AUDUSD

Daily Market Comment – Dollar firms, stocks dive again as US virus cases soar

Posted on April 1, 2020 at 8:41 am GMT

Risk sentiment sours again on mounting virus fallout, pulling stocks lower Manufacturing PMIs heighten recession fears; US ISM PMI next in focus Fed tries to ease dollar funding pressure but unable to keep currency down for long Stocks head south as virus panic returns It was a poor start to the second quarter for stock markets around the world as the growing coronavirus pandemic shows no sign of slowing, with the number of cases globally shooting past 800,000 yesterday. Stocks [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD rebound loses steam after hitting wall at 0.62

Posted on April 1, 2020 at 5:59 am GMT

AUDUSD has recovered by more than 11% after plunging to a 17-year low of 0.5506 on March 19 but the rally is at risk of faltering after prices failed to get past the 0.62 level. The momentum indicators are sending mixed signals as the rising MACD above its red signal line reinforces the improving near-term sentiment for AUDUSD, but the stochastic oscillator suggests a possible downside correction. The %K line has crossed below the %D line in overbought territory, so [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks buoyed by China PMIs; yen down on fiscal year-end positioning

Posted on March 31, 2020 at 8:45 am GMT

Chinese PMIs unexpectedly turn positive in March, lifting stocks, but only slightly Signs of contagion slowing in Europe but uncertain outlook keeps lid on sentiment Yen slips as Japanese investors scramble for dollars at end of fiscal year Some joy from bounce in Chinese PMIs Markets were in a relatively upbeat mood on Tuesday as encouraging PMI numbers out of China and a positive close on Wall Street lifted shares in Asia. European indices jumped more than 1% at the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar edges up, stocks muted in cautious start to week

Posted on March 30, 2020 at 8:32 am GMT

Stocks steady somewhat after Friday’s dip Dollar heads higher after worst week since 2009 Oil skids again; Brent hits 17-year low as world economy shuts down US stock futures attempt to rebound; risk of increased volatility Wall Street was unable to extend its winning streak to a fourth day on Friday but still managed to post its strongest week since 2009. Stocks had been steadily rising after a big gap lower at the open but went into reverse after the [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD may erase some gains within ascending channel

Posted on March 30, 2020 at 7:48 am GMT

AUDUSD is charting indecisive moves on Monday on the four-hour timeframe as the pair seems to be preparing for some stabilization following the peak at a two-week high of 0.6199. From a technical perspective, the pair has likely pressed the overbought button and a downside correction could be reasonable in the near-term as the price is pulling back below the upper Bollinger band, while the RSI is easing momentum after approaching its 70 overbought mark. The flattening MACD is sending some [..]

Week Ahead – China and US PMIs eyed for virus impact; NFP report poses threat to relief rally

Posted on March 27, 2020 at 1:34 pm GMT

The global crisis from the coronavirus pandemic has produced much turmoil in financial markets even though economic data on the impact has so far been scarce. That is about to change as March figures start rolling in. Given the extent of the market fallout, investors may already be expecting the worst. That’s not to say, however, that once the data lay bare the true scale of the economic damage, investors won’t be unnerved. The main releases next week that could [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks rally despite recessionary US data, is the bottom in?

Posted on March 27, 2020 at 9:17 am GMT

US jobless claims signal the economy is in recession, but stocks gain ~6% Is this the beginning of a new uptrend, or just a bear market rally? In FX, dollar continues to sink as liquidity pressures ease, but yen stays in demand Markets shrug off horrible US jobless numbers A record-shattering 3.3 million Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, more than quadrupling the previous record and providing the clearest indication to date that the US is headed for a [..]

Daily Market Comment – US jobless data: A trial by fire for markets

Posted on March 26, 2020 at 9:42 am GMT

US jobless claims today will reveal how much economic damage the virus has already inflicted Make or break moment for stocks – a worse than feared number could quash the recent recovery Yen leads, aussie lags as risk aversion slowly creeps back into markets US jobless data could derail the latest recovery Economic data finally comes back into the spotlight today, as the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week will give us a taste of just how [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD rebounds on 17½-year low; negative momentum fades

Posted on March 26, 2020 at 7:26 am GMT

AUDUSD is unable to decisively overrun above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the bearish wave from 0.7030 to the 17½-year low of 0.5506 to post some significant gains, as positive momentum evaporates. The pair today has declined to the nearby red Tenkan-sen line and the 23.6% Fibonacci of 0.5865, with backing from the technical indicators and the easing simple moving average lines (SMAs). Most of the short-term oscillators suggest an increase in negative momentum for now. The slightly falling [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks roar back as Congress reaches deal on rescue package

Posted on March 25, 2020 at 10:11 am GMT

Global stocks rebound sharply as Democrats and Republicans agree on $2 trillion stimulus package But has the market truly bottomed, or is this another dead cat bounce? In FX, risk-taking is back; commodity currencies recover as dollar and yen retreat Is gold turning the corner? Epic turnaround for stocks Global markets staged a heroic recovery on Tuesday. The Dow Jones climbed almost 11.4% to record its strongest day since 1933 as investors took heart that the US Congress would [..]

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