimulus hopes Risk aversion made a comeback on Thursday as a flurry of alarming headlines led investors to cut their exposure to riskier assets, in fear that the avalanche of stimulus globally may [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Markets lose altitude as virus fears escalate

Posted on June 25, 2020 at 10:59 am GMT

Reality bites stock markets as US virus spike accelerates, dollar recovers Threats of new US tariffs against EU and dire IMF forecasts not helping mood Fed balance sheet reduction may be playing a role too Daily virus numbers will continue to dictate sentiment Acceleration in infections hampers recovery prospects Risk aversion gripped global markets once again on Wednesday after several American states reported another worrisome spike in virus cases and hospitalizations, pouring cold water on the cheerful narrative of a [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Nasdaq charges higher, pound feels heat of negative rates

Posted on May 21, 2020 at 10:42 am GMT

Stocks defy economic gravity; Nasdaq closes in on record highs But markets more cautious Thursday, after Trump’s twitter storm vs China Pound rebound falters as BoE Governor doesn’t rule out negative rates Dollar finds its footing ahead of speeches by Fed’s top echelon Nasdaq approaches all-time high, but futures retreat Close your eyes and you wouldn’t know we are in the middle of a deep recession. At least not by looking at the Nasdaq 100 (+2%), which closed less than [..]

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