European earnings: better but still mixed - Morgan Stanley
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EUROPEAN EARNINGS: BETTER BUT STILL MIXED - MORGAN STANLEY
It has been a big earnings week in Europe, with Q3 numbers from oil giants Shell SHEL.L and BP BP.L, banks like UBS Group UBSG.S and consumer goods names like Danone DANO.PA hitting screens.
Morgan Stanley equity strategists have crunched the numbers and found that Q3 EPS beats in Europe are being driven by banks, pharma, biotech and aerospace and defense, and they say the net beat ratio is better than they had expected.
"With 69% of market cap and 63% of the number of companies having reported, MSCI Europe's earnings net beat ratio stands at 24%, a significant increase from 11% from our first take," they write in a note.
According to them, the only two sectors with negative net beat ratios are industrials and energy.
They found that Europe's net beat ratio on sales has also improved versus their previous expectations, though it remains slightly negative at -3%.
"At the sector level, Semis, Banks and Pharma have contributed the most positively on sales breadth and sales ahead of consensus expectations."
Meanwhile capital goods (excluding aerospace and defense and construction) and life sciences are amongst those contributing most to the negative side on sales beats.
Overall, MS sees aggregate earnings on track to grow 0.3% year on year in the third quarter, versus their previous estimate of -3.7%.
(Lucy Raitano)
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