LME lead stocks jump to highest level in 11-1/2 years after inflows
LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) -Lead inventories in London Metal Exchange approved warehouses have jumped by 49% over two days to their highest level since March 2013, LME data showed on Tuesday.
Inflows of 91,025 metric tons were likely to be from parties delivering against short or bearish positions ahead of Wednesday's November contract expiry, analysts said. MPBSTX-TOTAL
LME data shows two parties each holding a major short position in November - one accounting for more than 40% of market open interest and another one for 10%-19%. 0#LME-FBR
On the other side of the market are four long positions, where one party holds up to 19% of open interest and the other three 5-9% each.
In some cases if short positions are not settled on expiry by delivering physical material, buying back positions can lead to sharp price rises, especially when there is a shortage of available stocks to the market.
However, after the inflow since last week, LME total lead inventories represent mostly on-warrant stocks, with only 3% of stocks marked for upcoming delivery out. A warrant is a legal document showing ownership of inventories.
The stocks are almost entirely concentrated in Singapore, where the LME registered a new warehouse a week ago in addition to its already-listed operators in the country.
The metal "has been predominantly delivered into Singapore where a new LME warehouse has only been recently registered. Therefore I would think it's most likely finance related," said Alastair Munro at broker Marex.
The discount, or contango, for cash lead against the three-month contract CMPB0-3, was last at $39 on Tuesday, heading for its two-week high, compared to $36 per ton at Monday's market close.
The LME benchmark three-month lead contract CMPB3 was up 0.7% at $2,002.5 per ton on Tuesday.
Reporting by Polina Devitt; additional reporting by Eric Onstad; editing by Alexander Smith
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.