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Analysis

Daily Comment – Dollar seeks direction amidst tepid market conditions

Fed speakers and minutes in the spotlight todayDollar’s rally pauses, but oil and gold suffer lossesRBNZ cuts rates by 50bps, kiwi weakensChina schedules another press conference as local stocks plungeFed members continue to support a November rate cutThe public discussion regarding the Fed’s next steps continues, as a plethora of Fed members are on the wires almost on a daily basis.
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What is next for commodity-linked currencies?

Risk linked currencies lose correlation to S&P 500 Dollar outperforms all as Fed implied rate path rises BoC abandons tightening bias, but RBA and RBNZ stay hawkish China impacts aussie and kiwi, loonie linked to oil prices Surrendering to the greenback’s dominance Just before the turn of the year, the risk-linked currencies - the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar, and the Canadian dollar - also known as the commodity-linked currencies, have come under selling pr
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Week Ahead – US CPI data, Fed minutes, and BoC decision on investors’ radar

Next week starts on a quiet note as Monday is Easter Monday for most economies on our radar. That said, the calendar becomes heavier as the days pass by, with the spotlight probably falling on the US CPI numbers for March, the minutes from the latest FOMC gathering, and the BoC decision. The US data will probably constitute another piece of information in the riddle of whether the Fed should hit the hike button one last time in May, while the BoC decision may reveal whether this will be the majo
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Daily Market Comment – Dollar extends slide as US job openings tumble

US job openings fall to the lowest since May 2021 Wall Street slips as data revives recession fears Gold rallies above $2,000 as Fed pivot bets intensify New Zealand dollar rallies after RBNZ hikes by 50bps Dollar extends losses as speculation about Fed rate cuts increases The dollar extended its losses against most of its major peers on Tuesday, with traders becoming split on whether the Fed will deliver another 25bps hike at its May meeting or not.
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