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USD/JPY holding on 158, caution prevails



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  • USD/JPY did little yesterday, 158.03-85 range, Asia today 158.28-43 EBS

  • Japanese importers seen sated for now, today's Tokyo fix in balance?

  • Dips will be bought however, Japanese exporters offers on rallies

  • Range trading on 158 the prognosis in Tokyo, caution on FX action prevails

  • Market seen essentially between 157.64 55-DMA, 158.84 daily Ichi kijun

  • Spot now holding just above 157.75-158.31 hourly Ichi cloud, 55-HMA 158.22

  • Descending 100 and 200-HMAs above at 158.82, 159.94

  • Option expiries today 157.00-10 $893 mln, 158.40-60 $1.9 bln, 159.30-45 too

  • Massive expiries between 158.40-60 today to help anchor spot for now?

  • US yields soft, Treasury 2s flat @4.433%, 10s off and @4.166%

  • Market now looking for as much as 100 bps in Fed rate cuts by March

  • BOJ to remain accommodative, economy still patchy nL4N3J803Z, nL4N3J601V

  • Related comments nL1N3J80SE, nL1N3J807V, nL1N3J402N, nL1N3J2015

  • Also nL1N3J80VT, on Fed-speak nL1N3J811K, BOJ/JGBs nL1N3IN01O

  • US markets nL1N3J80UQ, nL1N3J812B, nL4N3J815F, nL1N3J801J

  • For more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/3Lt4RXA

USD/JPY hourly: https://tmsnrt.rs/3xYysoS

USD/JPY nearby option expiries this week: https://tmsnrt.rs/4d6OVGb

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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