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FX options wrap - Policy clues and USD warnings

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Policy clues and USD warnings G10 FX Option implied volatility is well supported by bouts of risk aversion relating to Russia/Ukraine that's underpinning the USD and JPY. The benchmark 1-month expiry is also benefiting from the inclusion of policy announcements from the U.S. and Japan on Dec. 18-19 . USD/JPY was under pressure after the latest comments by BoJ governor Ueda on Thursday, which highlights the sensitivity of this pairing to any clues about impending policy .
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FX options primed for PMI driven EUR/USD volatility and losses

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options primed for PMI driven EUR/USD volatility and losses Nov 21 (Reuters) - Price action in forward looking FX options shows a EUR/USD market fearful of increased volatility surrounding Friday's euro zone PMI data and the potential for EUR/USD to extend recent losses in its wake. FX volatility is an unknown yet key parameter for an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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FX options wrap - Billions, euro warning, BoJ risk, yuan view

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Billions, euro warning, BoJ risk, yuan view FX option implied volatility retreated from the peaks seen amid Tuesday's bout of risk aversion, but the pullback was limited. EUR/USD is still mired in billions of euros of soon-to-expire option strikes between 1.05-1.06 , which is helping to limit and contain FX. However, price action indicates an ongoing perceived threat of more EUR/USD losses , with renewed demand for EUR puts/USD calls via risk reversals.
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Billions in FX option strikes strangle EUR/USD

BUZZ-COMMENT-Billions in FX option strikes strangle EUR/USD Nov 20 (Reuters) - Soon-to-expire FX option strikes attract the most cash - related hedging flows which can help to restrict volatility and contain the FX spot price. There are billions of euros of nearby EUR/USD strikes expiring this week and they continue to grow. EUR/USD has reverted toward 2.4 billion euros of 1.0540-50 strikes that expire at 10 a.m.
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Stocks rise, oil settles slightly up as Russia-US tensions mount

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks rise, oil settles slightly up as Russia-US tensions mount S&P 500, Nasdaq finish higher European stocks dip after Russia updates nuclear doctrine Benchmark 10-year yields fall Safe-haven gold hits one-week high Updates prices throughout with U.S. markets close, recasts headline, adds fresh analyst comment and oil settlement By Chibuike Oguh and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Global stocks rose in choppy trading on Tuesday as markets waited for President
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Stocks edge higher, oil prices fall as markets eye Russia-Ukraine tensions, White House appointments

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks edge higher, oil prices fall as markets eye Russia-Ukraine tensions, White House appointments S&P 500, Nasdaq edge higher in choppy trading European stocks dip after Russia updates nuclear doctrine Benchmark 10-year yields fall Safe-haven gold hits one-week high Updates with U.S. market open, recasts headline and first paragraph, adds fresh analyst comment By Chibuike Oguh and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Global stocks edged higher in choppy trading o
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FX options wrap - Central banks and Russia threat boost prices

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Central banks and Russia threat boost prices After easing from peaks amid a slight decline in demand for USD and USD calls, FX option implied volatility got a renewed boost on Tuesday from the inclusion of major central bank meetings on a key expiry date and risk-aversion sparked by news from Russia. Having moved to Dec. 19, the benchmark 1-month option expiry now includes policy announcements from the U.S., Britain and Japan.
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Safe-haven assets rally as Russia tensions spike over Ukraine

GLOBAL MARKETS-Safe-haven assets rally as US-Russia tensions spike over Ukraine Vladimir Putin updates Russian nuclear doctrine Government bonds and yen rise, move later moderates European stocks and U.S. futures dip Updates at 1230 GMT By Harry Robertson LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Government bonds and the Japanese yen rallied on Tuesday, while stocks fell, as investors bought safe-haven assets after President Vladimir Putin updated Russia's nuclear doctrine amid escalating tensions with the Uni
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Investors rush into safe-haven currencies after Kremlin nuclear doctrine

FOREX-Investors rush into safe-haven currencies after Kremlin nuclear doctrine Yen, Swiss franc jump versus euro US dollar index extends rise Analysts say markets too complacent to geopolitical risks Updates with European mid-session trading By Stefano Rebaudo Nov 19 (Reuters) - Investors rushed into safe-haven currencies, including the U.S. dollar, the Swiss franc and the yen, after a warning from Russia over its updated nuclear doctrine.
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Huge options can influence EUR/USD this week

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Huge options can influence EUR/USD this week Repeat removes mention of Monday strikes which have now expired Nov 18 (Reuters) - With little significant data before Friday's Eurozone PMIs, huge FX option strike expiries and their related FX hedging flows may dominate EUR/USD trading this week. Those trading FX volatility via FX options will typically neutralise any exposure to the currency pair with an opposing cash position and these flows can increase and potentially draw/conta
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Safe-haven assets rally as Russia tensions spike over Ukraine

RPT-GLOBAL MARKETS-Safe-haven assets rally as US-Russia tensions spike over Ukraine Repeats to additional subscribers, no change to text Vladimir Putin updates Russian nuclear doctrine Government bonds, yen, Swiss franc rise By Harry Robertson LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Government bonds and the Japanese yen rallied on Tuesday as investors flocked to safe-haven assets after President Vladimir Putin updated Russia's nuclear doctrine amid escalating tensions with the United States over Ukraine.
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Safe-haven assets rally as Russia tensions spike over Ukraine

GLOBAL MARKETS-Safe-haven assets rally as US-Russia tensions spike over Ukraine Vladimir Putin updates Russian nuclear doctrine Government bonds, yen, Swiss franc rise Recasts to focus on safe-haven rally after Putin doctrine change By Harry Robertson LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Government bonds and the Japanese yen rallied on Tuesday as investors flocked to safe-haven assets after President Vladimir Putin updated Russia's nuclear doctrine amid escalating tensions with the United States over Ukra
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Investors rush into safe-haven currencies after Kremlin nuclear doctrine

FOREX-Investors rush into safe-haven currencies after Kremlin nuclear doctrine Investors rush into safe-haven currencies after Kremlin remarks Yen, Swiss Franc jump versus euro U.S. dollar index extends its rise Analysts said markets too complacent to geopolitical risks Updates after Kremlin statement By Stefano Rebaudo Nov 19 (Reuters) - Investors rushed into safe-haven currencies, including the U.S.
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Swiss franc may be on cusp of significant rise

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swiss franc may be on cusp of significant rise Nov 19 (Reuters) - The Swiss franc may be on cusp of a significant rise where the central bank manages its appreciation but no longer tries to prevent it. Switzerland's trade surplus ballooned to a record 8.06 billion francs in October, far above the prior record of CHF 6.3 billion, and 3.2 billion larger than September's surplus.
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FX options wrap - BoJ fuel, USD threat, big EUR, CNH risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - BoJ fuel, USD threat, big EUR, CNH risk USD/JPY traders pared USD/JPY risk premium as BoJ Governor Ueda failed to commit to a December rate hike. Benchmark 1-month implied volatility had rallied 1.0 to 11.2 since early Europe on Friday and has since reverted to 10.5. There is a strong negative correlation between USD/JPY spot and implied volatility which should lift the latter if USD/JPY drops again or if traders feel USD/JPY's downside is becoming more vulnerable .
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Huge options can influence EUR/USD this week

BUZZ-COMMENT-Huge options can influence EUR/USD this week Nov 18 (Reuters) - With little significant data before Friday's Eurozone PMIs, huge FX option strike expiries and their related FX hedging flows may dominate EUR/USD trading this week. Those trading FX volatility via FX options will typically neutralise any exposure to the currency pair with an opposing cash position and these flows can increase and potentially draw/contain FX spot to the strike price before the 10-am New York cut expiry.
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FX options wrap - Trump trades fuel a wild volatility ride

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trades fuel a wild volatility ride Broader FX option implied volatility has seen a dramatic shift following the U.S. election. After initially dropping sharply as the election risk premium was pared back, volatility surged anew as demand for the "Trump trade" intensified. Traders moved to hedge against further USD strength and the potential for heightened uncertainty in the weeks ahead.
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Dollar unshackled after price gap filled

BUZZ-COMMENT-Dollar unshackled after price gap filled The greenback is no longer constrained by a technical anomaly. The dollar index’s six-week rally has now filled a long-standing price gap at 106.613, dating back to early November 2023. A gap represents a price range where no trades occurred, and closing one removes that informational void, allowing traders to take positions without the need to account for this unfilled space.
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FX options wrap - USD bull fatigue and profit taking

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD bull fatigue and profit taking The resurgence in FX option implied volatility, fuelled by heightened USD demand following the U.S. election, peaked late on Tuesday before subsiding as supply returned on Wednesday. EUR/USD was leading the charge with its benchmark 1-month implied volatility rebounding from 9.0-6.25 post-election drop, to peak at 7.9 on Tuesday.
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FX options wrap - Resurgence, hedges, barriers, U.S. CPI risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Resurgence, hedges, barriers, U.S. CPI risk FX option implied volatility has seen a resurgence since the initial paring of the U.S. election FX volatility risk premium, with EUR/USD at the fore . Struggling European Union growth, tariff threats and German political worries have combined with broad USD demand amid higher for longer U.S.
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