AUDUSD

Week Ahead – Busy US calendar ahead of Thanksgiving; Q3 data eyed by aussie, kiwi and loonie

Posted on November 22, 2019 at 1:28 pm GMT

The coming week looks set to be unusually busy despite the US having a shorter week due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Nevertheless, the flurry of data may fail to generate much excitement. This could leave investors yet again exposed to the constantly changing sentiment on the trade outlook, especially if President Trump makes any references to the ongoing US-China talks in his Thanksgiving message. But in the absence of any fresh headlines on trade, the markets’ focus will mainly fall [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD remains bearish; 23.6% Fibonacci pauses sellers’ efforts

Posted on November 20, 2019 at 10:22 am GMT

AUDUSD, although looking bearish, has eased its descent, caught between the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) – located at the 0.6831 resistance – and the 0.6767 support. The latter is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 0.7081 to 0.6670, where the drop from the down trendline was previously halted. The short-term oscillators suggest that momentum has dried up but lean towards the negative view. The MACD has distanced itself below its red trigger line and has just [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen and gold creep higher on trade nerves; Fed minutes eyed

Posted on November 20, 2019 at 9:31 am GMT

Increased caution on US-China trade talks gives rise to safe-haven demand Hong Kong tensions cast cloud over trade progress as US Senate bill angers China Pound pressured after Johnson-Corbyn televised debate Mixed signals on trade talks put a lid on risk appetite Risk sentiment soured slightly on Wednesday as investors grew wary about the possibility of the United States and China striking a partial trade deal in the coming weeks. The renewed caution comes amid growing tensions between the two [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trump teases negative rates, spooks dollar

Posted on November 19, 2019 at 9:24 am GMT

Dollar drops as Trump meets Powell to discuss interest rates and FX US stocks shrug off negative trade headlines, claim new record highs Aussie pulls back after RBA minutes, but recovers Dollar retreats as Trump discusses negative rates with Powell Fed Chairman Jay Powell met with President Donald Trump on Monday to discuss the economy. The latter then tweeted out that the conversation centered around how high US interest rates are relative to other advanced economies, the prospect of negative [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets stay in a risk-on mood; pound climbs

Posted on November 18, 2019 at 9:48 am GMT

Stock markets climb, safe havens drop as trade optimism lingers Sterling pushes higher as Brexit Party stands down – focus remains on election polls Dollar ticks down after mixed retail sales, but broader picture still promising US stocks to open at yet another record high; yen retreats Risk appetite remained firm at the end of last week, with all three of the major US stock indices closing at new records, after a high-ranking White House official played up the prospect [..]

Week ahead – Fed minutes and European PMIs highlight a calm week

Posted on November 15, 2019 at 1:52 pm GMT

The economic calendar is relatively light next week, with the most crucial release being the euro area’s preliminary PMIs, which will reveal whether growth is headed for a contraction in Q4. In America, the minutes of the latest Fed meeting could add some color around the decision to hit ‘pause’ on rate cuts and clarify if the Fed intends to let the economy run hot. In the broader market, risk appetite will be driven by trade news, where the mood [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks storm to new highs on more trade euphoria

Posted on November 15, 2019 at 9:37 am GMT

US equities claim new highs on trade hopes, but the FX market is doubtful Dollar braces for retail sales figures today Trump could announce his decision on EU car tariffs any moment US stocks to open at new records as Kudlow hypes ‘phase one’ deal Another day, another record high for US equity markets. Futures point to a notably higher open on Wall Street today, the S&P 500 expected to gain 0.45%, after Larry Kudlow – one of Trump’s closest [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD held below downtrend line; lower Bollinger band tests sellers

Posted on November 14, 2019 at 11:05 am GMT

AUDUSD is in the process of pushing past the 0.6810 level, an area where the swing low, 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and lower-Bollinger band are presently located. The pair’s latest drop to the lower band comes after unsuccessful efforts to breach a fortified region around 0.6925 to 0.6936, which encompasses various resistance obstacles. The short-term oscillators suggest strengthening negative momentum and are reinforced by the medium-term downtrend line and the declining 40-, 100- and 200-day SMAs. The MACD, in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Germany dodges a recession, but euro remains skeptical

Posted on November 14, 2019 at 10:11 am GMT

Technical recession avoided in Germany, but outlook for euro still bleak American stock markets hit new records, ignoring gloomy trade news Lots of Fed-speak today, starring Powell, Clarida, and Williams – the Fed’s ‘top 3’ Germany dodges a recession, but euro can’t catch a break Europe’s largest economy narrowly escaped a technical recession in Q3, with GDP growth clocking in at 0.1% in quarterly terms, overcoming the consensus for a negative 0.1% print. It appears that the recession in the [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBNZ catapults kiwi higher; Trump decides on EU tariffs

Posted on November 13, 2019 at 9:35 am GMT

Kiwi outperforms as RBNZ surprisingly refrains from cutting rates Markets in a slight risk-off mood as trade doubts reemerge Today: Trump decides on EU tariffs, Fed chief Powell testifies, and US CPI data RBNZ surprisingly keeps rates unchanged, propels kiwi higher To the surprise of many, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its policy rate unchanged overnight, confounding forecasts and market expectations, as a rate cut was priced in with an ~80% probability. Even though policymakers kept the [..]

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