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AUDJPY


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US recap: Dollar climbs to one-year high

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: Dollar climbs to one-year high AUD/USD- Bulls survive a scare but aren't out of the woods Yen may get another lift from Japan data Friday Nov 21 (Reuters) - The dollar index rose to a one-year high on Thursday following upbeat U.S. data and Fed comments, while concerns about growth in the euro zone and the impact of the Ukraine-Russia conflict weighed on the euro.
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FX options wrap - Policy clues and USD warnings

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Policy clues and USD warnings G10 FX Option implied volatility is well supported by bouts of risk aversion relating to Russia/Ukraine that's underpinning the USD and JPY. The benchmark 1-month expiry is also benefiting from the inclusion of policy announcements from the U.S. and Japan on Dec. 18-19 . USD/JPY was under pressure after the latest comments by BoJ governor Ueda on Thursday, which highlights the sensitivity of this pairing to any clues about impending policy .
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USD/JPY downside warning from the FX options market

BUZZ-COMMENT-USD/JPY downside warning from the FX options market Nov 21 (Reuters) - The latest price action in FX option markets should send a fresh warning to USD/JPY traders about the perceived potential for deeper FX declines. There's been renewed demand for FX option implied volatility and JPY call/USD put options that would benefit from USD/JPY spot losses and implied volatility gains .
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When might the BoJ offer more policy clues?

BUZZ-COMMENT-When might the BoJ offer more policy clues? Nov 21 (Reuters) - JPY-related FX and options markets remain focused on any clues regarding the Bank of Japan's policy trajectory. Recent speculation and market moves underline the high sensitivity to potential signals, but when might the BoJ provide clearer hints? Market reaction to Ueda's speech on Monday USD/JPY spot fell initially, while FX option implied volatility and downside strike premiums rose ahead of Bank of Japan Governor Kazu
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Australia, NZ dlrs come unstuck, doves wager on big kiwi rate cuts

Australia, NZ dlrs come unstuck, doves wager on big kiwi rate cuts By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 21 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the back foot again on Thursday as a fledgling rally was foiled by a renewed jump in their U.S. counterpart, while the kiwi felt the added weight of aggressive rate cut wagers. The pullback ended three days of gains and came despite a pick up in commodity prices.
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US recap: EUR/USD down amid Ukraine-Russia stress

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD down amid Ukraine-Russia stress Nov 20 (Reuters) - The euro slumped on Wednesday as risk appetite deteriorated on growing concerns about escalating global tensions following Ukraine’s launch of British Storm Shadow cruise missiles into Russia. Markets will also turn their focus to equities with Nvidia earnings after the close.
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FX options wrap - Billions, euro warning, BoJ risk, yuan view

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Billions, euro warning, BoJ risk, yuan view FX option implied volatility retreated from the peaks seen amid Tuesday's bout of risk aversion, but the pullback was limited. EUR/USD is still mired in billions of euros of soon-to-expire option strikes between 1.05-1.06 , which is helping to limit and contain FX. However, price action indicates an ongoing perceived threat of more EUR/USD losses , with renewed demand for EUR puts/USD calls via risk reversals.
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FX options show potential for USD/JPY 160 before 150

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options show potential for USD/JPY 160 before 150 Nov 20 (Reuters) - Price action in forward looking FX options can offer clues about the perceived outlook for a currency pair as demonstrated by USD/CNH and EUR/USD on Wednesday. Price action in USD/JPY options is clearly concerned about downside, especially around the December Bank of Japan announcement , but isn't ruling out a 160.00 test, prior.
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Australian, NZ dollars keep rally alive, for now

Australian, NZ dollars keep rally alive, for now By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 20 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were battling to extend a rally to a fourth session on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar gave back a little of its recent bumper gains. The U.S. currency's ascent has paused as markets wait to see who President-elect Donald Trump will pick for treasury secretary , and how likely that candidate is to push ahead with Trump's full tariff and tax proposals.
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US recap: EUR/USD steadies as Ukraine fears subside

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD steadies as Ukraine fears subside Nov 19 (Reuters) - The dollar was mixed on Tuesday as safe-haven flows abated after Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Russia will do everything possible to prevent the breakout of nuclear war. Markets had been put on edge earlier after Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a nuclear strike in response to a broader range of conventional attacks, and Moscow said Ukraine had struck deep inside Russia wit
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FX options wrap - Central banks and Russia threat boost prices

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Central banks and Russia threat boost prices After easing from peaks amid a slight decline in demand for USD and USD calls, FX option implied volatility got a renewed boost on Tuesday from the inclusion of major central bank meetings on a key expiry date and risk-aversion sparked by news from Russia. Having moved to Dec. 19, the benchmark 1-month option expiry now includes policy announcements from the U.S., Britain and Japan.
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December's Fed and BoJ flash up on FX options radar

BUZZ-COMMENT-December's Fed and BoJ flash up on FX options radar Nov 19 (Reuters) - The benchmark 1-month FX option expiry date is now Dec. 19 and includes both the U.S. and Japanese policy announcements, with related pricing suggesting the Bank of Japan may pose a greater FX volatility risk. Volatility is a key yet unknown parameter of an FX option price, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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Australia, NZ dlrs get rare bounce, RBA in no rush to ease

Australia, NZ dlrs get rare bounce, RBA in no rush to ease By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Nov 19 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars clung to rare gains on Tuesday as commodities pared a little of their recent losses and the U.S. dollar paused its meteoric run. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) offered indirect support by reiterating that interest rates were unlikely to be cut soon, and might even have to be raised under some scenarios.
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US recap: EUR/USD rises amid short-covering

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD rises amid short-covering Nov 18 (Reuters) - The dollar fell broadly on Monday amid profit-taking as upward momentum in the Trump trade slowed and commodity prices rose. The euro gained amid short-covering as a G-20 summit helped allay fears about stagnating global growth. Chinese President Xi Jinping told Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese that China's relationship with Australia has achieved a turnaround and the two countries are maintaining a positive mo
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FX options wrap - BoJ fuel, USD threat, big EUR, CNH risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - BoJ fuel, USD threat, big EUR, CNH risk USD/JPY traders pared USD/JPY risk premium as BoJ Governor Ueda failed to commit to a December rate hike. Benchmark 1-month implied volatility had rallied 1.0 to 11.2 since early Europe on Friday and has since reverted to 10.5. There is a strong negative correlation between USD/JPY spot and implied volatility which should lift the latter if USD/JPY drops again or if traders feel USD/JPY's downside is becoming more vulnerable .
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Citi bank's take on potential JPY intervention

BUZZ-COMMENT-Citi bank's take on potential JPY intervention Nov 18 (Reuters) - The base case scenario for Citi research is for the Japanese government to intervene to buy the JPY in the 160.00 to 165.00 zone versus the U.S. dollar. However, in a note released before Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda spoke on Monday , Citi recognises that the rapid weakening in the JPY since October has already taken the currency pair above 155.00. The MoF will likely be preparing to intervene, but Japanese finan
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Australia, NZ dollars bounce against yen as BOJ's Ueda disappoints hawks

Australia, NZ dollars bounce against yen as BOJ's Ueda disappoints hawks SYDNEY, Nov 18 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars bounced versus the yen on Monday as Japan's top central banker flagged further policy tightening but left open the question of timing, disappointing policy hawks. The Aussie AUDJPY=R rose 0.5% to 100.23 yen after a 1.1% tumble on Friday when the Japanese currency gained broad support amid intervention warnings from the government.
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US recap: Euro, dollar slide versus yen as shares drop

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: Euro, dollar slide versus yen as shares drop Nov 15 (Reuters) - The dollar index pulled back from a near one-year high on Friday as a brief spike in yields after U.S. data and hawkish Fed comments weighed on investor sentiment. U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in October, U.S. import prices unexpectedly rose and the New York Fed manufacturing index for November jumped to a three-year high.
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FX options wrap - Trump trades fuel a wild volatility ride

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trades fuel a wild volatility ride Broader FX option implied volatility has seen a dramatic shift following the U.S. election. After initially dropping sharply as the election risk premium was pared back, volatility surged anew as demand for the "Trump trade" intensified. Traders moved to hedge against further USD strength and the potential for heightened uncertainty in the weeks ahead.
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UBS raise their USD/JPY forecasts

BUZZ-COMMENT-UBS raise their USD/JPY forecasts Nov 15 (Reuters) - A recently released investment research note from the UBS chief investment office is forecasting USD/JPY at 155.00, 152.00, 150.00 and 147.00 for December 2024, March 2025, June 2025 and September 2025 respectively. This is up from 147.00, 143.00, 140.00 and 138.00 previously. They also introduce a 145.00 target for December 2025. The note suggests that, near term, a USD/JPY rise to 158.00-160.00 is possible, if 10-year yields ris
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