AUDUSD

Aussie looks to key Chinese data and conclusion of trade talks – Forex News Preview

Posted on February 13, 2019 at 2:56 pm GMT

China’s trade and inflation figures for January will hit the markets early on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Forecasts point to further weakness, which may spell some trouble for “China-sensitive” currencies like the aussie. That said, the far bigger driver for market sentiment will likely be any updates in the US-China trade talks, the latest round of which concludes in Beijing on Friday. The Chinese economy continued to slow at the beginning of 2019, if the forecasts for the upcoming indicators [..]

European Open Preview – Kiwi roars back as RBNZ disappoints the bears

Posted on February 13, 2019 at 8:56 am GMT

Kiwi skyrockets after RBNZ refrains from signaling rate cuts, but downside risks linger Trump’s trade comments reinvigorate risk appetite UK and US inflation data highlight the agenda today RBNZ fails to live up to market’s dovish expectations, kiwi explodes up As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its policy unchanged overnight, maintaining a relatively balanced tone overall. It acknowledged that downside risks have increased, particularly on a global level, but retained some optimism on the outlook. Most [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD pares some losses in short term; hits 40-day SMA

Posted on February 13, 2019 at 7:43 am GMT

AUDUSD has been paring some of the previous days’ losses since yesterday, following the rebound on the 0.7050 support level. Currently, the price is challenging the 40-simple moving average (SMA) in the daily timeframe, successfully surpassing the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the downleg from the 32-month high of 0.8135 to the 10-year low of 0.6746, around 0.7070. From the technical point of view, the Bollinger Bands have confined prices between the 38.2% Fibonacci of 0.7275 and the 0.7050 support barrier over the last [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar rips higher; RBNZ meeting in focus

Posted on February 12, 2019 at 8:53 am GMT

Dollar soars as ‘there is no alternative’; Fed’s Powell speaks at 17:45 GMT News US government shutdown may be avoided support risk sentiment RBNZ meets overnight; may strike a cautious tone, but is unlikely to be as dovish as market pricing implies Dollar rips higher, but can the bulls stay in control? The greenback shined for yet another session, continuing its unrelenting rally for an eighth day in a row versus a basket of major currencies, without much in the [..]

Special Report – Aussie and Kiwi outlook: storm clouds gathering?

Posted on February 11, 2019 at 3:51 pm GMT

Both the Australian and New Zealand dollars have seen the wind leave their sails lately, amid mounting speculation that their respective central banks will cut rates soon, and as investors started having second thoughts about a US-China trade deal. Examining the landscape for each economy, the case for looser policy in New Zealand seems much clearer than in Australia, though market pricing currently implies roughly equal odds for a rate cut in both. This suggests that the risks surrounding aussie/kiwi [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar extends winning streak; franc suffers mini “flash crash”

Posted on February 11, 2019 at 9:07 am GMT

Dollar ticks up, stocks mixed as risk sentiment remains fragile Swiss franc had a mini “flash crash” overnight, amid thin liquidity conditions UK GDP data due today, but focus remains on Thursday’s Brexit vote in Parliament Dollar climbs, stocks steady as sentiment remains wobbly The dollar advanced for a 7th straight session against a basket of currencies on Friday, albeit only modestly, as investors sought the security of the world’s reserve currency amid concerns around the health of the global [..]

Week Ahead – Japanese and UK Q4 GDP in focus; Kiwi readies for dovish noises from RBNZ

Posted on February 8, 2019 at 2:46 pm GMT

Japan and the United Kingdom will be next to publish economic growth numbers for the final quarter of 2018, while the Eurozone will release its second GDP estimate for the period. Inflation data out of the US and the UK will also be watched. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will be among the last of the major central banks to hold its first monetary policy meeting of 2019. The Bank is unlikely to buck the trend and will probably [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks retreat on trade woes; BoE ‘holds the line’

Posted on February 8, 2019 at 8:54 am GMT

Risk aversion returns as Trump reignites trade fears, says he won’t meet Xi soon Sterling rebounds as BoE sticks to hiking plans, but Brexit uncertainty lingers Euro drifts lower after EU Commission slashes growth forecasts Canadian employment data coming up Stocks take a hit as Trump says he won’t meet Xi soon US equity markets closed well in the red yesterday, with the S&P 500 shedding 0.94%, following headlines that President Trump will not meet President Xi before the March [..]

European Open Preview – No hawkish bits from BoE today; kiwi capitulates

Posted on February 7, 2019 at 8:31 am GMT

BoE may adopt a cautious tone today amid slowing economy, Brexit uncertainty Kiwi dollar collapses after soft jobs data ignite speculation for RBNZ rate cut Greenback capitalizes on weakness in other currencies; stocks stall BoE to strike cautious tone as Brexit uncertainty reigns The spotlight will fall on the Bank of England (BoE) today, which is expected to keep its policy unchanged via a unanimous vote at 12:00 GMT. Updated economic forecasts and a press conference by Governor Carney will [..]

European Open Preview – RBA chief jawbones aussie lower; pound slides

Posted on February 6, 2019 at 8:52 am GMT

Aussie plummets as RBA Governor changes tune, puts rate cut on table Pound dives after weak services PMI reinforces speculation for dovish BoE US stock markets cruise to fresh two-month highs RBA Governor reacquaints aussie with gravity The Australian dollar is in freefall early on Wednesday, losing more than a cent against its US counterpart, following some cautious-sounding remarks from RBA Governor Philip Lowe earlier. He backpedaled on some of the Bank’s prior rhetoric that the next move in interest [..]

Legal disclaimer: The material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments. XM accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences resulting in it. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The research and analysis does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it.

It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of research, and as such it is considered to be marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of the publication of our research, we do not seek to take advantage of it before we provide it to our clients. We aim to establish, maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. We operate a policy of independence, which requires our employees to act in our clients’ best interests and to disregard any conflicts of interest in providing our services.

CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losing all of your invested capital, so please make sure that you fully understand the risks involved.