Goldman Sachs Says AI May Impact Oil Prices Over Next Decade
Sept 3 (Reuters) -GOLDMAN SACHS:
SAYS "WE HIGHLIGHT THAT AI MAY EVENTUALLY WEIGH ON OIL PRICES OVER THE NEXT DECADE BY BOOSTING OIL SUPPLY"
SEES C.30% OF THE COSTS OF A NEW SHALE WELL COULD POTENTIALLY BE REDUCED BY AI, RESULTING IN A C.$5/BBL FALL IN THE MARGINAL INCENTIVE PRICE
SAYS "A HYPOTHETICAL AI-CATALYZED 10-20% JUMP IN THE VERY LOW RECOVERY FACTORS OF US SHALE COULD INCREASE OIL RESERVES BY 8-20% (10-30BN BARRELS)"
SAYS "WE ESTIMATE A RELATIVELY MODEST POTENTIAL AI BOOST TO OIL DEMAND IS VIA HIGHER INCOMES OF +0.7 MB/D OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS"
SAYS "THIS AI IMPACT ON OIL DEMAND IS MODEST COMPARED TO THE AI DEMAND IMPACT TO POWER AND NATURAL GAS"
SAYS "THIS AI IMPACT ON OIL DEMAND IS LESS COMPARED TO NEGATIVE ESTIMATED EFFECTS ON OIL DEMAND FROM EVS (C.-8 MB/D) AND LOWER NATGAS PRICES (-2 MB/D) OVER NEXT 10 YEARS"
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