Oil retreats on demand concerns after Fed signals slower easing ahead
Brent down 0.4%; WTI down 0.6%
U.S. Fed outlook for two rate cuts in 2025 stirs demand worries
Global oil demand growth in 2024 running 200,000 bpd below JP Morgan forecast
Adds analyst quotes; updates prices as of 0701 GMT
By Colleen Howe and Trixie Yap
Dec 19 (Reuters) -Oil prices fell in Asian trade on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signalled it would slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, which could hurteconomic growth and reduce fuel demand.
Brent futures LCOc1 fell 27 cents, or 0.4%,to $73.12 abarrel by 0701 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 fell 39 cents, or 0.6%, to $70.19.
The declines reversed most of the benchmark contracts' gains from Wednesday, when prices settled higher as U.S. crude stocks fell and the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected.
Prices weakened after U.S. central bankers issued projections pointingto two quarter-point interest rate cuts in 2025 on concerns about rising inflation. That was half a point less than they had anticipated as of September.
"After yesterday's FOMC meeting, the Fed has now portrayed a less dovish monetary policy guidance next year...(this) implies lesser (trading) liquidity that may put a cap on demand for oil," said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.
Lower rates decrease borrowing costs, which can boost economic growth and demand for oil.
"The demand-supply balance going into 2025 continues to look unfavourable and predictions of more than 1.0 million bpd demand growth in 2025 look stretched in our opinion. Even if OPEC+ continues to withhold production, the market may still be in surplus," DBS Bank's energy sector team lead Suvro Sarkar said.
Althoughdemand in the first half of December rose year-on-year, volumes remained lower than expected by some analysts.
JP Morgan analysts said in a note that global oil demand growth for December so far was 700,000 barrels per day less than it had expected, and for the year-to-date, global demand had risen by 200,000 bpd less than it had forecast in November 2023.
Official data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed U.S. crude stocks fell by 934,000 barrels in the week to Dec. 13, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.6 million-barrel draw. EIA/S
While the drawdown was less than expected, the market found support in the data as U.S. crude exports rose by 1.8 million bpd last week to 4.89 million bpd.
Reporting by Colleen Howe and Trixie Yap; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman and Sonali Paul
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.