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US crude, distillate inventories likely fell last week, gasoline seen up



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Dec 16 (Reuters) -U.S. crude oil and distillate stockpiles were expected to have fallen last week while gasoline inventories likely rose, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

Four analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 1.9 million barrels in the week to Dec. 13.

The poll was conducted ahead of a report from the American Petroleum Institute industry group at 4:30 p.m. EST (2130 GMT) on Tuesday and one from the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, at 10:30 a.m. EST (1530 GMT) on Wednesday.

Crude inventories fell by 1.4 million barrels to 422 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 6, the EIA said, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 901,000-barrel draw.

REUTERS FORECAST CHANGE FOR WEEK ENDED

12/13/24

ACTUAL FOR WEEK (EIA) ENDED

12/06/24

PREVIOUS WEEK CHANGE

YR-AGO CHANGE WEEK ENDED 12/15/23

CRUDE

-1.9 MLN

422

-1.4 MLN

2.9 MLN

DISTILLATE

-0.5 MLN

121.3

3.2 MLN

1.5 MLN

GASOLINE

1.6 MLN

219.7

5.1 MLN

2.7 MLN

REFINERY RUNS

0.2 PCT PT

92.4

-0.9 PCT PT

2.2 PCT PT

NATGAS STORAGE FORECAST

-129 BCF TO -115 BCF (FIVE FORECASTS)

Analysts estimated stockpiles of gasoline USOILG=ECI rose by about 1.6 million barrels last week, while distillate inventories USOILD=ECI, which include diesel and heating oil, were expected to have decreased by about 500,000 barrels.

The rate of refinery utilization USOIRU=ECI was estimated to have increased by 0.2 percentage point from 92.4% of total capacity in the previous week, the poll found.

All figures for stocks are in millions of barrels. Refinery-rate changes are measured in percentage points.

Organization

Crude

Distillate

Gasoline

Refinery runs

Commodity Research Group

-1.7

0.5

2.0

-0.8

Price Futures Group

-2.0

-2.0

-2.0

0

Ritterbusch Associates

-3.0

-1.4

1.2

0.3

Rystad Energy

-1.6

1.2

3.3

0.6



Reporting by Anmol Choubey in Bengaluru; Editing by David Gregorio

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