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USDCAD

XM Research

XM Research - 5 days agoBearish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD bears take a break but are not done yet

USDCAD experiences worst week of the year Selling pressure might persist; eyes on 1.3730 Canadian employment figures due at 12:30 GMT   Since reaching a 22-month high of 1.3945, USDCAD has been steadily dropping towards its 50-day SMA at 1.3730, making it the worst-performing week of the year. The broken resistance trendline drawn from April's peak is now providing support in the market, although there is no certainty of a bullish rotation according to the technical indicat
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Weekly Technical Outlook– USDJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD

USDJPY gives up its 2024 rally on recession fears; ISM services PMI next in focus AUDUSD sinks to 8-month low. Will the RBA policy decision come to the rescue? USDCAD loses momentum after 22-month high; Canadian employment due on Friday   ISM non-manufacturing PMI --> USDJPY Market expectations shifted from a soft landing to a hard landing after a disappointing ISM manufacturing survey coupled with poor jobs figures last week made investors think that the Fed has kept interes
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XM Research - 1 week ago

Market Comment – Dollar plummets as US jobs data spread panic

Disappointing US jobs data push dollar off the cliff Yen extends rally as fears over US economy mount Stocks drop, VIX rallies to levels seen more than a year ago NFP report disappoints, rate cut bets surge The US dollar plunged on Friday after the US employment report for July came in weaker than expected, raising fears about the performance of the US economy and prompting market participants to start believing that the Fed may need to cut interest rates by 50bps at the upcoming
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XM Research - 2 weeks ago

Week Ahead – RBA and BoJ Summary of Opinions take center stage

RBA decides on policy as hike bets disappear BoJ Summary of Opinions awaited for more hike hints After Fed, dollar turns to ISM non-mfg PMI New Zealand and Canada jobs data also on tap   Will the RBA turn dovish? Following the BoJ, the Fed, and the BoE decisions this week, the central bank torch will next be passed to the RBA, which announces its decision on Tuesday.
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XM Research - 2 weeks agoNeutral

Technical Analysis – USDCAD hits 8-month high, but it’s not a victory yet

USDCAD marks new higher high after disappointing ISM manufacturing PMI A close above 1.3880-1.3900 is needed to postpone profit-taking  US nonfarm payrolls eagerly awaited at 12:30 GMT     USDCAD began the month on a positive note, swiftly recovering from its recent setback and reaching an eight-month high of 1.3877, slightly above April’s peak of 1.3844. The pair has been in a bull run since bottoming twice near May’s floor of 1.3588 and around the 200-day exponential m
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XM Research - 3 weeks agoBullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD eases after aggressive rally to 1.3845

USDCAD exits from consolidation area Momentum oscillators indicate bearish correction USDCAD rallied towards the 1.3845 high and completed the seventh consecutive green day on Thursday following the bounce off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 1.3600. The pair climbed above the medium-term trading range, suggesting more gains may be on the cards.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Dollar trims losses against yen, core PCE on tap

Dollar/yen rebounds after US GDP data Core PCE the next test for Fed rate cut bets Yen rally losing steam ahead of BoJ next week Wall Street extends slide, more earnings awaited GDP data adds fuel to dollar’s engines The dollar traded higher against most of its major counterparts on Thursday, trimming losses against the yen and extending its rally versus the wounded aussie, kiwi and Loonie.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Stock market correction picks up speed

Fed expectations and US election affect sentiment Euro remains on the back foot against the dollar PBoC announces a surprise rate cut Gold suffers, aussie and kiwi losses pile up Stocks’ weakness intensifies Stocks are under severe pressure as the main US equity indices recorded yesterday their worst daily performance since late-2022. Considering the fact that yesterday’s US PMI surveys were mixed, and therefore not the trigger for this move, the cause of the continued w
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Technical Analysis – Will USDCAD exit the range?

USDCAD meets strong resistance near 1.3800 Momentum oscillators suggest bullish moves USDCAD is flirting with the upper boundary of the short-term consolidation area of 1.3600–1.3790 ahead of the BoC interest rate decision later in the day. The strong rebound off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) acted as a significant turning point, adding some optimism for further bullish actions.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Market Comment – Dollar remains strong ahead of key data, yen surges

Dollar keeps marching north, PMIs on tap Yen extends rally as traders unwind carry trades Aussi and kiwi slide on China concerns, loonie awaits BoC Stocks trade in the red, tech earnings in the spotlight Traders continue to buy the US dollar The dollar traded higher against all but one of its major peers on Tuesday and continued to do so today.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

BoC to cut rates again, what's next? – Preview

Bank of Canada to slash rates by 25bps for the second time in a row More easing expected, but policymakers might signal a data-dependent approach USDCAD tests key resistance of 1.3740; key support at 1.3620   Investors are confident that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will cut interest rates by a quarter percentage point for the second time in a row to 4.5% when it announces its policy decision on Wednesday.
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XM Research - 3 weeks ago

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDCAD, Gold, EURUSD

BoC policy meeting may send loonie even lower US Core PCE index could drive gold south EURUSD may not affected by Eurozone PMIs figures BoC interest rate decision --> USDCAD The Bank of Canada will announce its monetary policy on Wednesday. This bank lowered interest rates by 25 basis points at its recent meeting, citing falling inflation and slow economic growth.
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XM Research - 4 weeks ago

Week Ahead – Flash PMIs, US GDP and BoC decision on tap

US data awaited amid overly dovish Fed rate cut bets July PMIs to reveal how economies entered H2 BoC decides on monetary policy, may cut rates again Will investors add to their Fed rate cut bets? With investors ramping up their Fed rate cut bets, the US dollar suffered during the first half of the week, although it recovered some ground on Thursday.
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XM Research - 4 weeks agoNeutral

Technical Analysis – USDCAD advances within trading range

USDCAD bounces off 1.3600 and 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators suggest more gains USDCAD has been still developing within a trading range of 1.3600 and 1.3790 since April 17, with strong support at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The recent rebound from 1.3600 reflects the oscillators' strengthening momentum. According to technical oscillators, the stochastic oscillator is pointing upward in the overbought region, while the RSI is rising, crossing above the neutral thresh
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XM Research - 1 month ago

A September Fed rate cut could lead to an easing spree during end-2024

Market prices in at least two rate cuts from Fed ECB, BoE expected to follow suit despite divergent economic conditions SNB and BoC could ease further; RBNZ possibly close to a summer rate cut BoJ and RBA could surprise with rate hikes during 2024 We are halfway into 2024 and the countdown for this year’s key event, the US presidential election, has already started.
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XM Research - 1 month ago

Week Ahead – ECB set to hold rates, plethora of data on the way

ECB is not expected to cut in July but will it signal one for next meeting? Retail sales will be the main highlight in the United States UK CPI report will be vital for BoE’s August decision China GDP data to kickstart busy week ECB meets amid sticky inflation The European Central Bank concludes its two-day policy meeting on Thursday but no change in interest rates is anticipated after trimming them by 25 basis points at last month’s gathering.
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XM Research - 1 month agoNeutral

Technical Analysis – USDCAD trades sideways as 200-SMA provides support

USDCAD is rangebound in the past few sessions The 200-day SMA caps the pair’s downside Momentum indicators are negatively tilted USDCAD had been hovering around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the past two months, appearing incapable of clearing this hurdle. This repeated inability triggered a decisive break below the 50-day SMA on July 3, with the pair trading undecided since then, supported by the 200-day SMA.
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XM Research - 1 month ago

Technical Analysis – USDCAD tumbles towards 200-day SMA

USDCAD falls beneath uptrend line within trading range RSI and MACD tick down USDCAD is plunging well below the long-term descending trend line, with immediate strong support coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near the 1.3590 level. The RSI indicator is falling beneath the 50 level with strong momentum; however, the MACD oscillator is moving beneath its trigger and zero lines, losing some steam.
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XM Research - 1 month ago

Canada’s unemployment rate likely to rise to more than 2-year high Loonie gains some territory in the beginning of the week Employment report due on Friday at 12:30 GMT Canada employment report may guide the BoC's next policy decision Friday is the day that Canada will release employment figures, which may prove to be very important for the policy decision that the Bank of Canada will take in July.
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XM Research - 1 month ago

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURGBP, USDJPY, USDCAD

French elections help euro to recoup some losses Friday’s NFP report is the week’s main driver as USDJPY holds near highs Canadian employment report next in focus with USDCAD in range French and UK elections --> EURGBP The euro experienced an increase on Monday following the initial round of France's election, which resulted in the far-right party taking the lead, albeit by a smaller margin than anticipated.
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