US recap: EUR/USD slips as dollar gains in edgy market
USD/JPY bears maintain upper hand ahead of NFP
AUD/USD-Downward shift in risk gives bears the advantage
Aug 1 (Reuters) -The dollar index rose on Thursday as the market took on a slight safe-haven tone following dismal U.S. data and events in the Middle East this week that have heightened risks of a broader conflict, while investors also digested a BoE rate cut.
U.S. jobless claims posted an surprisingly large jump in the week ended July 27 to their highest in nearly a year, while ISM data showed manufacturing unexpectedly fell more deeply into contraction and employment in the sector shrank at a faster rate in July.
The reports came a day before the closely watched non-farm payrolls release, and the weak tone threatens to replace optimism over growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in September – which received a boost from Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday -- with concerns that the economy may be softening too quickly.
U.S. Treasury yields plunged 11-16bp across maturities, with the 2s-10s curve steepening about 2bp to a less inverted -20.5bp.
The stock market appeared to exhibit less rate cut euphoria and more concern about the state of the U.S. economy, with the S&P 500 falling 1.9% and the Dow dropping 1.76% by New York afternoon trade, while the Nasdaq plummeted 2.86%.
WTI retreated 1.64% as global supply seemed largely unaffected by worries of a wider Middle East crisis after the killing of a Hamas leader in Iran this week.
Copper tumbled 2.66% on worse than expected factory data in top metals consumer China and rising inventories that highlighted excess supply.
Gold eased 0.44%, backing off a two-week high hit earlier in the session as the market geared up for the U.S. non-farm payrolls report.
Heading into the close: EUR/USD -0.35%, USD/JPY -0.23%, GBP/USD -0.9%, AUD/USD -0.61%, GBP/JPY 0.95%, EUR/JPY -0.65%, AUD/JPY -0.73%.
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(Burton Frierson)
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