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USD/JPY higher still with US rates after Powell-speak



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  • USD/JPY higher still yesterday alongside US rates after Powell-speak

  • The FOMC Chair said there was no need to rush rate cuts with economy strong

  • US yields perked up on the news, Treasury 2s to 4.370%, 10s to 4.483%

  • Yields tad lower since with Powell merely confirming some market views

  • That said, US now likely to remain high and reason for USD strength

  • USD/JPY 155.33 to 156.41 yesterday, Asia so far today 156.23-45 EBS

  • Resistance topside between 157.00-10 with 157.09 high dating back to July 23

  • More daily highs above on 157, more tests higher likely

  • Spot now well clear of 148.74-152.89 weekly Ichi cloud

  • No major nearby option expiries today/Monday, talk of upside barriers though

  • Japanese importer/spec bids on dips, tech support from 156.06 hourly tenkan

  • Broad USD strength on Trump, Fed making any real FX intervention unlikely

  • Japan's MOF will likely pick its moment for greatest impact

  • Possibly in conjunction with a BOJ rate hike in December, on more USD longs

  • Related comments nL1N3ML0X0, nL1N3ML0NN, nL1N3ML0I8, nL1N3ML0DU

  • And nL1N3ML0AO, nL6N3ML0E9, nL8N3K60E9, also nL1N3ML12O

  • Comments on BOJ nL1N3MK07T, nL1N3ML0MP, Japan intervention nL1N3ME031

  • US markets nL1N3ML123, nL1N3ML198, nL4N3ML1AP, nL1N3ML028

  • Powell-speak nL1N3ML16F, US data nL1N3ML0OH, for more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/3AIW7eg

Yield on US Treasury 10s: https://tmsnrt.rs/4frpLDR

Rates and inflation: https://tmsnrt.rs/3U8HdD2

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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