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GBPNZD


XM Research

With clouds gathering over the UK economy, what’s next for the pound?

Although the Bank of England is expected to keep raising rates for a while longer, the pound has lost decent ground lately against its US counterpart as traders seem to have been paying growing attention to growth dynamics. With underlying inflation more than three times the BoE’s 2% objective, will BoE policymakers stay keen to continue pressing the hike button or will they turn to a more cautious stance in order to safeguard the local economy?
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GBPNZD brought the pandemic’s four-year high of 2.167 back under the limelight after an impressive performance over the past six months. The ongoing bullish run, which snapped the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 2015-2016 freefall last week, shows no signs of weakness in the weekly chart. Hence, buyers could stay active in the market, though some profit taking cannot be ruled out as the price is a short distance below its 2020 top.
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Will UK inflation data confirm the BoE’s choice to slow down? – Preview

With investors significantly lowering their implied Bank of England rate path following the slowdown in June’s inflation numbers and the 25bps hike at the Bank’s latest meeting, the spotlight will now turn to the UK inflation data for July, due out on Wednesday at 06:00 GMT. Traders will be eager to find out whether their massive adjustment in their bets seems correct or not, leaving the pound vulnerable to volatile swings.
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British Pound: A silent power among the majors

Despite coming under some pressure against its US counterpart lately, the British pound remains the best performing currency year-to-date. Will it continue performing well henceforth? With underlying inflation creeping up again in April, investors are hoping that the Bank of England will intensify its efforts to bring it to heel. But will policymakers rise to the occasion?
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